FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 12 NO at ATL (THU) DEN at NE NYJ at BAL TEN at OAK
CHI at STL IND at ARI PIT at CLE SF at WAS (MON)
CAR at MIA JAC at HOU SD at KC On Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at NYG MIN at GB TB at DET BUF, CIN, PHI, SEA

Prediction: TEN 17, OAK 24 (Line: OAK by 1.5)

Players of Interest: Rod Streater, Mychal Rivera, Matt McGloin

Update: The Raiders are going to be worse off this week. Denarius Moore is ruled out because of his shoulder and Darren McFadden remains out as well. Terrelle Pryor may be active but will only be the backup for Matt McGloin. Justin Hunter has passed concussion tests and is probable to play after full practices on Thursday and Friday.

The 4-6 Titans lost their last two games and are just 2-2 on the road. The 4-6 Raiders are 3-2 at home and come off a win in Houston. The Titans have been competitive in recent games but losing home games to the Jaguars and Colts sunk their season. These teams can both play well enough to win and bad enough to lose making this one a coin flip.

1 @PIT 16-9 10 JAC 27-29
2 @HOU 24-30 11 IND 27-30
3 SD 20-17 12 @OAK -
4 NYJ 38-13 13 @IND -
5 KC 17-26 14 @DEN -
6 @SEA 13-20 15 ARI -
7 SF 17-31 16 @JAC -
8 BYE WEEK 17 HOU -
9 @STL 28-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Shonn Greene 20
WR Justin Hunter 2-30
WR Nate Washington 2-30
WR Kendall Wright 7-90
TE Delanie Walker 5-40,1

Pregame Notes: The Titans still struggle with being not quite good enough and the inconsistency of the team extends within games where they'll look great in one half and not so much in the other. What hurts even more is that they just lost two straight home games and now embark on a three week trip to Oakland, Indianapolis and then Denver. For a team that couldn't beat the visiting Jaguars, that doesn't bode well for wins or even scoring.

QUARTERBACKS: Ryan Fitzpatrick proved to be a step down from Jake Locker and threw for more than one score in only one game this year - against the vi sting Jaguars. Worse yet he's only played in one road game all year when he was wholly ineffective in Seattle with no scores and only 171 passing yards. The Raiders present one of the less formidable defenses that Fitzpatrick has yet faced but nothing he's done so far suggests he capable of more than a moderate game against a bad defense.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson came out in the first half against the Colts and looked like the 2000 yard rusher of old. He had speed, he had moves and he even had power. He ran for two touchdowns and the game looked like a laugher. But the Colts made adjustments in the second half and Johnson only ended with 86 yards on 17 runs. Johnson scored four times in the last three games but is never above turning in a bad game since five times he failed to gain even 40 rushing yards. Shonn Greene remains just relief and any claim that he was going to play a bigger role has not proven to be true. Johnson is playing more as a receiver which enhances his yardage in most games. He had his best and worst games of the year on the road so anything is possible. He tends to do better the worse the matchup and flops in assumedly easier games.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Justin Hunter was concussed against the Colts but has ten days to improve. The rookie has been of little use since catching touchdowns with his first two NFL catches back in weeks three and four. Kendall Wright ended with nine catches for 80 yards last week and is always good for around 70 in every game. He just always falls short of 100 and has just one score back in week two.This unit was marginally effective with Locker and now that Fitzpatrick is the starter there is no fantasy value outside of Wright. Even then it is only yardage.

TIGHT ENDS: The one player who has greatly benefited by the change in quarterbacks has been Delanie Walker who scored in both of the recent starts by Fitzpatrick. Against the Jaguars, he caught four passes for 62 yards and versus the Colts he has a season best ten receptions for 91 yards. He's become the preferred target and now merits at least consideration every week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Judging what to expect is a chore given that the Raiders ar home were pretty good this year except in week nine when the Eagles showed up and shredded them for seven touchdowns. Four previous home games there only totaled five passing scores allowed. Fitzpatrick has only been mediocre so far and it is a stretch to expect that to change in a road game. The Raiders at home have been very good against the run and allowed just two rushing scores. No player ran for more than 71 yards there as well. But that depends on which Chris Johnson you get. The only fantasy plays here are Johnson, Wright and possibly Walker assuming his string with Fitzpatrick can continue.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 16 22 27 16 20 13
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 22 16 26 17 7 27

