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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ

Prediction: OAK 13, NYG 24 (Line: NYG by 7.5)

Players of Interest: Andre Brown, Brandon Myers

Update: Juron Criner is out with a bad shoulder and has been removed from the projections. Darren McFadden remains out as well.

The 3-5 Raiders bring their 0-3 road record to face the 2-6 Giants who are on a big two game winning streak. The Giants defense has played much better for the last two weeks thanks to facing the Vikings and Eagles and this could actually be the hat trick since the Raiders almost never travel across country well. Or anywhere actually.

1 @IND 17-21 10 @NYG -
2 JAC 19-9 11 @HOU -
3 @DEN 21-37 12 TEN -
4 WAS 14-24 13 @DAL -
5 SD 27-17 14 @NYJ -
6 @KC 7-24 15 KC -
7 BYE WEEK 16 @SD -
8 PIT 21-18 17 DEN -
9 PHI 20-49 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 50,1 2-10
RB Darren McFadden
WR Denarius Moore 5-80,1
TE Mychal Rivera 2-20
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: Beating the Steelers was impressive-ish but getting spanked by the Eagles using a backup quarterback to tie an NFL single game record tends to undo any sense of progress. The amazing part of the schedule is that in week ten of the season, the Raiders are only facing their fourth road game. They have five of the final eight games away from home and the three games in Oakland face the Titans, Chiefs and Broncos. The 3-5 Raiders may not be getting any better this year. Losing McFadden yet again only strengthens the futility.

QUARTERBACKS: Terrelle Pryor injured his knee last week and is day-to-day with more of a bruise than a sprain. I will assume that he can play without much limitation and update if needed. Should he be held out the Raiders move on to Matt McGloin. Pryor has been augmenting his passing with plenty of rushing and gained over 90 yards as a runner in the last two games. But the Raiders only have six passing scores all year. McGloin is an ex-Penn State quarterback who stepped in and threw for 87 yards at the end of the blowout loss to the Eagles.

RUNNING BACKS: Once again, Darren McFadden is out with an injury. Since he could not think of anything new to do, he just re-injured the old hamstring problem from a month ago and is likely to miss this week if not more. In his place Rashad Jennings had a great game with 102 rush yards and a score plus seven catches for 74 yards essentially all in slop time when the Eagles already led by a sizable margin. I will assume that Jennings take the lead again this week and update as needed. When he replaced McFadden in week five, Jennings only managed 41 yards on ten carries with no catches.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The Raiders are starting to work in Juron Criner as if he was the missing piece of the puzzle. Criner's first game only produced three catches for 32 yards on eight passes in a complete blowout when the defensive backs were reading text messages while also trying to cover him. Denarius Moore had perhaps his best matchup of the year but only caught five passes for 82 yards and no scores. Rod Streater was better with 98 yards on five receptions but he's rarely above 50 yards and scored only once all year. This is a very unproductive group aside from Moore who leads the team with four touchdowns and usually 80 yards per week but he's not above the occasion clunker.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Giants have improved greatly on defense at least when they are at home. The last three opponents were held to under 200 pass yards and only scored twice in total over those weeks. That tracks even with the marginal passing by Pryor who will use his legs a lot if healthy. Michael Vick ran for 79 yards when he played there. The Giants rushing defense has been decent to very good considering the number of very good runners that they have faced. The Raiders are likely to rely on Jennings so that's only going to bring the average down. Coming in with a banged up Pryor and no McFadden isn't going to end well here. None of the players are more than flex plays this week other than Moore who should be a low end WR2 or WR3.

WHAT TO WATCH: Relying on Jennings in a road game should bring the heat from the pass rush that won't care if the Raiders try to run. This should end up to be everyone keying on Pryor every play.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 17 12 25 30 31 22
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 20 11 11 25 22 32

 

1 @DAL 31-36 10 OAK -
2 DEN 23-41 11 GB -
3 @CAR 0-38 12 DAL -
4 @KC 7-31 13 @WAS -
5 PHI 21-36 14 @SD -
6 @CHI 21-27 15 SEA -
7 MIN 23-7 16 @DET -
8 @PHI 15-7 -17 WAS -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 260,2
RB Rashad Jennings 50 6-40
WR Victor Cruz 7-90,1
WR Mario Manningham 2-30
WR Rueben Randle 4-70,1
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Two straight wins in the NFC East and suddenly you are in contention for the division. It wasn't that the Giants won two games as much as they held two opponents to only seven points each. This from a team that gave away 31+ for the first five weeks. As it works out, the Giants host the Raiders without McFadden, then host the Packers without Rodgers. Then host the Cowboys. This winning streak may only be getting started. Coming off their bye, the G-Men should be ready for this game.

QUARTERBACKS: The Giants finally won a couple of games but Eli Manning did not have a lot to do with it other than those were the only games this year where he had no turnovers. Manning's production remains anemic compared to previous years and only scored four touchdowns over the last six games. He's been stuck with sub-250 yard games in almost every week as well.

RUNNING BACKS: This is the big week where Andre Brown is expected to return until he gets injured again. The Giants intend on using him as a three-down back so Brandon Jacobs and Peyton Hillis will have to just fondly recall their respective one-game wonders. David Wilson remains out with the neck problem and there is a chance he'll wind up on injured reserve soon. Brown will be getting his first playing time of the year but won't be enjoying the same level of blocking or general offense as he did in years past. Until there is a reason to the contrary, I will just be projecting for Brown.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This group still struggles. Hakeem Nicks was never traded but everyone agrees he is gone next season. He still has yet to score any touchdowns this year and rarely gains more than 50 yards in any game. Reuben Randle has been the most productive with four touchdowns over the last four games but that was three games with touchdowns that were sandwiched by games with either one or no catches. Victor Cruz is consistent with yardage of around 60 yards per week or more but has not scored since back in week four. Cruz has been the most productive in road games this year.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value. Brandon Myers never gets more than two or three catches if even that much. He will be facing his old team though and that usually generates extra motivation.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Raiders are plenty bad on defense as shown by Nick Foles last week when he passed for seven touchdowns. The Giants haven't been throwing as much in recent games and Manning will get Andre Brown back this week to face an average rushing defense. Cruz should be in the best spot for a good game but there is inconsistency in how they are used so a risk that one of the three has a bad game each week. The opponents #1 wideout has been the most successful but both Nicks and Randle have a shot at a good game.

WHAT TO WATCH: Andre Brown should pickup where both Brandon Jacobs and Peyton Hillis left off. The Giants two wins came when there was good production from the primary back.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 23 25 8 28 28 30
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 28 15 29 18 6 26

WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ


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