FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 

Prediction: CHI 24, MIN 27 (Line: PIK)

This is a replay of week two when the Bears won 31-30 in Chicago. The 6-5 Bears are only 2-3 in road games and were destroyed by the Rams last week. The Vikings are only 2-3 in home games but are playing better in recent weeks. This is always a coin toss game and both teams have defensive woes.

1 CIN 24-21 10 DET 19-21
2 MIN 31-30 11 BAL 23-20
3 @PIT 40-23 12 @STL 21-42
4 @DET 32-40 13 @MIN -
5 NO 18-26 14 DAL -
6 NYG 27-21 15 @CLE -
7 @WAS 41-45 16 @PHI -
8 BYE WEEK 17 GB -
9 @GB 27-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Matt Forte 70,1 7-50
WR Alshon Jeffery 5-70
WR Brandon Marshall 7-100,1
TE Martellus Bennett 4-50,1
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bears are currently tied with the Lions at 6-5 for the lead in the NFC North and are just a half game ahead of the Packers. This is a divisional game which makes it even more important but the Bears are struggling on defense and Jay Cutler is still expected to miss this week. That makes competing with the upcoming schedule even more difficult.

QUARTERBACKS: Jay Cutler is still out with what HC Marc Trestman terms a high ankle sprain and nothing more. Josh McCown has thrown a score in all four of his starts though never more than two. He's much more of a dink-n-dunk passer than Cutler but can roll up decent yardage when the Bears fall far behind. Losing two of the last three games has really hurt the Bears chances for the post season and McCown isn't doing enough to keep the Bears at the top of the division for long.

Jay Cutler passed for 292 yards and three scores in the previous meeting with the Vikings.

RUNNING BACKS: Matt Forte comes off his seventh game with 100+ total yards though his role as a receiver props him up each week. Forte broke 100 rushing yards just once this year but has been good for the total yardage on a consistent basis. Notable too is that six of his eight scores happened in road games. Forte injured his knee last week which was termed a slightly hyperextension but he returned to play in that game and should be okay for this week.

Forte turned in 159 yards on the Vikings in week two which included 71 yards on 11 receptions.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Brandon Marshall still dominates with 117 yards and one score kist last week and he rolled up 113 yards and one score in the first meeting with the Vikes. Alshon Jeffery was held to a single catch in that game bet has since excelled. Earl Bennett gained a season best 58 yards on eight catches in St. Louis but he;s rarely better than 20 yards and this offense is really limited to the two starting wideouts.

He scored nine times already this year and broke 100 yards in three of his last four matchups. Alshon Jeffery has four 100 yard games but has been less effective in recent weeks. Marshall gained 113 yards and scored once in the first meeting with the Vikings. Jeffery was limited to just one catch.

TIGHT ENDS: Martellus Bennett turned in his best game of the year when he caught seven passes for 76 yards and two scores against the Vikings in week two. He was on a down turn with only one touchdown since but then scored in St. Louis just last week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikings are weaker since the first meeting but then again so are the Bears relying on Josh McCown over Jay Cutler. Every one scores at least once on the Vikings if not three times like four separate occasions for opposing quarterbacks. This match-up is more about Josh McCown who hasn't thrown more than two scores in a game and has less success than Cutler. McCown is a marginal consideration because of his risk but Marshall, Forte and Bennett are all decent starts with upside. With any luck this one turns into a shootout like the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 10 10 4 19 13 5
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 31 31 27 28 30 29

 

1 @DET 24-34 10 WAS 34-27
2 @CHI 30-31 11 @SEA 20-41
3 CLE 27-31 12 @GB 26-26
4 PIT 34-27 13 CHI -
5 BYE WEEK 14 @BAL -
6 CAR 10-35 15 PHI -
7 @NYG 7-23 16 @CIN -
8 GB 31-44 17 DET -
9 @DAL 23-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Christian Ponder 20 210
RB Adrian Peterson 160,2 1-10
WR Greg Jennings 6-60
WR Cordarrelle Patterson 5-60
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings come off a tie with the Packers that was impressive considering that they lost to them by 13 points at home only four weeks previous. Of course that was back when the Packers had a quarterback. The Vikings continue to thrive on rushing and opportunistic defense and the offense is starting to work in the rookie Cordarrelle Patterson. It is a lost season yet again and the remaining schedule is not kind but at least they will face another injury-ravaged NFC North team.

QUARTERBACKS: Christian Ponder gets another start thanks to looking better against the Packers and finally not throwing an interception. Ponder passed for 227 yards and one score on the Bears in the last meeting and around 230 yards has proven to be his ceiling. At least he has scored in every game that he played though his string of rushing touchdowns has disappeared in the last three weeks when he rarely runs.

RUNNING BACKS: Even on the road, Adrian Peterson ran for 100 yards on 26 carries in Chicago back in week two. He's a lock for a good game at home anyway and the incoming Bears are worse now than they were ten weeks past. The one interesting development is letting Toby Gerhart take seven or eight rushes during the last two games and he gained 67 yards in Seattle and 91 yards in Green Bay. Apparently the defense stops worrying about the run as much once Peterson is on the sideline.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is still one of the least productive units in the NFL and have only actually caught a touchdown in three different games. Greg Jennings hasn't topped 56 yards in any game for six weeks. Jarius Wright had one game of any more and the rest all under 35 yards. Cordarrelle Patterson has become a starter though and in the last two weeks received a total of 20 targets. He caught eight of 11 for 54 yards in Green Bay. He's only scored once as a receiver but at least now is on the field and in the game plan as the most targeted wideout.

Jennings turned in one of his best games when he caught five passes and gained 84 yards in Chicago.

TIGHT ENDS: Kyle Rudolph remains out but scored once in Chicago back in week two when he turned in three receptions for 42 yards. John Carlson had his best game of the year in the most recent home stand against the Redskins when he scored on his seven catches for 98 yards.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bears have been decent against the pass and usually end up allowing just one or two passing scores. Where this game turns is against the run where the Bears have absolutely had a melt down. The last three road games surrendered a total of seven rushing touchdowns and well over 150 yards per opponent. Big game here for Peterson and marginal plays on the rest of the Viking players.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 26 11 28 13 14 18
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 10 27 10 27 27 15

WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 



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