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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK

Prediction: NE 20, NYJ 16 (Line: NE by 3.5)

Players of Interest: Rob Gronkowski

Update: Rob Gronkowski has been cleared to play and though he is listed as questionable will be active and ready to go. If he is only a limited snap count or not in his first game back isn't certain because this is New England. Danny Amendola is ruled out because of his concussion. Both Brandon Bolden and Julian Edelman are questionable but are no different than any other week. They both are expected to play no different than last week.

The 5-1 Patriots did themselves a world of good with their last second win over the Saints and now are two games up in the AFC East. The Jets are 3-3 with a 2-1 mark at home but have not beaten the Patriots since 2011.

The Patriots swept the Jets last year, winning 29-26 at home and later 49-19 in New York. They already beat the Jets 13-10 back in week two.

1 @BUF 23-21 10 BYE WEEK
2 NYJ 13-10 11 @CAR -
3 TB 23-3 12 DEN -
4 @ATL 30-23 13 @HOU -
5 @CIN 6-13 14 CLE -
6 NO 30-27 15 @MIA -
7 @NYJ - 16 @BAL -
8 MIA - 17 BUF -
9 PIT - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NE @ NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady 220,1
RB Stevan Ridley 50,1 1-10
WR Aaron Dobson 4-50,1
WR Julian Edelman 7-70
WR Brandon LaFell 4-50
WR Kenbrell Thompkins 3-50
TE Rob Gronkowski 3-30
PK Stephen Gostkowski 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Only week seven and we have our first rematch of the season. The Patriots are not winning big and are not even scoring that well in most games but the defense has been quietly very good. A win here and then next week against the Dolphins clears the path for a certain divisional title and a week ten bye will help get them healthier for the late season playoff push. While the only loss did come in a road game, there is perhaps no team the Pats know better than the Jets.

QUARTERBACKS: While Tom Brady provided the late game theatrics that led to the win, he still only passed for 269 yards and the one touchdown. He's only thrown eight touchdowns over six games and his yardage is average at best. But the Pats are still winning and there still could be one day in the future that Rob Gronkowski actually plays.

Brady only passed for a season low 185 yards and one touchdown versus the Jets in week two.

RUNNING BACKS: If for only one week, the Patriots backfield is back to where they started after Stevan Ridley ran for 96 yards and two scores on the Saints despite LeGarrette Blount starting the game and playing in the first quarter. Brandon Bolden has gone from third down back with as many as six catches back to just a relief player with no fantasy value. Ridley's two scores were his first for the year and only the second time that a Pats back recorded a touchdown all year. Relying on anything here will always be risky, but at least it appears to be back to the original roles. That probably means it all reverses this week.

Ridley gained 40 yards on 16 runs versus the Jets last time.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Danny Amendola left the game with an obvious concussion so now he'll be yet another injury watch for a player who only posted decent stats in the season opener. His durability problems have only become worse. Kenbrell Thompkins caught the game winner over the Saints but still ended with just 45 yards on three catches. He topped 50 yards only once this year though he did score a team high four times. Julian Edelman fills in for Amendola again but offers minimal value in most games but had a season best 13 catches for 78 yards in the previous meeting with the Jets.

Aaron Dobson was the most targeted player last week and while he caught six passes for 63 yards, he dropped several passes.

TIGHT ENDS: Michael Hoomanawanui reeled in four catches for 57 yards in the best game by any New England tight end this year. The problem is that Rob Gronkowski reportedly looks very good in practice and has yet to play. He's looked so good in practice that his own teammates are questioning why he has not been active. I will again assume he can play at least in a limited fashion only to later remove him from the projections when he does not travel with the team. He will play at some point but when that is has everyone wondering.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This was a low scoring game the first time and is certain to be again. The Jets never allowed more than one passing score at home and last week's 264 yards by Ben Roethlisberger was a season high. The Jets are also tops at stopping running backs who have never rushed for more than 65 yards on them. Consider Brady, Ridley, Gronkowski (fingers crossed), Edelman and Thompkins to all be marginal plays this week.

WHAT TO WATCH: Rob Gronkowski is being watched in practice like Colonel Sanders walking through a chicken coop. He can add so much to the offense but so far is nothing more than a weekly tease.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 29 17 5 32 3 25
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 14 2 20 14 19 27

 

1 TB 18-17 10 BYE WEEK
2 @NE 10-13 11 @BUF -
3 BUF 27-20 12 @BAL -
4 @TEN 13-38 13 MIA -
5 @ATL 30-28 14 OAK -
6 PIT 6-19 15 @CAR -
7 NE - 16 CLE -
8 @CIN - 17 @MIA -
9 NO - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ vs NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Geno Smith 10 210,1
RB Chris Ivory 20
RB Bilal Powell 50 4-30
WR Eric Decker 5-80,1
WR Stephen Hill 4-70
WR Jeremy Kerley 2-30
TE Jeff Cumberland 6-70,1
PK Nick Folk 3 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: Tough loss to the previously winless Steelers says this team is not as good as the 3-3 record suggests. With wins only over the Buccaneers, Falcons and Bills, the short comings of the offense are still too much to overcome against a decent defense. The schedule faces three very good teams in a row before the week 10 bye and it would be a surprise to see the Jets post a winning record again this year.

QUARTERBACKS: Geno Smith has been undeniably impressive as a rookie but his good games all came at the expense of facing weak defenses. Versus the Patriots and Steelers he failed to score and threw at least two interceptions. He is going through the natural learning curve and should have a few more nice games by the end of the year but remains too inconsistent. That's not all his fault between a lethargic rushing game and dropped passes.

RUNNING BACKS: Mike Goodson is gone again and this time for good with a torn ACL and MCL that will end his season. That helps Chris Ivory to draw a bit more work though Bilal Powell remains the starter. This unit scored only once all year but that was against the Patriots. Powell also injured his shoulder late in the loss to the Steelers but is not expected to be any issue this week.

Powell ran for 48 yards on 13 carries in the previous meeting with the Pats.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Santonio Holmes is expected to miss at least this game with his hamstring strain he suffered three weeks ago. He accounted for 51 yards on three catches in week two against the Patriots while Stephen Hill led the team with 86 yards on four catches. This remains one of the least productive sets of wideouts in the league and the only scores and 100 yard games came against the Bills and Falcons secondaries.

TIGHT ENDS: The only real change since week two is that Jeff Cumberland made recent strides and scored twice in the last three weeks along with as much as 79 yards in a game. Kellen Winslow remains suspended for the next two weeks.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Patriots are one of the best teams against the pass and that should once again shut down the Jets aerial plans. They are much weaker against the run and Powell did score in the last meeting. He makes only a marginal start though and relying on him scoring his second touchdown of the year is obviously risky. Hill and Kerley are only considerations when the go against one of the weakest defenses. This should be another game where Cumberland at least gets decent yardage.

WHAT TO WATCH: This should be a low scoring game with neither team wanting to make a mistake. Not much in the way of fantasy fireworks.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 24 25 28 13 14 28
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 5 22 2 21 9 8

WEEK 7 SEA at ARI (THU) CIN at DET HOU at KC STL at CAR
BUF at MIA DAL at PHI SD at JAC TB at ATL
CHI at WAS DEN at IND SF at TEN MIN at NYG (MON)
*UPDATED BAL at PIT CLE at GB NE at NYJ On Bye: NO, OAK


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