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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 8 CAR at TB (THU) DAL at DET NYJ at CIN SEA at STL (MON)
ATL at ARI GB at MIN PIT at OAK On Bye:
BUF at NO MIA at NE SF at JAC BAL, CHI, HOU
*UPDATED CLE at KC NYG at PHI WAS at DEN IND, SD, TEN

Prediction: CLE 10, KC 27 (Line: KC by 7)

Update: Dwayne Bowe was injured in practice on Thursday and was held out on Friday. He's listed as questionable but is no lock to play. He has a terrible matchup against Joe Haden anyway and this should ensure that you do not start him.

The 3-4 Browns are back on their two game losing streak and are only 1-2 away from home. The 7-0 Chiefs are now the lone remaining unbeaten team and playing the visiting Browns is probably not going to change that.

1 MIA 10-23 10 BYE WEEK
2 @BAL 6-14 11 @CIN -
3 @MIN 31-27 12 PIT -
4 CIN 17-6 13 JAC -
5 BUF 37-24 14 @NE -
6 DET 17-31 15 CHI -
7 @GB 13-31 16 @NYJ -
8 @KC - 17 @PIT -
9 BAL - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Josh Gordon 6-70,1
TE Jordan Cameron 5-50
PK Garrett Hartley 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The problem this week and every week is that the Browns tend to play poorly when faced with even an average defense and now they face arguably the best one while being the visitor no less. Since they are 3-0 when Hoyer starts the game and 0-4 when he does not, they shoulder consider just strapping him to a two-wheeled dolly and roll him out so that he can take the first snap and down it. It cannot be any worse than what is happening currently since the Browns margin of loss just keeps growing every week. Mid-way through the season and the coaching staff is already starting to consider shaking up the lineup to insert even worse players so that they at least look like they are still searching for a solution.

QUARTERBACKS: HC Rob Chudzinski still has not named the starting quarterback this week - always a bad sign when you already had one. Brandon Weeden's getting worse and adding a new penchant for interceptions - three over the last two losses. I will assume that Weeden gets another week but in the end - playing in Kansas City is not going to make anyone look good, much less the quarterback for the Browns. Jason Campbell may be named later and I will update as if you were honestly waiting for that to happen to make your lineup decision.

RUNNING BACKS: Pretty brutal. With Trent Richardson out of the way the Browns are still on their march to being the #32 unit for running backs in the NFL. Willis McGahee topped 46 yards only once and that was the home game against the Bills. He's currently totaled 203 yards on 70 carries for a 2.9 yard per carry average. Chris Ogbonnaya was turning in work as a receiver to generate some fantasy value but now the Browns are using Foswhitt Whittaker on that role and fulfill an apparent promise that not one Browns player is allowed to hit an incentive clause. Why else shut down a player when he's the only productive one?

Until there is any consistency or production from a #2 running back, I'll just project for McGahee.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Reports abound that the Browns are actively shopping Josh Gordon in the league since he is the only wideout with any value. The Browns have until next week to consummate a deal and then tank the season in earnest. Aside from Jordan Cameron, Gordon has the only performances over 70 yards by any receiver and he delivered four of five games over that mark. Gordon turned in two efforts over 100 yards while all other wideouts struggle and fail to break even 40 yards in any game. Gordon should be so lucky to get traded.

TIGHT ENDS: Jordan Cameron was pretty quiet for the last couple of weeks but finally came up with seven catches for 55 yards and one score in Green Bay late in the game when no one cared. Cameron was at his best when Brian Hoyer was starting but since is only averaging about 50 yards per game and scoring every third game with Weeden. That won't change if Campbell starts, at least not get any better.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chiefs never allow more than one score per quarterback and anything over 200 passing yards here will be a major success. What makes this game even worse is that the Chiefs are #1 at stopping tight ends and have not only never allowed one to score, no tight end has gained over 43 yards on the Chiefs. No reason to expect a breakout game for Cameron this week. Cameron is still worth a fantasy start assuming nothing better is owned, but his upside is almost nil this week. Gordon is the only Brown who merits a definite fantasy start and only assuming that the Browns want to showcase him for a potential trade and throw him a lot of passes.

WHAT TO WATCH: Might be watching Josh Gordon's final game as a Cleveland Brown.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 23 29 27 4 25 19
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 10 3 11 1 1 5

 

1 @JAC 28-2 10 BYE WEEK
2 DAL 17-16 11 @DEN -
3 @PHI 26-16 12 SD -
4 NYG 31-7 13 DEN -
5 @TEN 26-17 14 @WAS -
6 OAK 24-7 15 @OAK -
7 HOU 17-16 16 IND -
8 CLE - 17 @SD -
9 @BUF - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC vs CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 30 190
RB Jamaal Charles 90,2 5-40
WR Jason Avant 4-40
WR Donnie Avery 3-40
WR Dwayne Bowe 4-30
TE Anthony Fasano 3-20

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs are going to have to fight the urge to mail this one in after winning seven in a row and now at home against a very bad team. This week and then a trip to Buffalo stand between now and taking a bye with a 9-0 record. And then it all starts with two matchups against the Broncos over a three week span. Weeks 11 and 13 will define who stays home in the playoffs but the Chiefs have to keep winning in the interim to stay abreast of the Broncos.

QUARTERBACKS: The truly surprising part of Alex Smith is that the team is undefeated and the same system that produced the Eagle's legend of Donovan McNabb now has evolved into just a guy handing off to Jamaal Charles. Smith threw a touchdown in only one of the last five games though he did sneak in his first rushing score last week. Smith is on a pace for 3500 passing yards and 16 touchdowns only if you include the uncharacteristic first two games where he scored twice in each.

RUNNING BACKS: Dexter McCluster gained 70 yards on four catches last week to double his annual totals but he's been a nonfactor since he was drafted. Jamaal Charles is the fantasy point machine. He scored in every game this year and topped 100 total yards in each. Throw in a four or five reception points each week and he is the biggest difference maker in the NFL in a position that is otherwise constantly shrinking.

WIDE RECEIVERS: If you thought the passing numbers were bad, factor in that Dwayne Bowe comes off a season best game with only five catches for 66 yards and this week draws Joe Haden in coverage. He'll be lucky if Alex Smith will even take a phone call from him let alone throw him a pass. The paltry passing production has stripped out all fantasy value here other than a risky play for some mediocre yardage.

TIGHT ENDS: Just when Sean McGrath seemed to be getting the hang of being a starting tight end, he only manages one catch over the last two games and the return of Anthony Fasano ensures that nothing more is going to happen here. Dump McGrath and don't bother with Fasano.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Browns are decent against the pass and the Chiefs are not going to ever press their luck down field. But the Browns have allowed eight touchdowns to running backs and Charles is the best anyone is facing this year. Start Charles and the Chiefs defense but leave the rest on your bench or better yet, the waiver wire.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Chiefs defense should come up big in this game and even more so if the Browns switch to Jason Campbell.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 24 1 31 27 14 1
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 11 22 8 20 10 14

WEEK 8 CAR at TB (THU) DAL at DET NYJ at CIN SEA at STL (MON)
ATL at ARI GB at MIN PIT at OAK On Bye:
BUF at NO MIA at NE SF at JAC BAL, CHI, HOU
*UPDATED CLE at KC NYG at PHI WAS at DEN IND, SD, TEN


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