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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)

Prediction: BUF 20, JAC 23 (Line: BUF by 2)

Update: Maurice Jones-Drew never practices this week and is doubtful to play. That gives Jordan Todman the start this week and he should be in line for a moderate game thanks to his ability to receive as well. Cecil Shorts is a game time decision according to HC Gus Bradley.

The 4-9 Bills are on a two game slide and are only 1-5 in road games. The 4-9 Jaguars won their last three games and are just 1-5 at home. This is a coin flip game to be sure between two struggling teams but the Jaguars are at home and getting better.

1 NE 21-23 10 @PIT 10-23
2 CAR 24-23 11 NYJ 37-14
3 @NYJ 20-27 12 BYE WEEK
4 BAL 23-20 13 ATL 31-34
5 @CLE 24-37 14 @TB 6-27
6 CIN 24-27 15 @JAC -
7 @MIA 23-21 16 MIA -
8 @NO 17-35 17 @NE -
9 KC 13-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
BUF @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB E.J. Manuel 20 220,1
RB Fred Jackson 50 4-40
RB C.J. Spiller 80 2-10
WR Marquise Goodwin 3-50,1
TE Scott Chandler 4-40
PK Dan Carpenter 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bills wind down another losing season and it is very possible that they won't win again. The offense started well early in the season but E.J. Manuel hit the rookie wall and began to decline in recent games. There's plenty of raw material for next season if the Bills can only determine how to be consistent on offense and how C.J. Spiller can fit in so that he's not just a explosion every four weeks and then nothing.

QUARTERBACKS: E.J. Manuel returned in week ten but he's never been more than average or done more than what most quarterbacks have against any defense. He suffered through his worst game yet last week in Tampa Bay when he passed for 184 yards and four interceptions - that doubles his yearly total. The Bills plan on simplifying the offense for him in these final three weeks which only means even less passing.

RUNNING BACKS: Fred Jackson is still the best back that the Bills have from a consistency and reliability standpoint. But he turns 33 years of age next season and cannot be an answer again. C.J. Spiller is perhaps the most inconsistent back in the NFL. He has three games with over 100 rushing yards but five times failed to reach 25 yards in a game. Case in point - week 12 he ran for only six yards on 13 runs versus the Jets. Then he gained 149 yards and a score on 15 carries versus the Falcons. Then last week he runs for 22 yards on 11 carries. There is no way of telling when he will go off other than it never happens two weeks in row. One of his best games was against the Chiefs when he ran for 116 yards. There is no real rhyme or reason.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The lackluster passing translates into mediocrity in this unit. Stevie Johnson is the most consistent with around 50 or 60 yards per week but he's only scored once since week two and never been better than 72 yards in the last two months. Robert Woods started the year with some promise but the rookie last all fantasy value back around week five. The coaching staff want to take a better look at the speedster Marquise Goodwin who adds a tremendous deep ball aspect to the offense.

TIGHT ENDS: Scott Chandler is consistent only because he never matters and almost never has more than 40 yards in a game. He scored just twice all year and never since week six.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jaguars at home are far better than the road version and no team threw more than two scores as a visitor in Tampa Bay. Most remain below 200 pass yards. The Jags are weaker than most in stopping the run but that could be anything considering Spiller and Jackson. Bothersome too is that the Bills have scored 16 points total over their last two road trips. You have to start Spiller on the off chance it may be the fourth week and he'll blow up. But only other Bill that merits any consideration is Johnson who only makes a weak WR3 because he'll only get moderate yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 28 7 27 25 11 10
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 30 24 16 31 20 28

 

1 KC 2-28 10 @TEN 29-27
2 @OAK 9-19 11 ARI 14-27
3 @SEA 17-45 12 @HOU 13-6
4 IND 3-37 13 @CLE 32-28
5 @STL 20-34 14 HOU 27-20
6 @DEN 19-35 15 BUF -
7 SD 6-24 16 TEN -
8 SF 10-42 17 @IND -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne 200,1
RB Toby Gerhart
RB Jordan Todman 70,1 5-30
WR Mike Brown 4-50
WR Ace Sanders 7-60
WR Cecil Shorts
TE Marcedes Lewis 3-30
PK Josh Scobee 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars recent winning spate does include two freebies playing the Texans but this was a team that could generate precious little offense that can now score more than 30 points in a game. Home games against the Bills and Titans are not gimmees but are entirely reachable as a win. That could end up saving HC Gus Bradley but this team is bound to be rather different in 2014 with Maurice Jones-Drew almost certain to be gone.

QUARTERBACKS: Chad Henne is not a long-term answer at quarterback which will get addressed in the offseason. But he threw two scores in the last two games and made few mistakes which counts big enough on a bad team. Henne only threw eight touchdowns this year but half just happened against the Browns and Texans.

RUNNING BACKS: Justin Forsett is on injured reserve now because of his broken foot and Maurice Jones-Drew pulled his hamstring last week when he was having his best game of the season - 14 carries for 103 yards. Jordan Toddman would be his replacement if Jones-Drew cannot play but he vows to heal up and be there on Sunday. He scored in three straight games and then turned in 81 and 123 total yards in the last two matchups. Jones-Drew is working towards a contract next year - where ever that may be - and he will play if at all possible. I will assume he can and update later if needed.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The meager passing stats leave this group with minimal production in most games but Cecil Shorts managed to gain around 70 yards in most games and he scored in each of the last two weeks though he ended with only 13 yards last Sunday versus the Texans. Ace Sanders was on a 60-yard streak for three games as well. All combined this unit only has five touchdowns on the season.

TIGHT ENDS: Marcedes Lewis has never been much for yardage this year but scored in each of the last two games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bills are weak on passing and more so in road games but the Jaguars are not going to end up in any shoot out. Henne should manage an average sort of game here - one score and moderate yardage. The Bills have been weaker against the run in recent weeks as well which would serve Jones-Drew if he can play. There is nothing more than low-end plays on this team in any week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 28 22 29 32 24
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 15 11 31 6 27 26

WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)


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