FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL

Prediction: GB 17, NYG 27 (Line: NYG by 6)

Players of Interest: Brandon Bostick

The 5-4 Packers have lost their last two games, their quarterback, their tight end, their backup quarterback, a wide receiver and a smattering of different defensive players. The Giants are on a three game winning streak thanks to a nice stretch of the schedule that continues with this nifty piece of timing.

1 @SF 28-34 10 PHI 13-27
2 WAS 38-20 11 @NYG -
3 @CIN 30-34 12 MIN -
4 BYE WEEK 13 @DET -
5 DET 22-9 14 ATL -
6 @BAL 19-17 15 @DAL -
7 CLE 31-13 16 PIT -
8 @MIN 44-31 17 @CHI -
9 CHI 20-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
GB @ NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Scott Tolzien 240,1
RB Eddie Lacy 80,1 2-10
WR Jarrett Boykin 5-80
WR Jordy Nelson 4-70,1
TE Brandon Bostick 4-30
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: It was all going so well until the injury bug turned into a swarm in Green Bay. Now Aaron Rodgers is still out for several more weeks and players continue to fall. As of it was the result of some karma, it appears that the Lions are going to likely take the NFC North as the only healthy team. Now there is a true turnaround. The Packers have a few pretty light matchups in the coming weeks but this team cannot hang in a home game for now.

QUARTERBACKS: Seneca Wallace was put on injured reserve with a groin injury and now the Packers are onto their #3 quarterback for the first time since they acquired Brett Favre. They also signed Matt Flynn for depth. For now they will proceed with practice squadder Scott Tolzien who was terrible in passing for 280 yards and one score on the Eagles. He added two interceptions but considering it was his first ever NFL game action, Tolzien was decent. He gets the benefit of soft secondaries for the next couple of weeks.

RUNNING BACKS: The problem with wanting to rely on Eddie Lacy is that the defense assumes that and last week limited him to only 73 yards on 24 carries and stopped his three game streak with a touchdown. James Starks only played for four runs to gain five yards. The most troubling part was that Tolzien made very little use of the running backs as receivers. Lacy continues as the primary back but will need soft matchups to succeed now that the passing offense is no longer concerning defenses as much.

WIDE RECEIVERS: It wasn't all bad news last week. Sure, Jordy Nelson was held to only 56 yards on six catches but at least Jarrett Boykin brought in eight receptions for 112 yards as the most targeted wideout. James Jones is still a nonfactor since returning in week nine but at least Tolzien is connecting with Boykin. Imagine that sentence last summer. This may no longer be the elite class of the NFL but at least there is promise that it won't all fall apart without Rodgers there. Boykin was dropped in many fantasy leagues when he had just one catch against the Bears. He'll be snapped up in every league once again.

TIGHT ENDS: The sad news is that there is real speculation that Jermichael Finley may not return from his spinal cord injury and that his career may be over. But at least Brandon Bostick caught three passes for 42 yards with a touchdown in the loss to the Eagles. Those were the first catches for the second-year player. Andrew Quarless is just a blocking tight end and the Packers need to develop someone else as as receiver if in fact Finley is done.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Giants started the year playing very poorly but at home they have been much better and only allowed four passing touchdowns and decent yardage. They are playing better overall as a team and it affects the defense and ball position and so on. Two of the four visitors there never passed for a score and only two runners managed to score a touchdown in New York so far. Some of that is from facing the Vikings and Raiders most recently though. This week consider Lacy still worthy of a start and both Boykin and Nelson as well given the hope that this ends up with a lot more passing at the end of the game.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Giants are weaker against tight ends. Would like to see Bostick at least field another three or four passes for an idea if he can develop into more.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 7 14 2 15 2 26
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 18 16 7 24 22 32

 

1 @DAL 31-36 10 OAK 24-20
2 DEN 23-41 11 GB -
3 @CAR 0-38 12 DAL -
4 @KC 7-31 13 @WAS -
5 PHI 21-36 14 @SD -
6 @CHI 21-27 15 SEA -
7 MIN 23-7 16 @DET -
8 @PHI 15-7 -17 WAS -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 250,1
RB Rashad Jennings 70,1 3-20
WR Victor Cruz 7-100
WR Rueben Randle 3-50,1
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The two game winning streak is pretty welcome and not nearly over thanks to facing the Packers-lite®. The wins have been much more about running the ball better than anything that Eli Manning is doing. And the best part is that at 3-6 the Giants are only two games back of the division leaders. This is a lost season in reality and worse yet because the offense has just gone stale and Eli Manning is playing like it was part of a plea deal to avoid prison for something.

QUARTERBACKS: Eli Manning continues to be unimpressive and play like he has some injury that he still has not told anyone. He's thrown for more than one score in only two games all year and the last month has been yet another step down with only three scores in four games and never more than 250 passing yards. He has improved on his turnovers but that is his only positive development.

RUNNING BACKS: So much for easing Andre Brown back into the offense. His first game back had 30 carries for 115 yards and a touchdown. Peyton Hillis is now just a relief player while Brandon Jacobs has likely seen his last hurrah in the NFL. The Giants still do not pass to running backs but at least they are not shy about riding Brown hard in a game. There is no other option to move the ball. Brown is less than the most durable player but until that next injury, he looks like a nice add and maybe one of those mid-season pickups that you can ride.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The most curious demise of the Giants wide receivers goes on unabated. Hakeem Nicks is playing out his final year here and apparently avoiding any end zones along the way. Rueben Randle has plenty of promise and scored in four of the last five games but he rarely gets more than five passes thrown to him each week and his yardage remains marginal almost every week. Victor Cruz signed the big contract and now just turns in around 60 yards per week as the primary receiver. He scored just once since the season opener and barely makes the grade as a WR3 since he never scores anymore.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: There is nothing special about the Packers defense and less so on the road with an injury ravaged offense. They've allowed multiple touchdowns to most opponents and healthy yardage to the better passing offenses. That used to apply here but less so in recent weeks. Plus the Giants are excited to once again have a rushing offense that will face a defense that gave up five touchdowns to running backs over the four road games so far. Brown is a must start this week and you still should stick with Nelson if only for the consistent yardage. Anyone else will be riskier but have some upside here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 28 27 10 30 28 30
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 24 12 18 25 9 9

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL


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