FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK

Prediction: MIN 27, NYG 34 (Line: NYG by 3)

Players of Interest: Josh Freeman

Update: Adrian Peterson was limited on Thursday and then held out on Friday but is still expected to play in the Monday Night game. He is just resting his hamstring.

Update #2: Brandon Jacobs had a setback and did not practice on Saturday because of his hamstring. He has been downgraded to questionable but has until Monday night to get healthy. Now it is a dilemma for owners because the older, heavier Jacobs may not bounce back as quickly from a hamstring issue. If he cannot play, then Michael Cox is likely to take the start and recently signed Peyton Hillis may have some role as well.

This is the Monday night game which had to seem better back when they originally thought it was a great idea. The 0-6 Giants are still searching for their first win and are at home. The 1-4 Vikings have only their freak win in London to keep them out of Club 0-Fer. If this one isn't a Giants win - and it may not be - those post-game interviews are getting too uncomfortable to watch. The beauty about this being the Monday night game is that there should not be any signs of a defense for either team. Both allow over 30 points per game.

1 @DET 24-34 10 WAS -
2 @CHI 30-31 11 @SEA -
3 CLE 27-31 12 @GB -
4 PIT 34-27 13 CHI -
5 BYE WEEK 14 @BAL -
6 CAR 10-35 15 PHI -
7 @NYG - 16 @CIN -
8 GB - 17 DET -
9 @DAL - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Adrian Peterson 100,1 2-20
WR Greg Jennings 5-80,1
WR Cordarrelle Patterson 2-20
TE Kyle Rudolph 3-40,1
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings were trounced by the Panthers and with that broken the illusion that they are always just a score away from winning games. The defense is still the Achilles heel here and the offense just cannot keep up with what they allow opponents to score. A switch in quarterback may not be the key but it cannot hurt. Anything to remove the intense focus given to the Vikings rushing game.

QUARTERBACKS: After passing for 248 yards and two scores in London, Matt Cassel sealed his fate in the loss to the Panthers. He only threw for 241 yards and one score against two interceptions. No matter that the Carolina secondary is very good, he flopped in front of the hometown fans in the worst loss of the year. That should clear the path for Josh Freeman to start this week and upgrade the offense.

Freeman is still digesting the playbook and only practiced a few times with his new team. But he gets to face one of the worst defenses in the league and that should make him look much better than he will in future games. He is a risk to rely on but his situation may never be better.

RUNNING BACKS: Adrian Peterson played last week despite the death of a son but only ran ten times for 62 yards in the blowout loss. It was his first game with under 100 total yards. He had never been under 20 touches in a game all year. Peterson can only be helped with the move to Freeman as quarterback as he is constantly facing eight men on every rushing attempt. That may never change but only Freeman can make it happen if it does.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is where the move to Freeman is hoped to have a positive effect. So far the only scores by a wideout all year were by Greg Jennings in London. Jerome Simpson topped 100 yards twice already but Jennings has been less effective as the main focus of the secondary. Freeman's value should be felt more by Jennings than any other player and going against the weak Giants defense should be a nice start to a new era.

TIGHT ENDS: While Kyle Rudolph did catch nine passes for 97 yards and one score against the Panthers, realize that almost all of it happened in the fourth quarter of a game that was already far out of hand. He caught the 23-yard touchdown with only a minute left when the score was already 35-3. Freeman has minimal experience using tight ends in Tampa Bay anyway.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is where it gets good. The Giants have never allowed fewer than two passing scores and the yardage tends to be decent unless the opponent likes to run which it will in this case. The addition of Freeman is the biggest variable here but it really doesn't get much better than playing the Giants this year. With poor defenses for both teams, it should be a shootout. Peterson is always started but both Freeman and Jennings are reasonable risks to take. Even Jerome Simpson should at least turn in yardage. Rudolph goes against a defense that has given up a touchdown to four different tight ends.

WHAT TO WATCH: Freeman gets to start out against a weak defense before hitting a string of much harder games.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 20 13 24 17 12 8
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 31 26 18 28 32 32

 

1 @DAL 31-36 10 OAK -
2 DEN 23-41 11 GB -
3 @CAR 0-38 12 DAL -
4 @KC 7-31 13 @WAS -
5 PHI 21-36 14 @SD -
6 @CHI 21-27 15 SEA -
7 MIN - 16 @DET -
8 @PHI - 17 WAS -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 330,3
RB Michael Cox 40,1
WR Victor Cruz 8-100,1
WR Rueben Randle 6-90,1
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: Okay, this time really is going to be it. The Philly game seemed likely but no. This time - has to happen here. The Vikings rank in the bottom three against quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers. If this doesn't happen, the Giants are going to have to bide their time for an eventual trap game. Playing at home should be just enough to get the win.

QUARTERBACKS: This will be one of the weakest defenses that Eli Manning faces all year and it would be great to see him not throw an interception for the first time. Manning currently balances his nine touchdowns with 15 interceptions and that's really five scores versus 12 picks over the last five games. The Giants have only played in two home games thus far and Manning passed for over 300 yards in each.

RUNNING BACKS: David Wilson remains out for three to four weeks but his spinal stenosis was not considered to need surgery. But the Giants also released the injured Da'Rel Scott again and enter the game with nothing more than Brandon Jacobs and practice squadder Michael Cox who has never played. Jacobs was able to produce a freakish 106 yards on 22 carries with two scores against the Bears for his best effort in several years. His first four games this year only totaled 48 yards on 22 carries.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hakeem Nicks was the subject of trade speculation but nothing happened and he'll remain the starter who is still looking for his first touchdown. Nicks is solid enough in most weeks in yardage though he was blanked in Carolina. Victor Cruz only turned in one good effort in the last four games and that came in Kansas City in his toughest matchup. Rueben Randle not only has been the most consistent receiver in recent weeks, he scored three times over just the last two games. This is the strength of the offense and it is about to face the #29 defense against wideouts.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value and Brandon Myers failed to catch any passes in two of the last three games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Happy days. The Vikings allowed 290+ yards in four of the last five games and multiple touchdowns in all games played in the States. They have intercepted seven passes which is relevant here. But they also allowed four wideouts to top 100 yards over the last four games. They remain weak against tight ends as well but Myers has been all but phased out of the passing equation. Jacobs is a decent start in a home game against the worse defense versus running backs but that stems from the ample yards and scores allowed to running backs as receivers. At home, it simply won't get any better than this - start any Giants player you have.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Giants win finally.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 22 27 4 24 32 32
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 30 32 29 27 16 25

WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK


xx
a d v e r t i s e m e n t