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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL

Prediction: DET 24, PIT 20 (Line: DET by 1.5)

Update: Nate Burleson is not quite ready to return yet and has been removed from the projections. He is expected to play next week.

The 6-3 Lions are on a two game winning streak and are 3-2 in road games. They now sit alone on the top of the NFC North. The 3-6 Steelers are just 2-2 at home. This is a coin toss game though the Steelers defense has declined this year while the Lions are now surging towards the playoffs like they belong there.

1 MIN 34-24 10 @CHI 21-19
2 @ARI 21-25 11 @PIT -
3 @WAS 27-20 12 TB -
4 CHI 40-32 13 GB -
5 @GB 9-22 14 @PHI -
6 @CLE 31-17 15 BAL -
7 CIN 24-27 16 NYG -
8 DAL 31-30 17 @MIN -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 280,2
RB Joique Bell 30,1
RB Reggie Bush 50 4-40
WR Kris Durham 4-50
WR Calvin Johnson 7-90,1
WR Golden Tate 5-50
TE Brandon Pettigrew 4-40

Pregame Notes: The Lions are playing in a lot of close games in recent weeks and winning most them. The defense has been only average but the offense finally has a balance and a swagger that has been missing for many years. Maybe decades depending on who you ask. The remaining schedule is also one of the lightest ones in the league thanks to the decline in the Packers just in the nick of time. This week is likely the biggest remaining challenge.

QUARTERBACKS: Matthew Stafford continues to score in every game and on the road has always been good for at least two if not four touchdowns. And healthy yardage in each game. Stafford already threw 19 touchdowns this year and ran in two others. He's consistently good and a member of the elite now.

RUNNING BACKS: Reggie Bush has been a perfect addition to the offense and not just as a receiver. He's rushed for more than 90 yards in four different weeks and gains over 100 total yards almost every time. Joique Bell remains just relief when Bush is healthy but with the defense busy tracking down Calvin Johnson on every play, Bush can find some room to run.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Nate Burleson may return this week from his pizza accident and he was turning in at least six catches per week for the first three games. But Kris Durham has earned a role as well with two touchdowns on the year and usually 40 or 50 yards per week. Calvin Johnson was all about the yardage last year but light on the scores. For 2103, he's already came down with nine touchdown grabs and topped 100 yards four times. When Johnson is on he's just a thing of beauty because he cannot be stopped.

TIGHT ENDS: Brandon Pettigrew comes off a season best 70 yards on five catches versus the Bears but he has only one touchdown all year and averages more like 40 yards per game. Joseph Fauria scored five times by week six and since has only totaled two short catches for no scores.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Steelers were one of the top pass defenses though they had played few decent quarterbacks and looked good because of Jake Locker, Joe Flacco, E.J. Manuel, Matt Cassel, Geno Smith and Terrelle Pryor. When they faced Tom Brady he lit them up for 432 yards and four scores in New England. The Steelers are still above average but no reason to automatically bench Matt Stafford and never for Calvin Johnson. Reggie Bush is a interesting start against a defense that has allowed 12 rushing touchdowns and several big games by runners. Stafford, Bush and Johnson are the only safe plays but more could happen.

WHAT TO WATCH: Nate Burleson returns and he was a big contributor before he left. His first three games posted stat lines of 6-78, 7-45 and 6-116. If he can return to that sort of production, the offense gets even better.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 4 3 9 12 18 25
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 7 21 6 19 21 28

 

1 TEN 9-16 10 BUF 23-10
2 @CIN 10-20 11 DET -
3 CHI 23-40 12 @CLE -
4 @MIN 27-34 13 @BAL -
5 BYE WEEK 14 MIA -
6 @NYJ 19-6 15 CIN -
7 BAL 19-16 16 @GB -
8 @OAK 18-21 17 CLE -
9 @NE 31-55 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 270,1
RB Le'Veon Bell 60,1 4-40
WR Antonio Brown 7-120,1
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey 3-40
WR Lance Moore 3-40
TE Heath Miller 2-20
PK Shaun Suisham 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Steelers bounced back from their humbling loss to the Patriots by beating a weak visiting Bills team. But the offense still struggles to post touchdowns in most weeks and the Steelers tend to play up or down to the level of their opponent. The season is already realistically lost and they get to deal with the rumors that Ben Roethlisberger wants out next year (since denied by him as you would do if you secretly really wanted out).

QUARTERBACKS: The loss in New England may have been record setting but at least it broke Ben Roethlisberger's string of one-touchdown games. Seven times he has only managed one passing touchdown despite topped 380 yards in three different games and usually staying north of 250 in most games. He's still getting his annual battering when the combination of holding onto the ball and a bad offensive line yields 35 sacks in just nine games played.

RUNNING BACKS: Le'Veon Bell chugs along with 16 to 20 carries per week and a decent role as a receiver as well. He ends up near 100 total yards in almost every game and scored four times so far. Bell is no game breaker with a penchant for long runs but he is a burly powerhouse that helps moves the chains and bashes a path to the endzone when it draws near. This is only his third home game and he produced right at 100 total yards in the first two.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Markus Wheaton is back but did not record a catch last week. He'll be mixed in with Jerricho Cotchery who actually leads the team with six receiving touchdowns thanks to the three scores he netted in New England. Antonio Brown only scored three times so far but he's on a pace to end with 119 catches for 1400 yards. He's been a gem in reception point leagues with at least five receptions in every game. Emmanuel Sanders also has several big performances but his last two home games only totaled 20 yards on five catches. This is a very effective group in total at least for yardage and catches.

TIGHT ENDS: Heath Miller still is in decline and only caught one pass last week. He's a nonfactor in the offense and in fantasy.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Lions defense fits in well here - they typically allow a lot of yardage and yet only one touchdown in road games. Their rushing defense is solid and still has never allowed any runner to top 100 yards yet. This home game shapes up to be the same as any - Roethlisberger is a marginal start but with yardage, Antonio Brown is a must start and Bell is never worse than a RB2. All else is a coin flip.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 18 29 3 24 10 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 17 11 29 20 31 2

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL


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