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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 12 NO at ATL (THU) DEN at NE NYJ at BAL TEN at OAK
CHI at STL IND at ARI PIT at CLE SF at WAS (MON)
CAR at MIA JAC at HOU SD at KC On Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at NYG MIN at GB TB at DET BUF, CIN, PHI, SEA

Prediction: SF 31, WAS 20 (Line: SF by 4)

Players of Interest: Aldrick Robinson

Update: Jordan Reed did not practice this week and hasn't passed the concussion tests yet. There is still a chance he could be cleared and play but I am removing him from the projections. This will be a Monday night game so his status may not be official until Monday night and you would have nothing else to turn to for tight end.

The 6-4 49ers have no real shot at the division with the Seahawks already 10-1 with a win over them. They are 3-2 on the road but the 3-7 Redskins are just 2-2 at home. As long as they are facing a team with a losing record, the 49ers are winning by 24+ points in all their road games. This is the Monday night game.

1 GB 34-28 10 CAR 9-10
2 @SEA 3-29 11 @NO 20-23
3 IND 7-27 12 @WAS -
4 @STL 35-11 13 STL -
5 HOU 34-3 14 SEA -
6 ARI 32-20 15 @TB -
7 @TEN 31-17 16 ATL -
8 @JAC 42-10 17 @ARI -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 40,1 190,1
RB Frank Gore 80,1 2-20
WR Anquan Boldin 4-50
TE Vernon Davis 5-70,1
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: Losing to the Saints only made it more official - the 49ers only hope for the playoffs short of a meteor strike in Seattle is to get a wildcard. And that will be a season-long fight given four other teams have six wins in the NFC. The remaining schedule is very appealing though and the 49ers are likely to be favored in all but maybe the Seahawks rematch. There is every reason to expect the 49ers to end the year on a high note and end up with a wild card if only thanks to that schedule.

QUARTERBACKS: While Colin Kaepernick threw two touchdowns in New Orleans, he only passed for 127 yards and one interception as well. He's only thrown 11 passing scores all year and has only once managed to gain more than 200 passing yards since the season opener. Even his rushing yardage has been lower though his best efforts as a rusher all came in road games.

RUNNING BACKS: Whatever the 49ers are going to accomplish with rushing is going to go through Frank Gore. But he's ran the ball over 20 times in only four games and none since week seven. Gore scored seven times already and oddly five of them happened in road games. He's a consistent 90 total yard sort of runner with a even chance at a touchdown every week. No other back gets more than a couple of runs and Gore remains the goal line back as well.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The wait for Michael Crabtree continues and all the 49ers will say is that he is progressing and getting close to playing. He's not worthy of fantasy consideration until he actually plays since he'll no doubt be limited in his first game back. This unit continues to mediocre on a good day. Anquan Boldin scored in New Orleans for only the third time this year and first time in six weeks, Even still he only ended with 56 yards on six catches.

This unit is just devoid of fantasy value aside from a very low-end play of Boldin hoping to catch him on a 50-yard game.

TIGHT ENDS: Vernon Davis was able to play in week 11 after sustaining a concussion against the Panthers. He's been the only saving grace to this offense with eight touchdowns on the season. Other than facing the Seahawks, Davis is a near lock for one score and decent yardage every week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: There is nothing special about the Redskins defense that has already given up 19 passing scores and five games over 300 yards. But there is nothing special about the 49ers pass either. Most notable is that the Skins have already give up seven touchdowns to tight ends and yet have not faced almost any receiving tight ends let alone Vernon Davis. Expect a big game here for him. The Skins are also weaker against the run where teams have already scored 14 times. The normal starters apply here of Davis and Gore but the rest offer too little value to consider. Even Kaepernick is too unreliable beyond what he can do with Davis.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 25 8 32 3 21 11
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 30 24 24 17 25

 

1 PHI 27-33 10 @MIN 27-34
2 @GB 20-38 11 @PHI 16-24
3 DET 20-27 12 SF -
4 @OAK 24-14 13 NYG -
5 BYE WEEK 14 KC -
6 @DAL 16-31 15 @ATL -
7 CHI 45--41 16 DAL -
8 @DEN 21-45 17 @NYG -
9 SD 30-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS vs SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 40 220,1
RB Alfred Morris 90,1
WR Pierre Garcon 5-60
TE Jordan Reed
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Redskins season is slipping away even faster lately but mostly because of a complete inability to win any road games anymore. The last two homestands were victories against the Bears and Chargers but the defense still gives away too many points and now injuries are starting to take a toll on the receivers and that really sets the offense back. The Skins still get a few chances to win games before it is over but a losing record is already a guarantee.

QUARTERBACKS: Robert Griffin III comes off two of his best games - both losses - but the weaker defenses of the Vikings and Eagles are always accommodating. Griffin has not fared nearly so well against a good defense and will have to contend with a changing set of receivers due to injuries. On the plus - he ran for 44 yards in each of the last two games.

RUNNING BACKS: Alfred Morris is on a nice string with each of the last five games producing at least 93 rushing yards and he's scoring in half of the games. But Morris has only caught even one pass since week two and his fantasy value takes a big hit relying solely on rush yards and no receptions. He's been consistently good enough to merit a fantasy start and yet has never had a big game this year.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Pierre Garcon remains the only consistent and productive wideout for the Skins and he typically ends up with around 60 or 70 yards per game. But he left the loss in Philadelphia with a very sore ankle and missed some time during the game because if it. It appears to just be a minor sprain that would impact this week. But Leonard Hankerson tore his left LCL and it will require surgery which removes him this week if not the rest of the year. More should be known by mid-week. Josh Morgan was inactive last week and unhappy enough to complain about it in public. The most likely replacement for Hankerson is Aldrick Robinson who scored last week but only has six catches on the season.

TIGHT ENDS: Just as bad was Jordan Reed getting a concussion early in the Eagles game. He's been either the #1 or #2 receiver for most of the year and usually accounts for around ten targets in most games. He'll need to pass concussion tests this week in order to pay. The only good news is that if he can pass the tests, he'll be 100% and able to play without any limitation.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The 49ers are not as good on the road where they have always allowed at least one passing score but the Redskins are banged up and rarely much better than average anyway. The 49ers have not allowed a 100 yard rusher either though many have been close to the mark. Reed would take some interest here if he passes the tests and ends up playing as the 49ers are weaker against tight ends than wideouts. The only reasonable starts here are Morris, Reed and Garcon and even then they need to be healthy and not limited.

WHAT TO WATCH: Aldrick Robinson should see more playing time with Hankerson sidelined. The expectations have to be kept low but Robinson has been good for long catches and could become a factor.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 9 5 11 10 31 10
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 5 22 9 4 2 6

WEEK 12 NO at ATL (THU) DEN at NE NYJ at BAL TEN at OAK
CHI at STL IND at ARI PIT at CLE SF at WAS (MON)
CAR at MIA JAC at HOU SD at KC On Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at NYG MIN at GB TB at DET BUF, CIN, PHI, SEA


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