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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 

Prediction: TEN 20, IND 24 (Line: IND by 4.5)

This is a replay of week 11 when the Colts won 30-27 in Tennessee. The Colts have a two game lead on these Titans for the AFC South title and a win here just makes it official. The Indianapolis offense struggled in the last few weeks but not against the Titans and that was even a road game.

1 @PIT 16-9 10 JAC 27-29
2 @HOU 24-30 11 IND 27-30
3 SD 20-17 12 @OAK 23-19
4 NYJ 38-13 13 @IND -
5 KC 17-26 14 @DEN -
6 @SEA 13-20 15 ARI -
7 SF 17-31 16 @JAC -
8 BYE WEEK 17 HOU -
9 @STL 28-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Justin Hunter 2-40
WR Kendall Wright 9-90
TE Delanie Walker 6-60,1

Pregame Notes: These next two road games will be very tough to win but the final three weeks are all possible victories which would give the Titans an 8-8 record. At this point that would be success enough for a team that only recently developed any offensive groove. The season is just another disappointment and the next two weeks probably are going to hammer that home.

QUARTERBACKS: Ryan Fitzpatrick's first full start the second time Jake Locker was sidelined with yet another injury was against these Colts. He passed for 222 yards and one score. He's only played in two road venues this year and now faces the same team that held him in check just two weeks ago.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson is enjoying a much better stretch in the last month than he had all year. He scored twice in the last meeting with the Colts and ran for 86 yards on 17 carries. Most of his road efforts have been lacking like his 73 yards on 20 carries just last week in Oakland. But Johnson plays with a lot of inconsistency since his best game of the year was in St. Louis. His role as a receiver has been really downplayed while working with Fitzpatrick. Shonn Greene still offers relief but rarely any notable production. He only gained ten yards on the Colts earlier this season.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Justin Hunter comes off a breakout game when he caught six passes for 109 yards and one score in Oakland where most everyone does just that. But that almost doubles his entire season up until then and while he looked great in the one game, he's still not worth a fantasy consideration. Hunter was held to no catches just two weeks ago versus the Colts. Kendall Wright caught nine passes for 80 yards in that game and remains good for at least 70 yards every week. He's only scored twice this year though both came in road games. Kenny Britt is now on a personal best three straight games failing to catch any passes.

Nate Washington only managed to catch two passes for 53 yards against the Colts and that was one of his best games of the year.

TIGHT ENDS: Delanie Walker is enjoying more success playing with Fitzpatrick and his best game of the year was when he caught ten passes for 91 yards and a touchdown against the Colts two weeks ago. Bothersome is that his last three road games have all been well under 50 yards each and he never scored.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: There is no reason to expect more in this road version of week 11. Ryan Fitzpatrick is already one of the few quarterbacks who only threw for one score on the Colts but the rushing game should not be as successful here and that will promote more passing. Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt are the only safe starts from the Titans and even less so in this road game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 12 24 20 16 19 16
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 19 4 24 9 24 10

 

1 OAK 21-17 10 STL 8-38
2 MIA 20-24 11 @TEN 30-27
3 @SF 27-7 12 @ARI 11-40
4 @JAC 37-3 13 TEN -
5 SEA 34-28 14 @CIN -
6 @SD 9-19 15 HOU -
7 DEN 39-33 16 @KC -
8 BYE WEEK 17 JAC -
9 @HOU 27-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
IND vs TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 30,1 220
RB Trent Richardson 30,1 4-30
WR T.Y. Hilton 5-50
TE Coby Fleener 6-70
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Colts have to win here to ensure they don't end up out of the playoffs. They only have a two game lead on the Titans and yet still need to play in Cincinnati and Kansas City. Fortunately the competition inside the division has maybe never been worse. The Colts have been crushed by the Rams and Cardinals recently but they remain 3-0 in division play so far and only this game matters.

QUARTERBACKS: Andrew Luck never threw a score in the previous win over the Titans. He passed for 232 yards and ran in a touchdown. His stats have been off since the departure of Reggie Wayne and he's only thrown two scores over the last three weeks. When the Cardinals were able to take T.Y. Hilton out of the game, Luck only threw for 163 yards in a 29 point loss.

RUNNING BACKS: Trent Richardson continues to run with the ease and grace of a shackled prisoner and now has gone a month without ever gaining more than 22 rushing yards in a game. And that effort was against the Titans when he ran eight times. Donald Brown had a season best showing then when he turned 14 rushing attempts into 80 yards and two touchdowns. But last week they were back to only giving him two carries and one catch versus the 13 touches for Richardson. That makes depending on what happens here very tough because using Richardson in place of Brown is just not rational given the results.

WIDE RECEIVERS: T.Y. Hilton took over once Reggie Wayne left and produced two straight 120+ yard games versus the Rams and Texans. But these last two weeks he's only gained around 40 yards in each. In Tennessee, he ended with five receptions for 44 yards. Defenses are keying on him now and shutting him down with much success. Hilton controls the wideouts production because LaVon Brazill never gains more than 35 yards in a game and Darius Heyward-Bey hasn't exceeded 44 yards in over two months.

TIGHT ENDS: Coby Fleener is becoming a bigger part of the game plan in the wake of such ineffectiveness by the wideouts. He turned in a season best eight catches for 107 yards in Tennessee and then scored once in Arizona on his four receptions for 55 yards. While Fleener is not an upper tier tight end, he is the best the Colts have once Hilton is covered.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Titans have been very good against the pass all year and did not allow a score to the Colts two weeks ago. That is partly because they are so bad against the run. The Titans have already allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this year and plenty of yards both rushing and receiving for running backs. This won't be a good spot for Hilton since the Titans have only allowed two touchdowns to the position all year and already shut him down once. The problem is that the Colts want Richardson to do well and sacrifice what Brown could accomplish. Brown already had a big game against these Titans in Tennessee but their game plan will once again involve Richardson more than it should. The only starts here are Brown, Luck and maybe Richardson but all three are only marginal starts.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 9 18 21 15 16 23
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 5 30 1 20 14 21

WEEK 13 GB at DET (THU) ATL at BUF JAC at CLE STL at SF
OAK at DAL (THU) CHI at MIN MIA at NYJ TB at CAR
PIT at BAL (THU) CIN at SD NE at HOU TEN at IND
*UPDATED ARI at PHI DEN at KC NYG at WAS NO at SEA (MON)

 



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