FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 

Prediction: TB 13, CAR 27 (Line: CAR by 8.5)

Update: All three running backs are listed as questionable but both Johnathan Stewart and Mike Tolbert were confirmed to be ready to play. DeAngelo Williams missed all practices this week with a thigh bruise and could become a game time decision. I have removed him from the projections because of his risk but he is not ruled out yet.

The Buccaneers may only be 3-8 but that is with a three game winning streak and not just against bad teams. The Panthers are 8-3 and on a seven game winning streak themselves. This is a replay of week eight when the Panthers won 31-13 in Tampa Bay.

1 @NYJ 17-18 10 MIA 22-19
2 NO 14-16 11 ATL 41-28
3 @NE 3-23 12 @DET 24-21
4 ARI 10-13 13 @CAR -
5 BYE WEEK 14 BUF -
6 PHI 20-31 15 SF -
7 @ATL 23-31 16 @STL -
8 CAR 13-31 17 @NO -
9 @SEA 24-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
TB @ CAR Rush Catch Pass
QB Mike Glennon 210,1
QB Josh McCown 270,2
RB Bobby Rainey 40 2-10
WR Vincent Jackson 5-70
TE Brandon Myers 3-40

Pregame Notes: Beating the Dolphins was a surprise. Beating the Falcons was expected. But beating the Lions in Detroit was impressive. The victories no doubt ensure that HC Greg Schiano makes it to the end of the season and possibly next year if he can keep it up. But the only remaining game that looks favorable will be when the Bills visit in a week. Then again, nothing about a three game winning streak looked favorable before it started.

QUARTERBACKS: Back in week eight, Mike Glennon passed for a season high 275 yards and one score in the first meeting with the Panthers. He's never thrown more than two scores in any game but has yet to not score at least the one. Impressive too is his one interception over the last six weeks. The shift to Glennon as a starter looks to continue in 2014.

RUNNING BACKS: Bobby Rainey now knows both extremes. He ran for 163 yards and scored three time against the Falcons but was held to 35 yards on 18 runs in Detroit. Schiano said it was a failure of blocking. That and not facing the visiting Falcons. Back in week eight, Mike James was the starter and only gained 39 yards on ten runs against the Panthers. He added two catches for eight yards. This week's matchup is not likely to help Rainey to improve.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Vincent Jackson is the primary wideout and often wildly productive but only when facing a below average defense. Last week he only caught two passes in Detroit and versus the Panthers was held to five catches for 79 yards. Tiquan Underwood had a break out game with 108 yards and two scores in Detroit but only gained 47 yards against the Panthers. Mike Williams played his final time for 2013 in that first meeting but only ended with three catches for 20 yards. The difference this time around is that they are playing in Carolina and Mike Williams is gone.

TIGHT ENDS: Tim Wright is a receiving tight end and when the game is going well, there is no need to use him. He only managed 15 yards against the Falcons. But in Detroit he ended with eight catches for 75 yards. In the first meeting with the Panthers he scored once on his five receptions for 48 yards. Wright matters only when the wideouts are having problems. His only other touchdown came in Seattle.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is just a replay of week eight and on the road which should depress the stats more. The Panthers have never allowed more than one passing score and Glennon is still mostly average. Bobby Rainey faces a defense that had held visiting runners to no more than 57 yards. That makes Rainey, Glennon and Underwood as unattractive starts this week. Jackson is a moderate start just hoping for some yardage. Wright becomes startable again facing a defense that is sure to force Glennon to look for him as he did in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 30 20 24 29 28 11
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 2 12 5 14 7 9

 

1 SEA 7-12 10 @SF 10-9
2 @BUF 23-24 11 NE 24-20
3 NYG 38-0 12 @MIA 20-16
4 BYE WEEK 13 TB -
5 @ARI 6-22 14 @NO -
6 @MIN 35-10 15 NYJ -
7 STL 30-15 16 NO -
8 @TB 31-13 17 @ATL -
9 ATL 34-10 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CAR vs TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Cam Newton 40,1 200,2
RB Jonathan Stewart 60 1-10
RB Mike Tolbert 30 3-30,1
RB DeAngelo Williams
WR Jerricho Cotchery 3-30
TE Greg Olsen 4-30,1
PK Graham Gano 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Panthers chug along winning games by close margins and living thanks to a defense that continues to be #1 in points allowed by 29 points over the #2 Chiefs. They've become the Falcons of 2012 only with better rushing than passing. This game could be a mail-in effort but the recent winning streak of the Bucs helps to keep them focused plus it is a divisional game. Next week is the critical battle in New Orleans for the AFC South. But they have to win here for it to matter.

QUARTERBACKS: In the first meeting, Cam Newton passed for 221 yards and two scores plus ran for 50 yards and a third touchdown. Newton is more effective when at home and this is just a replay anyway. He's rarely thrown for more than 230 yards in a game because he hasn't needed to catch up in a long time.

RUNNING BACKS: Johnathan Stewart is back now and did not play in that first meeting. He is part of the committee again but that has never meant more than 43 rush yards so far. DeAngelo Williams only gained 43 yards on eight runs in the first meeting but scored once. Mike Tolbert ran for 35 yards in that game and scored on his four catches for 29 yards. Stewart is new to the mix but this is played at home and should contain more rushing carries than the road version did.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This group is always mediocre and back in the first meeting only produced 42 yards on four catches for Steve Smith who faced Darrelle Revis. But Revis may not play this week since he injured his groin. It wouldn't matter that much though, Smith has never gained more than 69 yards in any game this year and scored only three times. Brandon LaFell caught three passes for 23 yards in that first meeting while Ted Ginn Jr. had a season high 80 yards on five catches but has since never gained more than 25 yards in any game.

TIGHT ENDS: Greg Olsen is on a nice streak with a touchdown in four of the last five weeks and that started when he faced the Buccaneers and ended with three receptions for 21 yards and the score. His yardage is never more than moderate and usually remains well below 50 yards per game. But he has become the preferred red zone target for Newton. His five touchdowns on the year is tops for the team.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Since this is in Carolina, the results should be even better than they were in Tampa Bay. But that still only makes Newton as an attractive starter. All others are no better than moderate plays if even that. Even the Panther defense isn't as attractive as it might seem since Glennon rarely turns the ball over.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 8 23 23 17 21 10
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 24 9 22 18 18 5

WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 



a d v e r t i s e m e n t