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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 4 SF at STL (THU) CIN at CLE NYG at KC SEA at HOU
PIT at MIN (London) IND at JAC PHI at DEN WAS at OAK
CHI at DET NE at ATL BAL at BUF MIA at NO (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at TB DAL at SD NYJ at TEN On Bye: CAR, GB

Prediction: SEA 24, HOU 16 (Line: SEA by 3)

Players of Interest: Marshawn Lynch

Update: Andre Johnson is expected to start this week after missing practices to rest his bruised shin.

The 3-0 Seahawks have been dominating on defense and plenty good on offense. But they still are very much a home team and barely won in Carolina in the opener. The 2-1 Texans are home for the second time and last took down the visiting Titans there. Seattle has been awe-inspiring on defense without question while the Texans have yet to keep an opponent under 24 points. That is not a good equation for Houston.

1 @CAR 12-7 10 @ATL -
2 SF 29-3 11 MIN -
3 JAC 45-17 12 BYE WEEK
4 @HOU - 13 NO -
5 @IND - 14 @SF -
6 TEN - 15 @NYG -
7 @ARI - 16 ARI -
8 @STL - 17 STL -
9 TB - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA @ HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Terrelle Pryor 60 250,2
QB Russell Wilson 10 220,2
RB Marshawn Lynch 90,1 3-30
WR Doug Baldwin 2-40,1
TE Zach Miller 3-30
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are playing lights out lately but have to prove they can win on the road with four of the next five weeks away from Seattle. None of the matchups are impossible though as the Seahawks enjoy a lighter schedule than most. The best part about this week is that the Seahawks are going to have to play hard for the entire game and wont' have the luxury of pulling out starters like last week.

QUARTERBACKS: Russell Wilson has always been whatever the Seahawks need him to be. In almost every week, it is just a game manager with average yardage. When the defense stacks the line to stop Marshawn Lynch, Wilson responds like last week when he threw four touchdowns on the Jaguars with two being short zingers to Zach Miller. Wilson's fantasy stock is not great but in NFL terms, he does exactly what he needs.

RUNNING BACKS: This week will be interesting since Marshawn Lynch opened the season with only 43 yards in Carolina. At home, he bombed the 49ers with three scores and 135 total yards. Last week he ran for 69 yards and then read magazines on the sidelines while the Jaguars were getting creamed. Lynch won't have that luxury for the next two months with more challenging matchups.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Since the team thrives on great defense and rushing the ball, the receivers are highly inconsistent at best and still have not managed to break 100 yards in any game for 2013. They all provide very risky fantasy starts with more bad games than good. Sidney Rice was able to scorch the Jaguars secondary for 79 yards and two scores last Sunday but he had one catch for 13 yards the previous week. Golden Tate still has yet to score and while he comes off an 88 yard effort against the Jags, he too had only one catch the previous week. There is fantasy value here on occasion but it remains too unpredictable to matter.

TIGHT ENDS: Zach Miller caught two passes for five yards with two touchdowns in Sunday's win over the Jaguars. That was purely a one game event when Russell Wilson made the defense pay for selling out to the run at the goal line. There is no reliable fantasy value here.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Texans have not faced any particularly good offenses so far but even Philip Rivers scored four times on them in the opener and then Jake Locker passed for two scores in the only other Houston game. This game is more likely to go off as lower scoring and Lynch should get his share of the offense this time. Lynch makes the only must-start this week. Wilson is a moderate play and any of the receivers are like throwing darts blindfolded. There will likely be a score to a wide receiver but that favors no one.

PLAYERS TO WATCH: Marshawn Lynch needs to turn in a very good game away from Seattle. He'll be challenged this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 5 18 14 13 9 6
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 10 8 6 8 16 28

 

1 @SD 31-28 10 @ARI -
2 TEN 30-24 11 OAK -
3 @BAL 9-30 12 JAC -
4 SEA - 13 NE -
5 @SF - 14 @JAC -
6 STL - 15 @IND -
7 @KC - 16 DEN -
8 BYE WEEK 17 @TEN -
9 IND - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Arian Foster 50
WR DeAndre Hopkins 5-50
WR Andre Johnson 4-50
TE Garrett Graham 3-40
PK Randy Bullock 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Texans come off a bad loss to the Ravens and get to tour some of the best defenses in the NFL for the next month. The surprise so far has been with the Houston defense allowing 24 or more points each week despite never playing any team with a formidable offense. The schedule is no friend here so the Texans have to take home wins whenever they can.

QUARTERBACKS: After two weeks of 300 yard games with three scores, Matt Schaub laid a goose egg in week three when the Ravens held him to only 194 yards and no touchdowns. Problem is that he'll be facing the premier defense in the NFL this week. His first two big weeks may end up as his two best all year long.

RUNNING BACKS: Arian Foster owners can lament about just how badly he has been playing. Not from an effective standpoint since he has around a 4.0 rushing average. But he is no longer getting the big workload like last year. Foster averages just short of 17 carries per week which isn't bad but he scored only once and has no role as a receiver the last two weeks. His season high was 79 rushing yards. Ben Tate gets exactly nine carries every week but he is averaging 6.8 yards per carry. He running harder and faster than Foster who has been declining in yards per carry each year since 2010 when his heavy workload began. Last year Foster only had three games that did not include a touchdown. In only one game did he fail to score or reach 100 total yards on the day. He has yet to top 90 yards in any game so far.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Andre Johnson bruised his shin last week and left the game. His MRI was negative though and he is expected to play this week. Johnson had to leave the Tennessee game early as well. He has yet to score and is only average since his big 146 yard effort in the season opener. DeAndre Hopkins has been filling in the slack with never fewer than five catches and 60 yards and his level of play is much more advanced than almost any rookie wideout. The big problem this week is that the Texans only use the two wideouts and yet they face arguably the best cornerback tandem in the league this week.

TIGHT ENDS: The Texans have really turned towards the tight ends for the scoring since they own five of the six passing scores on the year. Owen Daniels leads the team with three touchdowns though he rarely gains more than 30 yards and was kept out of the endzone by the Ravens. Garrett Graham owns two of the touchdowns but with even less yardage than Daniels and last week he never was thrown a pass.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Seattle defense has allowed only one passing score this year and never more than 235 passing yards. Even that doesn't really count because the Texans mailed in the second half and allowed the Jaguars to post two scores at the end of the game. No team have rushed for more than 90 yards on the Seahawks. The only receiver with more than 56 yards was Cecil Shorts in the fourth quarter last week during trash time. It is bothersome that the Texans are splitting up the backfield carries and preferring the less effective Foster over Tate. There will not be enough yardage here to split up and still offer decent fantasy value. Schaub has his work cut out for him this week. None of the Texans are an obvious play and the wideouts of Johnson and Hopkins would surprise if they can gain more than moderate yardage/

PLAYERS TO WATCH: The running backs face their biggest challenge of the year and yet are still splitting the workload the same way. Any differences between the two runners may be amplified this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 13 20 10 5 24 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 1 4 1 5 4 8

WEEK 4 SF at STL (THU) CIN at CLE NYG at KC SEA at HOU
PIT at MIN (London) IND at JAC PHI at DEN WAS at OAK
CHI at DET NE at ATL BAL at BUF MIA at NO (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at TB DAL at SD NYJ at TEN On Bye: CAR, GB


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