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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 6 NYG at CHI (THU) DET at CLE OAK at KC TEN at SEA
ARI at SF GB at BAL PIT at NYJ WAS at DAL
CAR at MIN JAC at DEN PHI at TB IND at SD (MON)
*UPDATED CIN at BUF NO at NE STL at HOU On Bye: ATL, MIA

Prediction: OAK 13 , KC 23 (Line: KC by 9)

Players of Interest: Terrelle Pryor, Dwayne Bowe

Update: Darren McFadden is questionable to play after three straight limited practices and he indicated that he was going to try to play. He won't be 100% if he does and playing in Kansas City is unlikely to be positive experience anyway. Rashad Jennings was also limited all week because of his hamstring but is expected to play. At best consider McFadden a game time decision and even if he is active it is hard to know how limited he will be in a game against a very good defense.

The 2-3 Raiders head to Kansas City having never won on the road so far this year. The Chiefs remain 5-0 and are finally ready to take revenge. The Raiders swept the Chiefs last year, winning 26-16 at Kansas City and later 15-0 at home. This is a rather different Chiefs team this year. In the same division as Denver, the Chiefs cannot let any divisional game get past them.

1 @IND 17-21 10 @NYG -
2 JAC 19-9 11 @HOU -
3 @DEN 21-37 12 TEN -
4 WAS 14-24 13 @DAL -
5 SD 27-17 14 @NYJ -
6 @KC - 15 KC -
7 BYE WEEK 16 @SD -
8 PIT - 17 DEN -
9 PHI - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK @ KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Terrelle Pryor 40 190,1
QB Matt Schaub 260,2
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 40,1 2-10
RB Darren McFadden
RB Marcel Reece 20 3-20
WR James Jones 4-50,1
WR Denarius Moore 5-60,1
TE Mychal Rivera 1-10
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders were impressive in taking down the visiting Chargers and it was mostly the error free play of Terrelle Pryor that made the difference. These Raiders are still not even average yet and less so with Darren McFadden out but have struck gold with Pryor. Granted he has below average receivers and currently no real rushing game but Pryor has been nothing but impressive since taking the start in week one. There's no question that they released Matt Flynn because he was never going to fit. The question is why they paid him all that money and ever thought that he could compete with Pryor.

QUARTERBACKS: After missing week four because of his concussion, Terrelle Pryor picked up with a great effort against the Chargers when he completed 18 of 23 passes for 221 yards and two scores. He's now gone three straight games without a turnover and adds in 30+ yards every week as a runner. He is making great decisions and throwing very accurate passes in addition to taking off on a run when the pass rush gets too close. He may not be due for the Pro Bowl this year but he is the sharpest young quarterback in Oakland for many, many years.

RUNNING BACKS: Darren McFadden remains out and won't be back until week eight after the bye. Rashad Jennings rushed reasonable well with 41 yards on ten carries but suffered a hamstring strain and left the game. He may return this week in what will be the worst matchup and I will assume he can and will be limited. He'll share with Marcel Reece but the production here was marginal last week at home. It won't get any better in Kansas City.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Pryor had good luck connecting with both Denarius Moore (5-84, TD) and Rod Streater (3-56, TD) last week but that was Streater's first touchdown of the year and he remains good for only three receptions per week since the opener. Moore was productive in Denver and has been the only consistent receiver but even he was held catchless in the Jaguars game. This is still a very marginal unit and nothing more than Moore and Streater.

TIGHT ENDS: Mychal Rivera scored his first NFL touchdown in week four but then turned in his worst game ever with a single catch for five yards against the Chargers. He's far too inconsistent and unproductive to merit any fantasy consideration.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chiefs defense has been dominating. No team threw for more than one touchdown on them and only the Cowboys managed over 250 yards. Pryor has been very impressive but even he won't produce any more than the others that have faced the Chiefs and failed. Safest play is to avoid all Raiders players this week. They all carry far more risk than reward.

WHAT TO WATCH: Pryor gets a very tough matchup and one that he should learn from because the Chiefs defense will be the best that he has ever faced.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 23 17 23 27 24 21
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 12 8 13 1 2 4

 

1 @JAC 28-2 10 BYE WEEK
2 DAL 17-16 11 @DEN -
3 @PHI 26-16 12 SD -
4 NYG 31-7 13 DEN -
5 @TEN 26-17 14 @WAS -
6 OAK - 15 @OAK -
7 HOU - 16 IND -
8 CLE - 17 @SD -
9 @BUF - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 220,2
RB Jamaal Charles 60 7-60,1
WR Donnie Avery 3-40
WR Dwayne Bowe 4-60,1
TE Sean McGrath 5-60,1
PK Ryan Succop 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs hit a streak of three straight road games all against sub-.500 teams and then wrap up in Buffalo before taking their bye. That could easily be 9-0 and they will be favored in each of those matchups. The astounding part of their record is that even if they are 9-0, pretty much everyone will still expect them to only win a wildcard thanks to Denver. Andy Reid gets his first taste of the Raider rivalry.

QUARTERBACKS: Alex Smith chugs along as a game manager and comes off a scoreless game for the second time this year. The defense and Jamaal Charles makes for less need to score especially in recent weeks. Smith finally committed three interceptions over the last two weeks but at home against the Raiders will need to throw less than he has in any game so far. One small bright spot - he connected on two 40+ yard completions to Donnie Avery last week. Not bad for a 5-0 quarterback still associated with "noodle arm".

RUNNING BACKS: Jamaal Charles is suffering from blisters on his toes and while they are painful it doesn't show in his performance. He ranks as the #1 fantasy running back in almost every fantasy scoring rules and scored a touchdown in every game so far. For a position that is quickly losing it's relevancy to the NFL and fantasy, Charles is a gold mine and one of the biggest advantages any fantasy team can have.

WIDE RECEIVERS: It is amazing how little these wideouts matter. Donnie Avery was solid with 91 yards on three catches last week but injured his shoulder and may be limited this week. I will project for him and update as needed. Avery has not scored since the season opener. Dwayne Bowe is being burned in effigy by some fantasy owners when his 35 yard effort last week was his third best game of the year. Germane here is that both previous home games saw him score once even if the yardage in both was around 55 yards. Bowe can reclaim a little good will if he scores this week but at best his stats are more reminiscent of a tight end than a #1 wide receiver.

TIGHT ENDS: Speaking of tight ends, Sean McGrath posted over 50 yards in the last two games and was actually more productive than Dwayne Bowe. He's getting half a dozen targets a week now and becoming a slightly more productive part of the game plan each week. McGrath scored just once this year but it came in the most recent home game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: These inter-divisional matchups can sometimes defy "connect the dots". The Raiders have allowed at least two scores to each quarterback in a road game so far and decent yardage to those who want to try. Smith won't press if he doesn't need to so expect another average game from him. The only obvious plays here are Charles and then Bowe is worth at least a consideration since he is at home where he's scored twice so far. Not likely to see him have a monster game but moderate yardage and a touchdown are actually in reach here.

WHAT TO WATCH: Dwayne Bowe at home should at least turn in a decent to good effort. If he is kept from scoring and ends with under 50 yards, there is no reason to consider him again.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 18 2 30 22 9 1
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 22 11 22 18 9 14

WEEK 6 NYG at CHI (THU) DET at CLE OAK at KC TEN at SEA
ARI at SF GB at BAL PIT at NYJ WAS at DAL
CAR at MIN JAC at DEN PHI at TB IND at SD (MON)
*UPDATED CIN at BUF NO at NE STL at HOU On Bye: ATL, MIA


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