FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL

Prediction: WAS 20, PHI 27 (Line: PHI by 3)

The 3-6 Redskins remain at the bottom of the NFL East and come off a loss in Minnesota where it was believed wins were free. The Skins are only 1-4 on the road. The 5-5 Eagles are now in a tie for the NFC East lead with the Cowboys but are an incredible 0-4 in home games. Someone gets to buck a trend in this game. The Eagles won this matchup in the season opener 33-27.

1 PHI 27-33 10 @MIN 27-34
2 @GB 20-38 11 @PHI -
3 DET 20-27 12 SF -
4 @OAK 24-14 13 NYG -
5 BYE WEEK 14 KC -
6 @DAL 16-31 15 @ATL -
7 CHI 45--41 16 DAL -
8 @DEN 21-45 17 @NYG -
9 SD 30-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS @ PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 30 250,1
RB Alfred Morris 90,1
WR Pierre Garcon 7-80,1
WR Leonard Hankerson 5-60
WR DeSean Jackson 5-100,1
WR Andre Roberts 2-20
TE Jordan Reed 6-50
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Redskins continue to be hampered by not having an actual defense this year. It is a problem that not only dooms them in most games but also one that only becomes worse when they hit the road. The offense is playing well for the last month and the rushing attack has sharply improved but it never matters when they cannot match what their defense is already giving away each week.

QUARTERBACKS: Robert Griffin III comes off one of his best games of the year when he passed for 281 yards and one score against the Vikings. That's the same number of touchdowns he passed over the four previous games combined. Griffin opened the season with 329 yards and two scores against the visiting Eagles.

RUNNING BACKS: After half a season of never carrying a big workload, Alfred Morris ran for 25+ carries in each of the last two games and topped 120 yards against both the Chargers and Vikings. He only gained 45 yards on 12 runs in the season opener against the Eagles but scored once. For the last month, Morris was a lock to gain 90+ yards in each game though he only scored two of the eight rushing scores in those games.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The wideouts are without any fantasy value other than Pierre Garcon who has not scored since back in week four but at least is good for around 60 yards in most games. He gained a season best 172 yards on seven catches last Thursday but it was only his second game ever over 75 yards. Leonard Hankerson has improved in recent weeks but only rising up to 50 or 60 yards and rarely scoring. Hankerson turned in a career best 80 yards and two scores on the Eagles back in the opener while Garcon caught seven passes for 64 yards.

TIGHT ENDS: Jordan Reed is the second most common target after Garcon and already scored three times this year and gained over 50 yards in each of the last six games. He's a lock for five catches or more and offers rare consistency on this team.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Eagles at home have been better against the pass than on the road and defended the pass pretty well for the last four games when they've only allowed a total of two touchdowns. This is a much better defense than the one that opened the season and allowed plenty of points for the first month. Griffin's already been on a streak of lower scoring games save for the recent Vikings tilt. Morris should at least have a decent game here though the Eagles are tougher at home versus the run than when they are away and he was little used in that first meeting. He's bound to get more carries this time. Jordan Reed is a new weapon that wasn't as important in week one but the Eagles have been great at preventing the position from scoring on then. Last week on the road was the only time any tight end scored on them this year. It may seem like it should be better but consider Griffin, Garcon and Reed as middling starts this week and Morris should have another decent game that makes you wish he would just catch one freaking pass.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 13 11 12 4 29 7
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 26 19 32 11 26 19

 

1 @WAS 33-27 10 @GB 27-13
2 SD 30-33 11 WAS -
3 KC 16-26 12 BYE WEEK
4 @DEN 20-52 13 ARI -
5 @NYG 36-21 14 DET -
6 @TB 31-20 15 @MIN -
7 DAL 3-17 16 CHI -
8 NYG 7-15 17 @DAL -
9 @OAK 49-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 20 290,2
RB LeSean McCoy 110,1 3-20
RB Darren Sproles 20 6-30,1
WR Riley Cooper 5-80,1
TE Brent Celek 2-20
TE Zach Ertz 3-20

Pregame Notes: The Eagles fortunes are on the upswing thanks to playing in a bad division where a winning record is not needed to lead. The offense turned up a notch or three with Nick Foles breaking out on the road for the last two weeks. Funny thing too is that when the offense starts clicking better the defense seems to improve as well. This is the last game before the week 12 bye that now seems rather advantageous to get the team healthy for the divisional chase. The Eagles need to improve with their home games - like win one - since four of the next five games will be in Philly.

QUARTERBACKS: Finally even HC Chip Kelly admits that Nick Foles is the ongoing starter and that infers that Michael Vick no longer matters. Not a hard decision to make with Foles throwing 16 touchdowns on the year against no interceptions. Foles scored ten times in just the last two weeks - both easy wins on the road. He'll be more tested down the road but not against this Redskins defense that already allowed Michael Vick three touchdowns this year.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy ran for 155 yards in Green Bay on 25 caries but only caught one short pass. He's been used slightly less as a receiver with Foles starting and reversed a three week trend of only moderate production games. McCoy turned in a season best 184 yards and one score on 31 runs in the season opener.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Foles has been magic for the wideouts. DeSean Jackson scored five times over the last four starts by Foles and topped 100 yards in two of them. Riley Cooper went from a worthless two catches per week with Vick to scoring like an elite wideout over the last four starts by Foles. He scored six touchdowns in that time and five in just the last two weeks. Cooper has yet to turn in under 88 yards in the last four weeks with Foles. That one Vick game sandwiched between them? Cooper only managed two catches for 13 yards against the Giants. Jackson does well enough regardless but only Foles seems to notice that Riley is an actual starting wide receiver for his team.

Jackson caught seven passes for 132 yards and one score in the season opener while Cooper had his normal two catches for 14 yards since Vick was the starter.

TIGHT ENDS: While Foles threw a touchdown to both Brent Celek and Zach Ertz in the recent games, neither are worth a fantasy start and are too inconsistent at best. Celek had his best game of the year in week one when he caught two passes for 56 yards and a score on the Skins but has been a nonfactor almost every week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Redskins on the road have always allowed at least one passing score if not up to four and that is with the running defense being so poor. Running backs have already accounted for 12 touchdowns against the Redskins and plenty of yardage not unlike what McCoy did to them in the first week. Foles, McCoy, Jackson and Cooper are now all must-starts and in a even better situation than the last two weeks. The only question is if the Eagles can stop their insane trend about playing so much worse when at home. On the plus side - Foles seems to be bucking a lot of trends anyway.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 3 17 8 18 14 22
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 28 26 25 23 17 23

WEEK 11 IND at TEN (THU) CLE at CIN MIN at SEA SF at NO
ATL at TB DET at PIT OAK at HOU WAS at PHI
BAL at CHI GB at NYG NYJ at BUF NE at CAR (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at JAC KC at DEN SD at MIA On Bye: DAL, STL


a d v e r t i s e m e n t