FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK

Prediction: HOU 13, KC 27 (Line: KC by 6.5)

Players of Interest: Case Keenum

Update: The Texans opted to start Case Keenum who gets to debut on the road against the Chiefs defense. The Texans are at a point now of trying anything to find a spark after T.J. Yates looked so bad last week. This places an even more risky shadow over all Houston players.


The Texans drop their fourth game in a row and coming at home against the Rams is as bad as it gets. The Chiefs remain undefeated and are back home facing a schedule that seems to get easier every time you look at it. The Texans lost their last two games by a combined 56 points so if they can get anywhere near the 6.5 point Vegas line it should be considered as a win.

1 @SD 31-28 10 @ARI -
2 TEN 30-24 11 OAK -
3 @BAL 9-30 12 JAC -
4 SEA 20-23 13 NE -
5 @SF 3-34 14 @JAC -
6 STL 13-38 15 @IND -
7 @KC - 16 DEN -
8 BYE WEEK 17 @TEN -
9 IND - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Arian Foster 60 4-50 1
WR DeAndre Hopkins 4-50
WR Andre Johnson 4-50
TE Garrett Graham 2-30
PK Randy Bullock 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Texans went into nuclear implosion last week in their spanking by the visiting Rams which is akin to being challenged to a sandlot football game by some middle schoolers who proceed to steal your sense of manhood. It was exactly what the Texans did not need and losing Matt Schaub may appease a few short-sighted fans, but it will not make this team any better.

QUARTERBACKS: Crafty HC Gary Kubiak said he won't decide if Matt Schaub can play until later but judging by the way his leg and foot bent backwards it will be a miracle if he can play this week. That means T.J. Yates gets a chance to show why he is just a third-year backup. Matt Schaub finally did not throw a Pick Six in a game for the first time in five weeks. But then Yates came in and only needed a few plays before he did it. Yates isn't bad by any means, but he's not going to improve a team fighting a death spiral.

RUNNING BACKS: Just when Arian Foster finally gets back on track the rest of the team falls apart. Foster topped 100 total yards in each of the last three weeks and comes off a season best 141 rush yards and 57 receiving yards against the Rams. Ben Tate is back to just a relief player though he did take the lone rushing score last week. The Texans have only combined for two rushing touchdowns all year.

WIDE RECEIVERS: These wideouts have remained little more than Andre Johnson once again even though DeAndre Hopkins had the one decent game in week two against the Titans. He's bounced around 50 yards weekly since and never scores. His week two touchdown was the only one by a wideout all year. The switch to Yates is bound to depress the stats here that were not that great anyway. The last two road trips against decent defenses saw Johnson limited to under 40 yards in each. Not a good sign.

TIGHT ENDS: Owen Daniels is on injured reserve/recall list which means he can come back starting in week 14. In his place Garrett Graham was very disappointing with only 25 yards on two catches versus the Rams though he was only targeted four times. So far the switch to Yates has not been positive for the tight ends who are already starting their second stringer.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chiefs have been great against the pass and never allowed more than one passing touchdown per opponent. That has mostly been lower level quarterbacks but Yates would be the bottom rung anyway. The only wideouts with any success was by catching one or more long pass and scoring but that is not the sort of routes that Johnson is running. He could always make that one catch though so he has minor upside even if there is plenty of risk. Might be nice in trash time later in the game. Foster faces a defense that has been outstanding against running backs and only given up one rushing score. But they have also faced a fairly spotty set of runners and no one the level of Foster. No reason to leave him on the bench this week.

Graham faces a defense that has never allowed a tight end to score or gain more than 43 yards in any game. Leave him on the bench.

WHAT TO WATCH: Yates is the likely starter and he draws a short straw playing the Chiefs in his first game. He has to at least make the defense respect the pass enough not to commit everything to stopping Foster. Should Yates falter, the fantasy value for both Foster and Johnson could take a deep hit.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 28 8 23 4 27 27
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 10 6 11 1 1 6

 

1 @JAC 28-2 10 BYE WEEK
2 DAL 17-16 11 @DEN -
3 @PHI 26-16 12 SD -
4 NYG 31-7 13 DEN -
5 @TEN 26-17 14 @WAS -
6 OAK 24-7 15 @OAK -
7 HOU - 16 IND -
8 CLE - 17 @SD -
9 @BUF - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC vs HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 30 170
RB Jamaal Charles 90,2 5-40
WR Donnie Avery 4-50
WR Dwayne Bowe 4-40
TE Sean McGrath 3-20

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs roll on with solid defense and Jamaal Charles and plow through what has turned out to be a very nice schedule. The entirety of the season is going to be decided in weeks 11 and 13 when the two meetings with the Broncos happen and someone has to lose. The defense is as good as any that Andy Reid ever had in Philadelphia and while the passing stats are lower, that is mostly because Jamaal Charles has dominated and the team never needs to catch up.

QUARTERBACKS: Hard to image the Chiefs are undefeated when Alex Smith threw a score in just one of the last four games. Taking down the Raiders by 17 points only required 128 passing yards and he completed only 14 of 31 passes. When he does score, it has been in multiples. Smith is not the fantasy gem the system usually produces but he's good enough to lead the offense to a 6-0 start and throw only three interceptions this year.

RUNNING BACKS: No arguing that Jamaal Charles is the #1 running back in the NFL currently and fantasy owners are reaping major benefits every week. Charles scored at least once in every game and totaled no less than 100 yards. He's a lock for five receptions each week as well. His workload is tremendous and hard to imagine that it can be sustained with around 25 touches per game.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The pitiful passing stats have sucked all fantasy value out of the wide receivers and Dwayne Bowe makes a lot of cash for a guy who still hasn't gained over 58 yards in any game. He scored in the first two home games but then against the Raiders laid another egg with only three receptions for 46 yards. Donnie Avery turned in two nice yardage efforts but both were in recent road games. The Chiefs are not going to throw any more than they need to win games and so far Charles and the defense negate the need for Smith to throw much.

TIGHT ENDS: Just when Sean McGrath seems safe to start, he fails to catch any passes against the Raiders. The receivers are all only capable of moderate yardage for the Chiefs and even then only in occasional games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Texans held opponents to low passing yards but mostly because they were already ahead and did not need to throw much. No opposing quarterback passed for more than 195 yards on the Texans but they have faced mostly poor passing teams and even them have allowed 10 touchdowns to the position. Giving away a touchdown on a Pick Six every week means opponents get ahead and stay ahead. The rushing defense is only average and on the road even less. The defense and Charles are must starts each week but the lack of consistency alone precludes any other Chiefs player from being relevant in fantasy football.

A passing score would favor a tight end the most but that is not reliable enough to merit consideration.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Chiefs defensive backs should have a prize pool for which one gets the interception return for a touchdown.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 23 2 31 25 10 1
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 4 13 1 6 21 31

WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK


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