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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 5 BUF at CLE (THU) DET at GB NE at CIN SEA at IND
DEN at DAL KC at TEN SD at OAK NYJ at ATL (MON)
BAL at MIA HOU at SF NO at CHI On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at ARI JAC at STL PHI at NYG MIN, PIT, TB, WAS

Prediction: NYJ 13, ATL 27 (Line: ATL by 8.5)

Players of Interest: Mike Goodson

UPDATE: Stephen Hill only had a limited practice on Friday as he returns from his concussion. He has until Monday to be cleared to play and it may take that long. Too risky to rely on at this point. Mike Goodson had a hamstring twinge in practice on Friday and he still has not been activated to play yet. He may not play this week as the Jets do not have to activate him so best to wait a week at least before considering Goodson. Santonio Holmes still has not practiced. Kellen Winslow was held out on Thursday to rest his knee but had limited work on Friday.

This is the Monday night game and it may be hard for the announcers to keep this one interesting. The Jets are 2-2 but that is with both previous road games as losses. The Falcons are only 1-3 and could really use a good home win here. The Jets are 2-2 only thanks to home wins over divisional rival Bills and then a one point win over the visiting Buccaneers. Wrap your head around that one.

1 TB 18-17 10 BYE WEEK
2 @NE 10-13 11 @BUF -
3 BUF 27-20 12 @BAL -
4 @TEN 13-38 13 MIA -
5 @ATL - 14 OAK -
6 PIT - 15 @CAR -
7 NE - 16 CLE -
8 @CIN - 17 @MIA -
9 NO - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ @ ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Geno Smith 10 220,1
QB Michael Vick 40,1 250,1
RB Chris Johnson 90 1-10
RB Bilal Powell 70 4-30
WR Eric Decker 7-80
WR Clyde Gates 3-40
WR Stephen Hill
WR Jeremy Kerley 5-70
TE Kellen Winslow 4-40,1
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jets are hitting the meat of their schedule and this is no time for the young Geno Smith to start losing the ball on a regular basis. That great Jets defense fell apart in Tennessee but mostly thanks to constant turnovers and giving up good field position. This week should start a streak of five straight games where the opponent will be favored despite playing at home three times. The Jets are looking like the 2-1 record they had after the Buffalo win may be as good as it was ever going to get.

QUARTERBACKS: The Jets are going to have to make Geno Smith work out because Mark Sanchez has been lost for the rest of the season after surgery on his torn right labrum. Smith is the best they have so he'll need to work on his problem with interceptions since he has seven in just the last three games against only three touchdowns. He also lost two fumbles in Tennessee. To his credit, Smith did throw for 331 yards against the visiting Bills and even 289 yards in Tennessee. But he has to resolve the turnover problem or the Jets are not going to be competitive for the next five games at the least.

RUNNING BACKS: Isaac Redman remains out with his hamstring issue but he's a non-factor regardless. After an impressive showing against the Bills, Bilal Powell settled down and only gained 66 yards on 14 yards versus the Titans. But he also added a season best 42 yards on three catches. There is a new element starting this week worth noting. Mike Goodson returns from his four game suspension and early reports are that he looks in good shape. Goodson last played for the Raiders where he sported a 6.3 yard per carry average. When he played in Carolina, he caught as many as 40 passes in a season. Goodson could add a much needed spark in the backfield though whatever he does comes at the expense of Powell.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This could be a big problem this week. Stephen Hill suffered a concussion against the Titans and may not play depending on how his week-long tests go. Santonio Holmes also tweaked his hamstring in the game and was not able to finish which also puts this week in jeopardy. At least this game is on Monday so the two will have an extra day to improve but for now I will assume that they are unable to play and update as warranted. Wideouts are the biggest weakness for the Falcons and the Jets already are only marginally effective using them.

TIGHT ENDS: After never receiving one pass in week three, Kellen Winslow caught six passes for 73 yards in Tennessee. His knee was a problem and will be an ongoing issue. That will make him a major risk to ever rely on even though his role is likely to increase if either Holmes or Hill remain out. Jeff Cumberland caught a 34-yard touchdown against the Titans but it was his only catch and he has just four receptions on the year.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Falcons have allowed at least two scores to all opposing quarterbacks along with over 300 yards three different times. But Smith is hardly the equivalent of Drew Brees or Tom Brady. The Falcons are very tough against the run at home and should depress the already depressing numbers by Powell. Holmes and Hill would make for marginal starts here if they were healthy but pending that news, Jeremy Kerley is the only Jet with fantasy merit. Powell might serve as a flex but the Falcons have only allowed two scores to running backs this year.

