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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ

Prediction: BUF 17, PIT 24 (Line: PIT by 4)

Players of Interest: E.J. Manuel

Update: Robert Woods is doubtful to play with an ankle injury and was removed from the projections. E. J. Manuel will get the start.

The 3-6 Bills have lost their last two games and are only 1-3 on the road. The 2-6 Steelers have also lost their last two and are just 1-2 at home. Neither team plays consistently but playing at home should give a slight edge to the Steelers.

1 NE 21-23 10 @PIT -
2 CAR 24-23 11 NYJ -
3 @NYJ 20-27 12 BYE WEEK
4 BAL 23-20 13 ATL -
5 @CLE 24-37 14 @TB -
6 CIN 24-27 15 @JAC -
7 @MIA 23-21 16 MIA -
8 @NO 17-35 17 @NE -
9 KC 13-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
BUF @ PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB E.J. Manuel 10 190,1
RB Fred Jackson 50,1 4-20
RB C.J. Spiller 50 3-30
WR Robert Woods
TE Scott Chandler 2-20
PK Dan Carpenter 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bills stumble along mostly losing and always so when facing a decent team. Facing two good defenses recently took a toll though playing the Steelers this week may not be as scary as it seems since they just allowed 55 points to the Patriots. The Bills have already fallen too far back to matter this year but the good news is that E.J. Manuel is due back very soon and with him the offense can continue to gain chemistry at least until Fred Jackson gets his AARP card and C.J. Spiller is hurt again. You want to look towards the future for your fantasy playoffs? Trade for some Bills who get to play Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville after their bye in week 12.

QUARTERBACKS: Mediocrity reigns here no matter which quarterback is playing. E.J. Manuel has been out since week five but has been clearer to practice and should be back very soon. Thad Lewis missed last week with bad ribs but is likely to be available this week. I am speculating that Manuel gets to play but will update as needed. Playing in Pittsburgh is rarely hat much fun for a passing offense and it is always risky to use a rookie coming off a lengthy injury.

RUNNING BACKS: Fred Jackson may never be great but he is never bad. The old man scores in most his games and usually gains 50 total yards or more every week. His last two games only gave him three passes but in other weeks playing with Manuel or Lewis he typically has four receptions. C.J. Spiller still has just the one touchdown this year and his output is incredibly inconsistent partially because he is often nursing some injury. He comes off a season best 116 yards on 12 runs versus the Chiefs and added two catches but his role rarely calls for more than a dozen touches per game so he needs to break a long gainer to post decent yardage. Spiller has a bad ankle that made him miss week eight but he played last week very well and suffered no relapse. Jackson is always going to post moderate yardage and oddly tends to score more often in road games. But Spiller is so inconsistent that he's always a challenge to predict.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Marquise Goodwin was just starting to gain steam with a score in two of the last three games and around 55 yards in all three but suffered a hamstring injury and may not be available this week. If he does play, he could be limited. Robert Woods also sprained his ankle in the Chiefs loss but is considered likely to play this Sunday. Woods hasn't been relevant for five games now. Stevie Johnson played after nursing his hip injury in practices and still managed to catch five passes last week for 36 yards. He's been very consistent around 60 or 70 yards in games when healthy and scored two weeks again against the Saints.

TIGHT ENDS: Scott Chandler offers marginal production in almost all games and scored only twice so far. He's a very low end bye week filler since half his games only gain 30 yards or less.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Patriots ravaged the Steelers last week and that was a shock - maybe more so about the Pats than the Steelers. So far the three games held in Pittsburgh have only allowed a total of two passing touchdowns and never more than one per team along with 215 yards or less. The Steelers may be without CB Ike Taylor which would be a big benefit for the Bills. The Steelers have been much worse against the run this year and already allowed 12 rushing scores along with several big yardage games. Consider the Bills as risky moderate plays this week in a venue that typically is very unforgiving but the Steelers are not as formidable in 2013 as they once were. This is not a favorable matchup but it is no longer one that you automatically just avoid.

WHAT TO WATCH: If Manuel can return this week, it should give a spark to an offense that has made do with Thad Lewis and Jeff Tuel. Manuel opened the season against mostly good defenses and was showing signs of improvement already. His return can only help.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 30 7 26 24 13 15
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 6 27 8 13 24 28

 

1 TEN 9-16 10 BUF -
2 @CIN 10-20 11 DET -
3 CHI 23-40 12 @CLE -
4 @MIN 27-34 13 @BAL -
5 BYE WEEK 14 MIA -
6 @NYJ 19-6 15 CIN -
7 BAL 19-16 16 @GB -
8 @OAK 18-21 17 CLE -
9 @NE 31-55 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 340,3
RB Le'Veon Bell 70,1 4-40
WR Antonio Brown 6-70
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey 4-40
WR Lance Moore 5-70
TE Heath Miller 4-50
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Steelers were bombed by the Patriots and allowed the most points in franchise history. Never a good way to start the next week. On the plus since the Steelers scored more than 19 points for the first time since week four. But the defense suddenly looked very slow and had no answer for what Tom Brady did to them. The season is already lost and that merely hammers a painful exclamation point on the fact. This week is likely the easiest matchup left on the schedule other than perhaps the Browns in the season finale. If the Steelers cannot win a home game after a humbling beating, all of the future games come into question. This week should be as good as it gets all year.

QUARTERBACKS: At least Ben Roethlisberger posted a season best 400 yards and four touchdowns in the Patriots loss and that equals the points he generated over the previous four games. It also reversed a slide in yardage as well. But that game was uncharacteristic to the extreme. But the great news here is that he'll face a defense that allowed eight touchdowns over their last two road games.

RUNNING BACKS: Le'Veon Bell comes off a career best game when he ran for 74 yards on 16 carries and added four catches for 65 yards. He received ten targets in the Patriots game and outright dropped a couple though. He's a bit light on scoring with only three touchdowns on the season but those game against two of the weaker defenses they have faced. He is still searching for his first 100 yard rushing game but is gaining at least moderate yardage every week. Whatever there is to get for the rushing offense is going to all go to him.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Jerricho Cotchery scored in every third game this year and really came up big in New England where he caught seven passes for 96 yards and three touchdowns but as the #3 wideout he is very inconsistent and those"other two" games without a score typically offer very marginal yardage. Antonio Brown is on a pace to catch 128 passes this year which would easily set a new franchise record. He's only scored in two games but that includes last week. He also ended up around 90 yards in most games with only one topping the 100 yard mark. Markus Wheaton has been out with a broken finger but may return this week. He's a non-factor this year after a promising summer. Emmanuel Sanders offers just a few catches short of what Brown does every week.

TIGHT ENDS: Heath Miller is also a non-factor. Since returning in week three, he's only scored once and is averaging only 44 yards per game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Expect Roethlisberger to follow up his big week nine showing with another nice game. The Bills secondary have already given up 12 touchdowns to quarterbacks over their four road games this year. That's three each and the yardage is there as well. Their last road game was in New Orleans where Drew Brees hung five touchdowns on them. The rushing defense is actually not that bad and allowed just one rushing touchdown to a running back along with usually moderate yards. Teams simply find it easier to pass to the win against them. That makes Roethlisberger, Sanders and Brown all very attractive plays and Bell remains the solid but unspectacular start as always.

WHAT TO WATCH: This is a chance for the offense to look effective and productive without being far behind on the scoreboard. This week should make all the best skill players look good again.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 15 30 3 25 14 32
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 23 5 31 6 25 27

WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ


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