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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 

Prediction: STL 14 , SF 27 (Line: SF by 9.5)

UPDATE: Zac Stacy passes all concussion tests and is probable to play after a full practice on Friday.

This is a replay of week four when the 49ers won 35-11 in St. Louis. The 49ers are on a short week but the Rams are only 2-3 on the road.

1 ARI 27-24 10 @IND 38-8
2 @ATL 24-31 11 BYE WEEK
3 @DAL 7-31 12 CHI 42-21
4 SF 11-35 13 @SF -
5 JAC 34-20 14 @ARI -
6 @HOU 38-13 15 NO -
7 @CAR 15-30 16 TB -
8 SEA 9-14 17 @SEA -
9 TEN 21-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
STL @ SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Case Keenum 10 170,1
RB Benny Cunningham 20
RB Zac Stacy 50,1 3-20
WR Tavon Austin 30 2-50
WR Chris Givens 3-20
TE Jared Cook 3-30,1
PK Greg Zuerlein 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Hard to get a handle on these Rams who looked like just another bad team when they were 3-6 but two dominating wins over the Colts and Bears came as surprises. There is still no real chance at reaching the playoffs but the Rams are playing much better and in particular on defense. Of course both the Colts and Bears have been hard hit by injuries which helped. The remaining schedule here is also very tough with only the Buccaneers game as a probable favored match-up.

QUARTERBACKS: Kellen Clemens is not the reason for the recent victories with games of marginal yardage and one or two scores but he had no turnovers and played well enough in an offense that has been running much better. Back in week four, Sam Bradford only pased for 202 yards and one score against the 49ers and this time it is on their turf.

RUNNING BACKS: The Rams only rushed for 22 yards on 16 carries when they faced the 49ers in week four. But that was with Daryl Richardson as the primary back. Zac Stacy became the starter in week eight and was on a nice streak of high yardage games with touchdowns until suffering a concussion last week in the win over the Bears. He'll need to pass the tests in order to play and if he doesn't. Benny Cunningham will take his place. Cunningham actually played in that first meeting when he ran four times to gain six yards. Cunninghamd has responded well in recent weeks when called upon but the match-up this week will be tough no matter who the starter ends up to be. I will assume that Stacy can play and adjust later in the week depending on what happens.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The best receiver back in the first meeting was Austin Pettis but he was clearly a favorite for Bradford and not Clemens. Pettis hold no real role anymore and never even was thrown a pass last week. Chris Givens was on a consistent streak of 50 yard efforts but then was blanked just last week as well. The only positive change here has been Tavon Austin who only had two catches for six yards in the week four game. He scored twice a a receiver against the Colts and once as a runner versus the Bears. All that happened over just six touches though and with Austin it's been either a 50+ yard touchdown or nothing.

TIGHT ENDS: Jared Cook caught four passes for 45 yards in the first loss to the 49ers though Lance Kendricks scored once in that game. Cook caught a touchdown in two of the last three games so Clemens is using him more.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: No real changes this time from week four other than it happens in San Francisco and Sam Bradford is gone if not Zac Stacy as well. Tavon Austin is still too inconsistent to merit any consideration and only Stacy would have been worth considering. Even then he'd need late game trash time to produce even moderate stats.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 24 22 25 4 22 2
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 3 19 9 3 1 4

 

1 GB 34-28 10 CAR 9-10
2 @SEA 3-29 11 @NO 20-23
3 IND 7-27 12 @WAS 27-6
4 @STL 35-11 13 STL -
5 HOU 34-3 14 SEA -
6 ARI 32-20 15 @TB -
7 @TEN 31-17 16 ATL -
8 @JAC 42-10 17 @ARI -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 190,1
RB Frank Gore 100,2 1-10
WR Anquan Boldin 5-70,1
WR Michael Crabtree 2-30
WR Steve Johnson 6-70,1
TE Vernon Davis 4-30
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The 49ers reversed a two game losing streak with their win over the Redskins and iwth a 6-4 record are in contention for a wildcard but may end up needing to win the season finale to both win that #2 bid and deny it to the Cardinals. This week should be an easier win but it comes on a shorter week and the Rams are playing better at least in their running game. The 49ers need to almost win out to remain in the race.

QUARTERBACKS: Colin Kaepernick passed for only 167 yards and two scores in St. Louis earlier this year and he's been less than stellar against all but the worst secondaries. Kaepernick comes off a nice effort against the Redskins and is getting Michael Crabtree back this week. That may not pay off with immediate dividends but it should be a major positive once he gets back into playing shape and up to speed.

RUNNING BACKS: Frank Gore enjoyed his best game of the year when he ran 20 times for 153 yards and one touchdown in St. Louis. He's always good for 80+ yards when at home and Anthony Dixon stole a touchdown from him against the Rams last time. Kendall Hunter has no real impact but is getting up to eight or nine carries in some games.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The big news is that Michael Crabtree finally returns from his Achilles injury but the expectaiton is that he will be more eased back into the game. Anquan Boldin had one of his best games of the year when he gained 90 yards and one score in St. Louis and he also scored in each of the last two weeks. Boldin should remain the primary wideout for another week or so but the role is all for Crabtree when he is ready. His absence completely took the wind out of the sails of the passing offense this year.

TIGHT ENDS: Vernon Davis did score in St. Louis last time but had one of his least productive games with only two catches for 18 yards. Davis has been very solid at home against weaker teams but the Rams are great against only one position - tight ends.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Short week against the Rams should mean plenty of rushing here for Frank Gore and he's already shredded them in their own stadium. The Rams are nothing special on defense especially on the road. Look for a slightly better showing from last time but chances are the 49ers won't over exert themselves here with the Seahawks coming next week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 23 16 32 9 20 12
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 15 29 19 1 2 12

WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 



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