FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 8 CAR at TB (THU) DAL at DET NYJ at CIN SEA at STL (MON)
ATL at ARI GB at MIN PIT at OAK On Bye:
BUF at NO MIA at NE SF at JAC BAL, CHI, HOU
*UPDATED CLE at KC NYG at PHI WAS at DEN IND, SD, TEN

Prediction: SF 24, JAC 13 (Line: SF by 17)

Players of Interest: MIke Brown

The 49ers are on a four game winning streak and perhaps were the most impressive just last week in Tennessee. The Jaguars not only remain perfect at 0-7, but they continue to hold the lowest points for (76) and yet the highest points against (222). You almost have to try to do that. This game is played over in London and why we continue to send all our winless teams over there must be some form of punishment.

1 GB 34-28 10 CAR -
2 @SEA 3-29 11 @NO -
3 IND 7-27 12 @WAS -
4 @STL 35-11 13 STL -
5 HOU 34-3 14 SEA -
6 ARI 32-20 15 @TB -
7 @TEN 31-17 16 ATL -
8 @JAC - 17 @ARI -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 40,1 180,1
RB Frank Gore 100,1 2-10
WR Anquan Boldin 5-80
WR Steve Johnson 6-70
TE Vernon Davis 4-60,1
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The 49ers should win this game and enter their bye 6-2 but still a game back of the Seahawks who play the Rams. The 49ers will be favored in all but the game in New Orleans and maybe when the Seahawks visit. Otherwise the remaining schedule looks pretty light overall and certainly should deliver them to the playoffs even if they do not win the division.

QUARTERBACKS: Colin Kaepernick comes off a nice win over the Titans and it was a game where he did not throw much. He had no passing scores for the third time this season but ran in a touchdown while gaining 68 yards on 11 rushes. Kaepernick topped 200 passing yards only once over the last six weeks and currently only has eight passing scores on the year. His only big rushing games were on the road but those went against tougher defenses of the Seahawks and Titans. He doesn't run much when there is no need.

RUNNING BACKS: Frank Gore scored twice in Tennessee for his first multiple touchdown game of the year though he only gained 70 yards on 24 carries. He's been a lock for 80+ yards and a score when he faces softer defenses and still doesn't share the ball much. Anthony Dixon occasionally comes in for a short score but this remains pretty much all Gore, all game. Kendall Hunter may show up for three or four runs in recent weeks.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hard to accept but there is almost no fantasy value here. Last week Anquan Boldin (5-74) was the only wideout with a catch but he's scored just once since the season opener and rarely turns in more than moderate yardage. This unit is waiting for Michael Crabtree to return for anything to happen and that still needs more than a month.

TIGHT ENDS: Vernon Davis was on a three game scoring streak but fell back to only four catches for 62 yards against the Titans. Still easily the best target and his six touchdowns dwarf any other receiver. He's been much less effective in road games so far and only scored in one of the three. Davis role expands and shrinks with the passing effort since he is clearly the main weapon.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jaguars never give up much passing yardage because they prefer to allow great field position. Just not as far to go for a touchdown. Most opponents will score multiple passing touchdowns but Kaepernick rarely does that and won't need to in order to win. The Jags allowed five touchdowns to tight ends despite rarely facing any decent receivers. They also gave up eight scores to running backs. Kaepernick is a moderate play as always and both Davis and Gore should see decent to very good stats in this game. Boldin has a shot at better stats but is too inconsistent to merit the risk.

WHAT TO WATCH: The 49ers just need to secure this win and get out of town healthy. The bye starts next week. This is the London game though and different things can happen.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 25 6 32 2 23 11
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 23 32 21 26 22 30

 

1 KC 2-28 10 @TEN -
2 @OAK 9-19 11 ARI -
3 @SEA 17-45 12 @HOU -
4 IND 3-37 13 @CLE -
5 @STL 20-34 14 HOU -
6 @DEN 19-35 15 BUF -
7 SD 6-24 16 TEN -
8 SF - 17 @IND -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC vs SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne 250,1
WR Cecil Shorts 7-60,1
TE Marcedes Lewis 2-30
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars not only remain winless, they have not really been competitive in any game this year. The lowest margin of loss was still ten points. The entire offense has only generated six touchdowns on the entire season. The plus has been that Chad Henne throws for far more yardage than Blaine Gabbert did and produces a few fantasy relevant receivers in the process. This team has been so bad that whenever an eventual trap game happens - if it even does - it will be the biggest upset of the season.

QUARTERBACKS: While Chad Henne did not score any touchdowns in his last two starts, and yes he threw three interceptions, but at least both games were over 300 passing yards. The beauty of being so bad is that opponents just want to win and then play the prevent defense. Henne is not likely to throw multiple touchdowns but his yardage remains high and happens mostly in the fourth quarter.

RUNNING BACKS: Considering his past successes, it is almost painful to watch Maurice Jones-Drew. He has yet to top 71 rushing yards in any game, scored only twice and both of them came in the toughest matchups (SEA, DEN) when the defense relented because the Jaguars just plain never posed any threat. Jones-Drew averages only 45 yards per game and 3.0 yards per carry.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This unit is the only reason that the Jaguars are remotely worth any fantasy value. Justin Blackmon fell to only 58 yards on six catches after two straight monster games but said his hamstring strain was not an issue. Cecil Shorts was knocked out of the Denver game with a bad shot to the chest but gutted it out against the Chargers and ended with 80 yards on eight catches and said his injury was no worse. Both receivers are getting a ton of work on a team that is always behind by a significant margin. Mike Brown turned in a career best 120 yards on five catches but only totaled five catches for 63 yards in his two-year career.

Touchdowns rarely happen for this unit but the catches and yards are consistent.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value. Marcedes Lewis did return last week but only recorded one catch.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The 49ers are on the road and unlikely to let up enough on defense for the Jaguars to score much. Once again both Shorts and Blackmon are decent starts looking for moderate to good yardage with no scores. Jones-Drew is at home but faces a defense that still hasn't allowed a 100 yard rusher. There is an outside chance that if a touchdown occurs, it will be with Jones-Drew but that is risky to expect. Since this is in London, I'll give a touchdown to Henne but relying on it is still very risky. You just never quite know what to expect in London.

WHAT TO WATCH: Mike Brown has one good game in his career but if he can string together two such efforts it would at least help both Shorts and Blackmon by taking away some of the coverage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 30 22 30 32 29
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 9 25 10 10 3 6

WEEK 8 CAR at TB (THU) DAL at DET NYJ at CIN SEA at STL (MON)
ATL at ARI GB at MIN PIT at OAK On Bye:
BUF at NO MIA at NE SF at JAC BAL, CHI, HOU
*UPDATED CLE at KC NYG at PHI WAS at DEN IND, SD, TEN


x
a d v e r t i s e m e n t