FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 6 NYG at CHI (THU) DET at CLE OAK at KC TEN at SEA
ARI at SF GB at BAL PIT at NYJ WAS at DAL
CAR at MIN JAC at DEN PHI at TB IND at SD (MON)
*UPDATED CIN at BUF NO at NE STL at HOU On Bye: ATL, MIA

Prediction: NYG 17, CHI 34 (Line: CHI by 7.5)

Players of Interest: Michael Cox

At 0-5, the Giants are looking to set some records with over 31 points allowed in all five games. Doesn't matter if the offense shows up or not, the defense never allows fewer than 31 points. The Bears are tied with the Lions for the NFC North lead at 3-2. There is no reason to expect any trend to stop in the road game against an above average defense.

This is the Thursday night game. And there will be 100 camera shots of Tom Coughlin looking like he wants to say "what are you looking at?"

1 @DAL 31-36 10 OAK -
2 DEN 23-41 11 GB -
3 @CAR 0-38 12 DAL -
4 @KC 7-31 13 @WAS -
5 PHI 21-36 14 @SD -
6 @CHI - 15 SEA -
7 MIN - 16 @DET -
8 @PHI - 17 WAS -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 260,2
RB Rashad Jennings 20 2-10
WR Victor Cruz 6-100,1
WR Rueben Randle 4-60
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Giants have not merely gone bad in a single area, they are truly missing far more parts than they can realistically expect to resolve. That's usually more on the coach and general manager but Eli Manning makes an obvious scapegoat with all his turnovers. But his 15 sacks tell a story too since his offensive line has never been worse. The next home game against the VIkings may be the final glimmer of hope for a win.

QUARTERBACKS: Eli Manning leads the NFL with 12 interceptions and lost two fumbles along the way as well. He's never been any better than the defense and while he turned in a few good fantasy games, the reality is that he has no rushing support and an offensive line that cannot hold anyone out. Defenses know to blitz because more often than not, they can reach him or at least hurry him into a bad throw. The last two road games for Manning only produced one touchdown and just 336 in total yards.

RUNNING BACKS: This is the worst rushing offense for the Giants perhaps in their entire history. David Wilson finally scored a rushing touchdown for the first time this year but left with a neck injury after gaining only 16 yards on six carries. He still feels the effects and is no lock to play this week. Not that it would matter much, but WIlson has yet to gain more than 55 rushing yards in any game and on the road facing a Chicago defense is likely to be held out if he has even a slight issue as of Thursday night. That will leave Brandon Jacobs, practice squadder Michael Cox and a box of dirty jerseys left to take handoffs.

The Giants may end up bringing in a free agent who will be even worse than Brandon Jacobs.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The only saving grace for the Giants are the wideouts. The Eagles planned to take away Victor Cruz (5-48) and in the process allowed monster games to both Hakeem Nicks (9-142) and Rueben Randle (6-96, 2 TD). Those two were the only ones with any measure of success last week and both were coming off very bad games. Nicks only caught three passes over the most recent two games. When the defense gives up 31 points, safe bet that the wide receivers are going to be getting plenty of targets. The only question is how many each gets and how many they actually catch. Guaranteed every week this is where the games happen.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Myers decent start to the season lasted only two weeks. He has only totaled five catches over the last three weeks and has lost all fantasy value. Bottom line - he needs to block when he is on the field.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: First off, it doesn't matter who is running the ball for the Giants because they are not worth starting in a road game against even an average defense, let alone the Bears. The problem here is that the Bears have already caused nine turnovers from quarterbacks and that usually goes up when Manning is concerned. No team has thrown for more than two scores on the Bears including the Saints last week. No team passed for more than 288 yards in Chicago. Most of whatever Manning gets is going to be trash time probably. That makes Manning, Cruz and NIcks as moderate plays with a chance for high yardage.

WHAT TO WATCH: I want to say watch for Michael Cox if he plays but there is really no value in this backfield. This blocking wouldn't let Adrian Peterson do much. And the best they have now is Brandon Jacobs. That says all you need to know.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 14 29 5 21 30 30
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 20 18 16 19 32 26

 

1 CIN 24-21 10 DET -
2 MIN 31-30 11 BAL -
3 @PIT 40-23 12 @STL -
4 @DET 32-40 13 @MIN -
5 NO 18-26 14 DAL -
6 NYG - 15 @CLE -
7 @WAS - 16 @PHI -
8 BYE WEEK 17 GB -
9 @GB - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 300,2
RB Matt Forte 90,1 5-40
WR Alshon Jeffery 5-80
WR Brandon Marshall 7-90,1
TE Martellus Bennett 5-60,1
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The loss to the Saints drops the Bears back to a tie with the 3-2 Lions for the division lead. Coming the week after the loss in Detroit makes it even worse. But this week against the Giants and then in Washington are both games that the Bears should win and a 5-2 at their bye gets them ready for very important game at Green Bay and against the Lions the next two weeks. Even with defensive injuries, the Bears should have no problem with the stumbling Giants who have been a virtual turn-over machine.

QUARTERBACKS: When at home, Jay Cutler has yet to throw for fewer than two touchdowns and averages almost 300 yards. And that was facing better defenses than what is coming this week. Better yet - the Giants only average one sack per week. No reason for Cutler to undercut any of his averages in this game.

RUNNING BACKS: Matt Forte comes off his worst game so far but even then he ran for 55 yards on 12 carries and caught four passes for 40 yards versus the Saints. He's been worth about double that in fantasy points each week and currently ranks #2 in most fantasy scoring. Forte hasn't broken 100 rush yards yet but he also has caught at least four passes every game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Opponents naturally focus on Brandon Marshall and for the last two weeks, Alshon Jeffery has made them pay. After posting 107 yards and a score on the Lions, Jeffrey had a true breakout game when he caught ten passes for 218 yards and a touchdown against the visiting Saints.  Brandon Marshall has been much less productive in recent weeks as defenses seek to shut him down. While Jeffery totaled 15 receptions for 325 yards in these last two weeks, Marshall was held to only 11 catches for 109 yards in that same time frame.

The development of a strong #2 wideout like Jeffery not only helps his value, but boosts the overall passing effort and will eventually cause less attention to Marshall. When Marshall is covered, Cutler is turning to Jeffery more each week.

TIGHT ENDS: Martellus Bennett is up and down with production and the only real consistency is that he's been less effective against the best defenses. His three receiving scores still lead the Bears. At home against a soft defense has been good for a touchdown each time this year.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: It is just a blessing really. The Giants have always allowed at least two passing scores to every opponent along with high yardage to those teams who wanted it. They've also been soft against running backs though most do not have major yardage games because the passing just just easier and more productive. At home against a team that always gives up 31 points every week, make sure Cutler, Forte, Marshall, Jeffery and Bennett are all must starts this week.

WHAT TO WATCH: After the loss to the Saints, this should end up a feel good win. All the Bears players should generate fantasy points here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 9 18 7 12 19 4
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 28 26 17 28 31 32

WEEK 6 NYG at CHI (THU) DET at CLE OAK at KC TEN at SEA
ARI at SF GB at BAL PIT at NYJ WAS at DAL
CAR at MIN JAC at DEN PHI at TB IND at SD (MON)
*UPDATED CIN at BUF NO at NE STL at HOU On Bye: ATL, MIA


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