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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL

Prediction: MIN 13, SEA 31 (Line: SEA by 13.5)

The Vikings come off their win over the Redskins and now hope to win on the road for the first time on American soil. The 9-1 Seahawks are on a five game winning streak, are 4-0 at home and are not scared of a banged up Christian Ponder.

1 @DET 24-34 10 WAS 34-27
2 @CHI 30-31 11 @SEA -
3 CLE 27-31 12 @GB -
4 PIT 34-27 13 CHI -
5 BYE WEEK 14 @BAL -
6 CAR 10-35 15 PHI -
7 @NYG 7-23 16 @CIN -
8 GB 31-44 17 DET -
9 @DAL 23-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Christian Ponder 20 180
RB Adrian Peterson 60,1 3-30
WR Greg Jennings 4-40
WR Jerome Simpson 4-50
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings won thanks to the usual fine game by Adrian Peterson but even Christian Ponder was able to contribute and led the Vikes on a winning drive no less. That was the lightest matchup for the rest of the year though so the victory may need to last them for a while. This week is about as bad as it gets though the Seahawks are not above mailing in a home win against a clearly bad team.

QUARTERBACKS: Christian Ponder dislocated his non-throwing shoulder last week but the MRI showed only minor damage and his ability to play will depend on his pain tolerance. That was Ponders only game with more than one passing touchdown and he still has never thrown for more than 236 yards in any game this year. He remains well below fantasy relevance even in a good matchup. Less so in this "bad as it gets" game.

RUNNING BACKS: Adrian Peterson is much lighter on the yardage this year but at least his scoring has been more than enough to merit a fantasy start every week. He's scored ten touchdowns already and is on a string of three straight with a touchdown. His production is merely a function of the number of carries that he is given. In tougher matchups like this week, he's been getting only 10 to 15 runs instead of the 20+ of other games.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Jerome Simpson was so happy about getting that home win last Sunday that he was arrested that night for driving while intoxicated. It won't impact this week but will do a number to his wallet and could have longer term implications. Overall this is one of the worst groups in the NFL. Greg Jennings has been stuck with less than 60 yards in all but two games and only scored in just one. Cordarrelle Patterson logged his first offensive touchdown in the Redskins win though he only had two catches for 22 yards and has never been north of 49 yards in a game so far. This is a bad group now facing one of the elite secondaries.

TIGHT ENDS: John Carlson turned in a freakish seven catches for 98 yards and a score on the Redskins but that was roughly the same amount he totaled in the eight previous games. He is replacing Kyle Rudolph for now but he's mainly just a blocker who had one good game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: No need to break this down. The only Viking player that is ever worth a fantasy start is Peterson who faces a defense loaded up to stop him. What he can hope for is trash time when he is given carries that the Seahawks no longer care about. When Rashard Mendenhall, Donald Brown, Maurice Jones-Drew and Jordan Toddman are the only players who score on a defense, figure it is all about trash time.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 23 13 28 13 19 13
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 2 9 3 12 6 11

 

1 @CAR 12-7 10 @ATL 33-10
2 SF 29-3 11 MIN -
3 JAC 45-17 12 BYE WEEK
4 @HOU 23-20 13 NO -
5 @IND 28-34 14 @SF -
6 TEN 20-13 15 @NYG -
7 @ARI 34-22 16 ARI -
8 @STL 14-9 17 STL -
9 TB 27-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Terrelle Pryor
QB Russell Wilson 30 230,2
RB Marshawn Lynch 90,1
WR Doug Baldwin 5-70,1
WR Percy Harvin 2-40
WR Jermaine Kearse 3-50
TE Zach Miller 2-10,1
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: So far so good for the Seahawks and their two game lead in the NFC. The schedule has been pretty kind overall and this week is no exception. To make it even better, they get a bye in week 12 so they can be healthier than most other teams. There are only two games of any consequence left and that will be hosting the Saints and then playing in San Francisco the next week. A trap game could always happen but the Seahawks are in the pole position with a sizable lead already.

QUARTERBACKS: Russell Wilson is on a four game streak of multiple touchdowns and he back to 2012 in that he won't turn in that much yardage in most weeks but he's still scoring well. He already has 17 passing scores on the year and yet six games came in with fewer than 220 passing yards.

RUNNING BACKS: The scary part of home games against bad teams is that Marshawn Lynch has a tendency to do less in those matchups instead of having a monster game. He is on a good trend now of getting 20+ carries in four of the last five games. He's a lock for a good game each week but when he faced the visiting Jaguars, he only ran 17 times for 69 yards. What needs to happen somehow is for the Vikings to make this look like a real game so that Lynch remains interested.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Golden Tate comes off his best game of the year when he caught six passes for 106 yard and one touchdown but the sad reality is that his worst games across the board were all at home. He's never scored in Seattle this year and all but one home game featured no more than 33 yards. Jermaine Kearse scored in the last two games but never has more than a couple of catches. At least one of his four touchdowns happened at home.

Percy Harvin intends to make his debut this week against his old team though he is not yet a lock to play and would not be expected to a heavy workload after his hip has kept him out all year. He'll likely play a few downs, get a couple of passes and then wait until after the bye before taking a bigger role. The passing is always low at home anyway.

TIGHT ENDS: No real fantasy value for Zach MIller though he has posted 40 yards in two of the last three weeks. Miller is far too likely to turn in single catch games to merit any consideration.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikings are weak across the board in every position so it ends up more what the Seahawks want to accomplish instead of just taking whatever the defense allows. This i s a good chance for Lynch to have a decent game at home but the rest of the skill players are harder to tag. Wilson makes for a marginal start and even Golden Tate trends downward in all home games.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 5 16 17 25 3 8
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 31 30 27 29 28 21

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL


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