The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT TICKETS myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 14 HOU at JAC (THU) DET at PHI OAK at NYJ STL at ARI
ATL at GB IND at CIN MIN at BAL TEN at DEN
BUF at TB KC at WAS NYG at SD CAR at NO
*UPDATED CLE at NE MIA at PIT SEA at SF DAL at CHI (MON)

Prediction: HOU 17, JAC 23 (Line: HOU by 3)

This is the Thursday night game and probably not going to change the mind of anyone considering Christmas shopping instead of just staying home. The 2-10 Texans have lost their last 10 games and come off their most recent three point loss. The 3-9 Jaguars have won three of their last four games which all were somehow road games. This favors the Jags if only because the Texans are cursed. This is a replay of two weeks ago when the Jaguars won 13-6 in Houston.

1 @SD 31-28 10 @ARI 24-27
2 TEN 30-24 11 OAK 23-28
3 @BAL 9-30 12 JAC 6-13
4 SEA 20-23 13 NE 31-34
5 @SF 3-34 14 @JAC -
6 STL 13-38 15 @IND -
7 @KC 16-17 16 DEN -
8 BYE WEEK 17 @TEN -
9 IND 24-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
HOU @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 30,1 250,1
QB Case Keenum 200,1
RB Andre Brown 60
WR DeAndre Hopkins 3-40,1
WR Andre Johnson 5-60
TE Garrett Graham 5-40
PK Randy Bullock 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Tough loss. The Texans battled the Patriots to the end and lost by another field goal. That's the fifth game decided by three points or less. The ten game losing streak is mind boggling that no one has fallen to them despite scoring 23 points or more in four of their last five games. The remainder is not pretty - three of four will be on the road and the only home game faces Denver in week 16 when they will still care.

QUARTERBACKS: Case Keenum ran in a score last week but was held scoreless as a passer for the last two weeks. That's in part thanks to the rushing game but that early magic that Keenum enjoyed is now gone. This is his first road game in a month and by now there is plenty of game tape on him. Keenum passed for only 169 yards and no scores on the visiting Jaguars.

RUNNING BACKS: Forget about Dennis Johnson for now. Ben Tate was benched in the loss to the Jaguars when he only gained one yard on seven runs but he was again the starter versus the Patriots. He ran for 102 yards and three touchdowns while never catching a pass for the first time. It was his first 100 yard game since 2011 and he'd scored just once in the previous 20 games. Safe to say he remains the starter. This is his chance to redeem himself from the previous meeting.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Surprisingly, the Patriots did not shadow Andre Johnson with CB Aqib Talib and he ended with 121 yards on eight catches. That's his third 100 yard game with Keenum though all the previous ones were at home. DeAndre Hopkins caught a 66-yard pass in the loss to the Patriots and flashes speed and talent if only every few games. He still has just one touchdown in the last ten weeks but gained over 60 yards in all but one previous road game. Only the two wideouts matter here. Johnson was held to only 36 yards on two catches in the last meeting. Hopkins only managed one catch for eight yards.

TIGHT ENDS: Aside from the freakish game against the Raiders, Garrett Graham remains good for maybe 30 yards per week and nothing more. Graham caught five passes for 32 yards in the previous meeting.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jaguars are weak against the pass but the one team that could do nothing about that was the Texans. And this time it is played on the road in Jacksonville. The Texans already were the one team the Jaguars could defend and now the Texans are coming off yet another crushing loss that could play into this game. After ten losses and the last one being so close could completely take the wind out of their sails. Still Ben Tate and Johnson are worthy of a start.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 23 21 18 4 26 27
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 29 25 13 31 23 28

 

1 KC 2-28 10 @TEN 29-27
2 @OAK 9-19 11 ARI 14-27
3 @SEA 17-45 12 @HOU 13-6
4 IND 3-37 13 @CLE 32-28
5 @STL 20-34 14 HOU -
6 @DEN 19-35 15 BUF -
7 SD 6-24 16 TEN -
8 SF 10-42 17 @IND -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC vs HOU Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne 210,1
WR Ace Sanders 4-60
WR Cecil Shorts 7-80,1
TE Marcedes Lewis 3-20
PK Josh Scobee 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars are on a roll with three wins in the last four weeks though their one loss was at home where they still have yet to win a game. Fortunately the next three weeks are all at home and two of the matchups are just replays of road wins against the Titans and Texans plus the Bills. That's a great chance that the Jags end on a rather high note thanks to a kind schedule at the end that is making them look much better than they really are.

QUARTERBACKS: Chad Henne plugs along but he still rarely throws for more than 250 yards since Justin Blackmon left and starting seven games have only produced a total of five touchdowns and never two straight weeks with a touchdown. Henne passed for 239 yards and no scores in Houston but also had no turnovers.

RUNNING BACKS: Maurice Jones-Drew fell off his three game streak with a touchdown and he ended with only 77 yards on 23 runs in Cleveland. But his best game of the year was when he ran for 84 yards and one score on 14 carries and added six catches for 60 yards in the previous meeting with the Texans. Jordan Toddman is mixed in a bit more in recent weeks and ran 11 times versus the Texans for 31 yards. But this remains the Jones-Drew backfield with an inviting three game home stretch starting.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Cecil Shorts comes off only his second touchdown all year when he gained 64 yards in Cleveland. He caught eight passes for 71 yards in the previous game versus the Texans when the rookie Ace Sanders hauled in four passes for 61 yards. Sanders has ben pressed into duty as the #2 with Blackmon gone but he's only 5-7 and 173 pounds. Ideally he's a slot receiver and will be in 2014. But these last three weeks have produced 61, 61 and 67 yards by Sanders who is contributing if only moderately. Sanders still has yet to score in the NFL.

TIGHT ENDS: The tight ends rarely matter here as receivers and in week 12 Marcedes Lewis only caught one pass for 18 yards versus the Texans. Last week both Clay Harbor and Lewis scored once each with minimal yardage in Cleveland. No fantasy value though they occasionally score.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Texans lost because of the running of Jones-Drew last time and now this is played in Jacksonville. That is the weakness of the defense and makes Jones-Drew actually a good start this week. Shorts produced moderate yardage in the last meeting and the Texans are strongest defending wideouts. He's still worth a start but only for that moderate yardage since the run should work even better this week than in Houston.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 27 24 31 32 23
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 7 18 3 11 15 31

WEEK 14 HOU at JAC (THU) DET at PHI OAK at NYJ STL at ARI
ATL at GB IND at CIN MIN at BAL TEN at DEN
BUF at TB KC at WAS NYG at SD CAR at NO
*UPDATED CLE at NE MIA at PIT SEA at SF DAL at CHI (MON)


a d v e r t i s e m e n t