FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)

Prediction: PHI 27, MIN 20 (Line: PHI by 4.5)

Update: This may be messy. Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart were both held out of practices until Friday when both were able to do limited work. There is no certainty about anyone here. Peterson is still in pain from his mid-foot sprain but claims he is going to "suck it up" and play. HC Leslie Frazier also said that Peterson was looking surprisingly good and that they would both be evaluated more on Saturday. Gerhart still appears rather hindered by his hamstring but Peterson looking good. I am making the projections to match the player statuses. It appears that Peterson may give it a go and that Gerhart looks less likely to play. Check their statuses by game time to ensure what is going to happen. Plenty of risk here but a good situation for a healthy back. John Carlson is out with a concussion.

The 8-5 Eagles have a one game lead in the NFC East and are 5-1 in road games and have won five straight. The 3-9-1 Vikings are 3-3 at home but may be without Adrian Peterson. Kyle Rudolph. Greg Childs .Xavier Rhodes. John Carlson. Toby Gerhart. And so on...

1 @WAS 33-27 10 @GB 27-13
2 SD 30-33 11 WAS 24-16
3 KC 16-26 12 BYE WEEK
4 @DEN 20-52 13 ARI 24-21
5 @NYG 36-21 14 DET 34-20
6 @TB 31-20 15 @MIN -
7 DAL 3-17 16 CHI -
8 NYG 7-15 17 @DAL -
9 @OAK 49-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 20 310,3
RB LeSean McCoy 90 5-40
RB Darren Sproles 20 5-40,1
WR Riley Cooper 5-90,1
TE Brent Celek 3-40
TE Zach Ertz 2-20

Pregame Notes: The Liberty Bell has a better chance of being removed from Philly than Nick Foles does. A five game winning streak is reminiscent of what Robert Griffin III did last year before the knee injury. With the Cowboys losing in Chicago, each game is important and inevitably that final matchup in Dallas in the season finale will be for all the marbles - assuming Dallas is still just one game back.

QUARTERBACKS: Nick Foles only completed 11 of 22 passes for 179 yards and one score in the win over the Lions but he scored once and it was during a blizzard. Foles threw his first ever interception but also ran in a score as well. This week should be interesting since the Vikings rank at the bottom against the pass and the last two road games by Foles produced a total of ten touchdowns.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy is apparently a premier "slosher" since the 6" of snow only seemed to make him even better. He ran for a franchise record 217 yards on 29 carries and scored twice. It was his fifth 100+ yard game and he scored eight times so far this season. McCoy remains one of the few backs who share almost no carries. One minor change here - Chris Polk is starting to challenge Bryce Brown as the primary backup though both get a few touches per week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This unit has been less effective in recent weeks but the Eagles keep winning anyway. DeSean Jackson scored last week but only had 59 yards on four catches versus the Lions. Notable is that six of his eight touchdowns were in road ames along with three of his four 100 yard efforts. Riley Cooper bounces around in yardage but also had his best three games all happen on the road and each resulted in 100+ yards and at least one touchdown. While related to the opponent's defense of course, it is oddly consistent that both wideouts have been great only when on the road and have been at home the last three weeks.

TIGHT ENDS: When the Eagles played the Cardinals who feature the worse defense against tight ends, Zach Ertz scored twice and Brent Celek scored once. But both tight ends typically have minimal yardage and no scores in most games. Ertz was held to no catches just last week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikings have already allowed 28 touchdowns to quarterbacks this season and most end up with more than 280 passing yards. This has all the promise of another big game from Foles going against the worst secondary he has yet faced. The Vikes are also weak against the run with 14 scores allowed to running backs. The only scary part of this matchup is that if Adrian Peterson does not play and the Vikings cannot move the ball, the Eagles may not take everything that is there to get. Start all your normal Eagles. This is even inside a dome.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 2 14 10 12 19 23
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 32 31 30 26 29 29

 

1 @DET 24-34 10 WAS 34-27
2 @CHI 30-31 11 @SEA 20-41
3 CLE 27-31 12 @GB 26-26
4 PIT 34-27 13 CHI 23-20
5 BYE WEEK 14 @BAL 26-29
6 CAR 10-35 15 PHI -
7 @NYG 7-23 16 @CIN -
8 GB 31-44 17 DET -
9 @DAL 23-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel 280,2
RB Matt Asiata 20
RB Adrian Peterson 80,1 1-10
WR Greg Jennings 6-80,1
WR Cordarrelle Patterson 5-90,1
WR Jerome Simpson 3-50
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings lost a wild one in Baltimore and in the process got Adrian Peterson injured. The Vikings may be losing most their games but at least they were competitive in most of them. Without Peterson, that makes competing much more challenging. This is just another lost season for the Vikings and the final three games are not any easier than the rest of the schedule. The lone bright spot would be if the Lions tanked the finale because they already clinched the NFC North.

QUARTERBACKS: Christian Ponder is cleared from his concussion and could play but early word has not indicated if he will return to start or if Matt Cassel gets another shot since he played so well against the Ravens (265 yards, 2 TDs, no turnovers). I will assume that Cassel plays and will update as more is known. This late in the year there is no guarantee that an in-game quarterback chance would not happen. To date the Vikings have never passed for 300 yards or thrown more than two touchdowns in any game. Ponder does bring some rushing ability though.

RUNNING BACKS: Adrian Peterson sprained his mid-foot but did not tear any ligaments or end up with a Lis Franc injury. Early word is that he will likely miss this week and must wear a walking boot for some unspecified time. Peterson of course insists that he will play and would willingly hop on one foot if allowed. I will assume that he cannot play and update as needed. Problem too is that Toby Gerhart tweaked his hamstring at the end of the loss in Baltimore and his status is not yet known. I will assume he can play with no real limitation and update him as well. If neither running back was able to play, Matt Asiata is about all they have left.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There has never been a reliable wideout this year and none of them have more than three touchdowns on the season. Greg Jennings scored just once in the last eight games but almost never tops 60 yards in any game. Jerome Simpson comes off his first touchdown of the year but has even less yardage than Jennings. Cordarrelle Patterson scored on a run in week 13 and then ran in an 80-yard score that should have won the game in Baltimore and ended with five catches for 141 yards which was about 100 yards more than any other game. There is talent here but it is highly inconsistent and entirely unreliable.

TIGHT ENDS: Kyle Rudolph was placed on injured reserve because his fracture foot was not healing quickly enough. John Carlson was filling in without actually doing that much but was concussed last week and may not play. I will assume he is out and add him back in if warranted.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is nearly impossible to predict since the quarterback wasn't names, Peterson and Gerhart may or may not be playing and John Carlson needs to pass concussion tests. I'll revisit this on Friday but there will be some fantasy value here if we can feel comfortable with who will and will not be playing. THere is nothing special about the Eagles defense and the secondary is one of the very worst against wide receivers.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 26 10 26 14 8 16
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 26 16 32 5 16 19

WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)


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