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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ

Prediction: SEA 24, ATL 20 (Line: SEA by 6)

Update: Roddy White was able to put in limited practices all week and is expected to play though he is still listed as questionable. Going against the Seahawks may mean he is mostly a decoy this week.

The 8-1 Seahawks head to Atlanta where the 2-6 Falcons are still reading the owners manual for a team that still just won't start and if does it just dies again. The Seahawks lost to the Falcons in the playoffs 28-30. They may remember that. Normally this is the sort of game where the Seahawks try to mail it in, make it look like a tight game and then clip them late in the fourth quarter. That could still happen but playoff losses tend to stick with players longer since it prevents them from buying their babies another 5000 pairs of shoes.

1 @CAR 12-7 10 @ATL -
2 SF 29-3 11 MIN -
3 JAC 45-17 12 BYE WEEK
4 @HOU 23-20 13 NO -
5 @IND 28-34 14 @SF -
6 TEN 20-13 15 @NYG -
7 @ARI 34-22 16 ARI -
8 @STL 14-9 17 STL -
9 TB 27-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA @ ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Terrelle Pryor 50 250,1
QB Russell Wilson 30 230,2
RB Marshawn Lynch 70,1 2-10
WR Doug Baldwin 3-40
WR Jermaine Kearse 2-40,1
TE Zach Miller 3-40
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are on a string of four straight wins and they all came in a sort of lazy, don't try too hard sort of way that the Chiefs are also perfecting. With just this game and then hosting the Vikes left before the bye, the Seahawks will be positioned nicely to take the division that can be made official in week 14 if they win in San Francisco. Otherwise it would be playing out the final two or three games as wins to get there.

QUARTERBACKS: Russell Wilson rushed in his first touchdown of the year in the win over the Buccaneers but his rushing yardage has waned in the last month. He still plods along with around 200 yards and maybe one or two scores per week because that is all they need to win. He's never safe to rely on for more than very moderate stats each week.

Wilson passed for 385 yards and two touchdowns in the playoffs against the Falcons and added a rushing score on his seven carries for 60 yards as well.

RUNNING BACKS: Marshawn Lynch ended with 125 yards on 21 carries last week but much of that came later in the game and in particular in the final drives. He was very effective rushing but they just did not call his number as often. Robert Turbin was allowed eight runs for 37 yards in that game. Lynch is solid enough with rushing yardage but he's only carried the ball more than 21 times just once this year. The work that Turbin is getting suggests that he is the #2 back in the offense but the expectation is that if Lynch was to become injured, that Christine Michael would take his place since they are both the same sort of runners. Turbin is on the field because he also plays special teams.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Doug Baldwin had his best fantasy game of the year when he brought in six catches for 75 yards and one score in the win over the Bucs. That happened thanks to Golden Tate getting matched on by Darrelle Revis. Percy Harvin has practiced for two weeks now but is still not considered ready to play. There's probably no need to bring him up until after the week 12 bye anyway. These wideouts are average at best and far too inconsistent for anything but a desperation start. Tate has been the best so far, especially with Sidney Rice gone.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value for Zach Miller who spends far too many games just blocking than catching passes or scoring.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Falcons have allowed at least two touchdowns to every opposing quarterback this year. All of them. The yardage can go high if the opponent feels so inclined. The only saving grace to this defense is that they are decent at stopping the run and have only allowed four touchdowns to the position this year. Andre Ellington is the only rusher who topped 64 yards against them and that was because he broke a long run. Safe to expect a couple of scores for Wilson since everyone gets that like it was a party gift. Wilson and Tate make for moderate plays that won't likely have a big game but should post decent stats along with Lynch who always starts but likely won't get as much for his 21 carries this week.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Seahawks could roll the Falcons and owe them after the playoffs last year. But this is a mismatch this time around and the Seahawks are more likely to just take their win without trying to roll up the score.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 7 16 16 21 7 7
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 24 14 25 20 32 10

 

1 @NO 17-23 10 SEA -
2 STL 31-24 11 @TB -
3 @MIA 23-27 12 NO -
4 NE 23-30 13 @BUF -
5 NYJ 28-30 14 @GB -
6 BYE WEEK 15 WAS -
7 TB 31-23 16 @SF -
8 @ARI 13-27 17 CAR -
9 @CAR 10-34 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 260,2
RB Steven Jackson 60 3-20
RB Jacquizz Rodgers 20 3-20,1
WR Drew Davis 4-50
WR Harry Douglas 6-50
WR Roddy White 3-30
TE Tony Gonzalez 5-50,1
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: A long season is not getting any better and Roddy White remains out. The Falcons continue to allow plenty of points to opponents while their own scoring has taken another step downward. Steven Jackson is back but offers no advantage. The offense is producing some fantasy value but that comes later in most games and 2013 has been just one big game of catch-up for the Falcons.

QUARTERBACKS: Though he's been stripped of his best weapons, Matt Ryan still scores every week and always two or more when at home along with high yardage. That's not as much as what his defense is giving away but he's been a surprisingly decent fantasy play each week at least when at home. His last two road trips resulted in single touchdown games with four and three interceptions respectively. But otherwise Ryan has not been part of the problem. And yet he is not enough alone to be the solution.

RUNNING BACKS: Two weeks back and about all Steven Jackson accomplished was to ruin the moderate fantasy value of Jacquizz Rodgers. Jackson ran for 57 yards on 13 carries in Carolina and added three catches for 19 yards. What was supposed to be his chance for double digit touchdowns so far hasn't resulted in even one. Facing the Seahawks isn't likely to break that chain.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Roddy White is getting closer to returning and may show up this week. I'll update if he does though he could pick a better week than when the Seahawks show up. His temporary replacement Drew Davis only managed one catch in the loss to the Panthers and may end up drawing CB Richard Sherman. Harry Douglas remains surprisingly effective though that may wane this week. He's never been worse than 82 yards in the three starts so far. Douglas has been the best weapon on the team for the last three weeks with more catches and yardage than even Tony Gonzalez.

TIGHT ENDS: After a couple very bad games, Tony Gonzalez turned in six catches for 81 yards and a score in Carolina. that was his first touchdown since week four and a reverse to his declining trend. Each defense is devoting more coverage to Gonzo since there is a lack of other concerns on the offense. That should likely happen again this week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Seahawks rank #1 against quarterbacks but that stems mostly from being dominating in every home game. On the road they have been much more accommodating and almost every opponent scores once or twice and can have decent yardage.The rushing defense is also less formidable away from home but the Falcons are bringing much to the table so far this year. Unfortunately, Harry Douglas has his toughest matchup of the year and yet there is always the chance for late game slop. Consider Ryan, Jackson and Douglas as low grade fantasy options this week. They could pick up some slop late in the game but that is hard to rely on.

WHAT TO WATCH: Steven Jackson should be getting healthier and doing much more than he has. He's been a complete non-factor so far but the Falcons have not given him more than 13 runs in any game so far.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 10 19 18 7 19 26
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 1 9 2 12 8 15

WEEK 10 WAS at MIN (THU) DAL at NO JAC at TEN STL at IND
CIN at BAL HOU at ARI SEA at ATL MIA at TB (MON)
BUF at PIT DEN at SD OAK at NYG On Bye:
*UPDATED CAR at SF DET at CHI PHI at GB CLE, KC, NE, NYJ


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