 

1 @IND 17-21 10 @NYG 20-24
2 JAC 19-9 11 @HOU 28-23
3 @DEN 21-37 12 TEN -
4 WAS 14-24 13 @DAL -
5 SD 27-17 14 @NYJ -
6 @KC 7-24 15 KC -
7 BYE WEEK 16 @SD -
8 PIT 21-18 17 DEN -
9 PHI 20-49 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew McGloin 200,1
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 40 4-30
RB Darren McFadden
WR Andre Holmes 3-40
WR James Jones 4-50
WR Greg Little 3-40
WR Denarius Moore
TE Mychal Rivera 4-30,1
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders won in Houston and that'll make it hard to step away from Matt McGloin as the starting quarterback when he had no turnovers and three touchdowns. The Raiders schedule is mostly brutal from here until the end though this week is as easy as they will face and definitely the best chance for getting a win. There's a very real chance that the Raiders might end on a five game losing streak.

QUARTERBACKS: HC Dennis Allen wouldn't formally comment on the situation but at the least he has a quarterback battle after Matthew McGloin passed for 197 yards and three touchdowns in Houston. Consider too that he had no turnovers while Terrelle Pryor lost the ball nine times over his last four games. Pryor only passed for one touchdown in those four games. McGloin's three scores in one game looks even more impressive compared to Pryor. Facing the real prospect of yet another losing season, trying out new players only makes sense and I'll assume McGloin takes the start here and update if warranted.

RUNNING BACKS: Rashad Jennings comes off a career-best 150 yards and a score on 22 carries in Houston. For three straight weeks, Jennings has totaled over 100 yards and consistently helped move the offense. He's been so good that the Raiders will continue to use him even when Darren McFadden returns. Jennings last home game was when he turned in 176 total yards against the Eagles. McFadden's hamstring kept him out of practices last week but he could improve enough to be considered this week. I will assume he remains out and update as needed.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Adding McGloin into the mix can only help this otherwise below average unit. Consider that over nine games, wideouts only accounted for five touchdowns. Last Sunday, both Denarius Moore (2-11) and Rod Streater (6-84) scored. The passing yardage wasn't that much thanks to Rashad Jennings going off on the Texans but it is plenty encouraging when the two starting wideouts score in the same game. No other wideouts ever matter here if they even have a catch.

TIGHT ENDS: While you cannot make assumptions based off just one game, again it was at least encouraging that Mychal Rivera turned in his best game of the year when he caught five passes for 54 yards and a touchdown in Houston. In his only game with McGloin no less. Rivera only scored one other touchdown this year and was only good for two short catches in almost every game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Titans are very good against the pass and only allowed six passing scores this year - three in one game. Five opponents never threw a touchdown against them and the yardage has remained low as well. This will be a good test for McGloin to see if he can once again perform better than Pryor. The Titans are weak against the run and that is where most teams succeed against them. They've already allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this year and four different runners scored twice on them. The last three road games surrendered a total of five touchdowns to running backs so expect a really nice game again for Jennings unless McFadden returns and waters it down. This could be the final week that the Raiders have an impressive rushing offense. The Titans allowed two rushing touchdowns to the last five opponents.

WHAT TO WATCH: Anytime there are three touchdowns thrown to actual receivers it is a big deal in Oakland. How this week goes throwing the ball can help determine if McGloin really can make a difference. Denarius Moore already carried moderate value but Rod Streater and Mychal Rivera have been well outside of fantasy consideration until now.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 18 12 28 31 30 18
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 4 28 1 25 10 19

WEEK 12 NO at ATL (THU) DEN at NE NYJ at BAL TEN at OAK
CHI at STL IND at ARI PIT at CLE SF at WAS (MON)
CAR at MIA JAC at HOU SD at KC On Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at NYG MIN at GB TB at DET BUF, CIN, PHI, SEA


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