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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL

Prediction: OAK 20, HOU 31 (Line: HOU by 7)

Players of Interest: Ben Tate

Update: Terrelle Pryor is questionable because of his knees and only had some limited work on Thursday and Friday. He looks like a game time decision and if he cannot play the Raiders will go with Matt McGloin. This is a messy situation and not one to rely on if you can avoid it. Even if Pryor plays, he could end up being pulled.

Update #2 - Pryor is now called out.

The 3-6 Raiders are on a two game losing streak and are a perfect 0-4 in road games this year. The 2-7 Texans have lost seven in a row - usually not by much - and welcome any team that cannot win on the road.

1 @IND 17-21 10 @NYG 20-24
2 JAC 19-9 11 @HOU -
3 @DEN 21-37 12 TEN -
4 WAS 14-24 13 @DAL -
5 SD 27-17 14 @NYJ -
6 @KC 7-24 15 KC -
7 BYE WEEK 16 @SD -
8 PIT 21-18 17 DEN -
9 PHI 20-49 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK @ HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew McGloin 160
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 60 3-20
WR Denarius Moore 4-50
TE Mychal Rivera 3-20
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders schedule now take a turn for the worse with four of the next seven games on the road where they never win and home games against the Titans, Chiefs and Broncos. With any luck, week 17 against the Broncos will be meaningless for Denver and they'll let the Raiders win. Problem with the Raiders is that the offense has lost what little ability it had to pass the ball.

QUARTERBACKS: Terrelle Pryor is playing with a sprained MCL and only rushing for 19 yards in New York was a bad sign after the two previous games both produced over 90 rushing yards. Pryor only threw five touchdowns all year and none over the last three weeks. He's not expected to take a week off for his knee but it does limit him in the only way he's been truly productive.

RUNNING BACKS: Darren McFadden remains out with a hamstring injury but at least Rashard Jennings is playing well enough to not be a problem and draw kudos from the coaching staff. Jennings ran for 88 yards on 20 carries in New York and gained 102 yards and a score in the home win over the Eagles that included seven catches for 74 yards. With Pryor throwing the ball less effectively, Jennings makes a nice target.

Marcel Reece remains only good for a couple of catches per week. Jennings is not only the primary now but he's done well enough to earn a role even when McFadden returns.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Recent weeks have really been hard on the wideouts who have done little this year anyway. Denarius Moore was the only wideout worthy of any fantasy consideration with four of the five touchdowns caught by a wide receiver but he's been quiet for three weeks now despite getting about ten targets in most games. Rod Streater pops up on a rare occasion with some moderate stats but only in home games. Moore is worth watching to see what might happen in the future but for now he's too big a risk to do nothing.

TIGHT ENDS: Mychal Rivera has no fantasy value and is lucky to top 20 yards in any game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Texans defense has been less of their problem than the offense and this home game is a great setting for a more inspired effort to get a win against a team that is 0-4 in road venues. The pass defense allowed multiple touchdowns in in half their games but the other half were only one or no scores and the Raiders hardly bring an elite passing offense to Houston. The Texans have not allowed a 100 yard rusher this year though about half of the opponents will run in a score. The only reasonable start here is Jennings and only that as a flex/RB3 sort of start.

WHAT TO WATCH: No different than any game lately - Pryor needs to re-establish some chemistry with the starting wideouts or that road game problem is never going to go away.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 19 10 30 32 31 18
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 8 15 2 7 18 31

 

1 @SD 31-28 10 @ARI 24-27
2 TEN 30-24 11 OAK -
3 @BAL 9-30 12 JAC -
4 SEA 20-23 13 NE -
5 @SF 3-34 14 @JAC -
6 STL 13-38 15 @IND -
7 @KC 16-17 16 DEN -
8 BYE WEEK 17 @TEN -
9 IND 24-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
HOU vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 260,1
QB Case Keenum 240,3
RB Andre Brown 90,1 2-10
RB Dennis Johnson 20 1-10
WR DeAndre Hopkins 4-50,1
WR Andre Johnson 7-100,2
TE Garrett Graham 3-30
PK Randy Bullock 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Texans are on a seven-game losing skid though the last three losses were by a combined seven points. The next two opponents are both at home - the Raiders and Jaguars - offer clearly the best hope for getting on the bigger side of the score. This is a lost season thanks in part to injuries but the Texans have problem on both sides of the ball. The biggest problem is that they are consistently not quite good enough.

QUARTERBACKS: While Case Keenum has been unable to mount those late game winning drives that put away an opponent, he's been surprisingly good for fantasy football with three scores in both of the most recent games and still has yet to throw an interception. This will be his lightest matchup yet faced and a chance to actually get a lead on their opponent that can stick.

RUNNING BACKS: Arian Foster landed on injured reserve this week and is gone for the season needing back surgery. Ben Tate has four broken ribs but continues to be the primary back with decent results. He ran for 81 yards against the visiting Colts and then 56 yards in Arizona. Dennis Johnson is the #2 back now but only has a minimal role. He'll supply just change of pace and relief work.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Keenum has certainly been what Andre Johnson needed with five touchdowns over the last two games and a solid stat line every time the new quarterback is the starter. Johnson has been gaining around 80 yards in most games with Keenum and his scoring is all new since he had no touchdowns prior to two weeks ago. DeAndre Hopkins sees a marginal increase in use with Keenum but it is clearly Johnson who gains the benefit of Keenum.

TIGHT ENDS: Keenum has not had any impact on the tight ends though Ryan Griffin caught a touchdown last week on his only catch in the game. No reliable value where.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Raiders are weak against the pass as Nick Foles certainly proved. The Raiders have been fortunate enough to not face many good passing teams or they would look even worse than the 18 passing scores that they have already given up. The Raiders are also much weaker versus the run in road games with four touchdown given up to the position in just the last three away venues. Keenum gets his best passing matchup so far and is worthy of a low-level start at least. Tate has just one score on the year but this will be about as good as it gets for notching the second one. He's worth a start as is Andre Johnson of course. Any other players here are really risky even in this home game.

WHAT TO WATCH: The Texans have played it really close for three straight weeks and now face the visiting Raiders. This should be the way the offense ideally works and a precursor of what to expect against the Jaguars next week. Ben Tate is particularly interesting now that it appears he is the #1 for the rest of the season.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 16 20 13 7 26 28
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 22 17 26 9 5 24

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL


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