WHAT TO WATCH: No certainty that he even plays this first week back, but Mike Goodson bears watching to see if he can unseat Bilal Powell for a bigger share of the backfield workload. Goodson could make a very nice receiving back as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 17 21 21 14 18 26
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 25 17 29 18 27 4

 

1 @NO 17-23 10 SEA -
2 STL 31-24 11 @TB -
3 @MIA 23-27 12 NO -
4 NE 23-30 13 @BUF -
5 NYJ - 14 @GB -
6 BYE WEEK 15 WAS -
7 TB - 16 @SF -
8 @ARI - 17 CAR -
9 @CAR - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 260,2
RB Jacquizz Rodgers 30 3-20
RB Jason Snelling 40 4-40
WR Harry Douglas 3-40
WR Julio Jones 5-80,1
WR Roddy White 4-40
TE Tony Gonzalez 5-60,1
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Dropping the game to the Patriots really puts the Falcons in a bind at 1-3 and three games back of the Saints who already had a one game tie breaker from the season opener. The Falcons started the year with promise but Roddy White has yet to get on track and Steven Jackson isn't helping anyone from the sidelines. But the schedule is hitting a nice stretch with the Jets, Buccaneers and Cardinals up next. The season is hardly over for the Falcons but the margin of error is getting smaller every week.

QUARTERBACKS: At the least, Matt Ryan is consistent since he threw two scores in every game this year. All but the Dolphins let him pass for over 300 yards and while he fell just short in all three losses, Ryan is still producing decent fantasy stats. Once Roddy White finally gets healthy, Ryan can hit the next level but he's already solid with yardage.

RUNNING BACKS: Steven Jackson remains out with a hamstring strain and is no hurry to get back since he wants to ensure it is healed completely before he will play. In his place Jacquizz Rodgers ran for 86 yards in Miami and then was limited to 32 yards against the Pats since he was only allowed seven rushes. He did post a season best six catches for 56 yards. Jason Snelling was solid in Miami when he gained 111 total yards and one score but last week versus the Pats he only managed 34 total yards. This is a home game but goes against one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Roddy White is now playing almost every offensive snap which would suggest he is healthier but against the Patriots he was held to only three catches for 28 yard even though he was thrown nine passes. White is out running patterns but still doesn't have the burst or sharp cuts he would normally have. Julio Jones has picked up some of the slack with three straight games over 100 yards. Jones is the only consistently productive player for the Falcons so far. Harry Douglas ended with 68 yards last week but hasn't scored and is too inconsistent to merit fantasy consideration.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Gonzalez was a force last Sunday when he brought in ten receptions for 149 yards and two scores. That is even more impressive considering his first three games totaled only 11 catches for 93 yards. He looked sharp but three other games say it was just an oddly good performance.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets were great against the pass but then allowed four passing touchdowns just last week. Matt Ryan should be safe enough to play in this home game on the national stage of Monday night. The Jets are the best defense at limiting running backs though and that spells trouble for what is barely an average rushing offense without Jackson playing. Ryan, Gonzalez and Jones are all safe starts but Rodgers and Snelling will split up what should be lower stats this week. Roddy White remains a major risk to use until he finally shows his ankle is better. He has been increasing his workload but not his stats much so far. Gonzalez faces a defense that has given up a tight end score for the last two weeks.

WHAT TO WATCH: Nothing new here other than the ever-present hope that Roddy White gets healthy enough to contribute.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 6 12 13 7 9 25
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 13 1 24 6 20 27

WEEK 5 BUF at CLE (THU) DET at GB NE at CIN SEA at IND
DEN at DAL KC at TEN SD at OAK NYJ at ATL (MON)
BAL at MIA HOU at SF NO at CHI On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at ARI JAC at STL PHI at NYG MIN, PIT, TB, WAS


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