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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)

Prediction: SF 24, TB 23 (Line: SF by 5)

The 49ers won over the Seahawks was huge. They remain two games back and likely won't make that up but it was a needed shot of confidence that the 9-4 49ers could hang with anyone. The 4-9 Buccaneers have won four of their last five games and are no longer the doormat in the NFC South. This could be a problematic game for the 49ers if it is a letdown game after the big emotional win at home. Figure on this one more likely being lower scoring and closer than what might seem prudent.

1 GB 34-28 10 CAR 9-10
2 @SEA 3-29 11 @NO 20-23
3 IND 7-27 12 @WAS 27-6
4 @STL 35-11 13 STL 23-13
5 HOU 34-3 14 SEA 19-17
6 ARI 32-20 15 @TB -
7 @TEN 31-17 16 ATL -
8 @JAC 42-10 17 @ARI -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF @ TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 30,1 230,2
RB Frank Gore 50 1-10
WR Anquan Boldin 6-90,1
WR Michael Crabtree 4-40
WR Steve Johnson 5-60
TE Vernon Davis 4-70,1
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Even with the win over the Seahawks, the 49ers have to accept they will only get a wild card and since the Panthers are also 9-4, the 49ers may not even be the #5 seed. The final three games are lighter than the rest of the schedule was even with the two remaining road games. The best part of the schedule is that there will be no bad weather games for the 49ers - at least not until the playoffs.

QUARTERBACKS: The 49ers won last week but it wasn't because of Colin Kaepernick other than he only threw one interception this time instead of the three he had in Seattle. He's only totaled 16 passing scores this year and only two of the last 12 games managed to top 200 pass yards. His role as a runner has also been downplayed with fewer than 35 yards on almost all games and no rushing scores since week eight.

RUNNING BACKS: Frank Gore reversed a month long trend of sub 50-yard games when he tacked 110 yards on 17 carries against the Seahawks but 51 yards came on one play so it was effectively the same level of production. Gore has not been asked to carry more than 19 times since week eight and only scored one touchdown since mid-season. He's also been completely removed as a receiver. The 49ers are not overworking their aging back and his production reflects more of a part-timer.

WIDE RECEIVERS: After a rather quiet season, Anquan Boldin is on a three game streak of 90+ yard games and even scored three times over his most recent two road venues. Michael Crabtree posted 68 yards against the Rams in his first game back but then was held to 40 yards on four catches by Richard Sherman last week. The expectation is that Darrelle Revis will cover the more dangerous Crabtree but that could change during the game.

TIGHT ENDS: Vernon Davis is not much for yardage and he has been held to four catches or less for the last seven games but he scored in all but three games this year and already has 11 touchdowns to his credit including one each in the last four games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Buccaneers weakness has been against the pass - other than whoever gets Revis in coverage - and most teams end up with two or three touchdowns. But less so when played in Tampa Bay and there have been no 300 yard passers against them since the season opener. Notable too is that four quarterbacks have rushed in a touchdown against them - only two running backs have managed to score on them. The strength is against the run and that should keep Gore to only moderate numbers yet again. Kaepernick, Davis and Boldin deserve consideration this week assuming that Crabtree draws Revis.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 20 15 32 4 17 12
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 29 8 21 18 22 7

 

1 @NYJ 17-18 10 MIA 22-19
2 NO 14-16 11 ATL 41-28
3 @NE 3-23 12 @DET 24-21
4 ARI 10-13 13 @CAR 6-27
5 BYE WEEK 14 BUF 27-6
6 PHI 20-31 15 SF -
7 @ATL 23-31 16 @STL -
8 CAR 13-31 17 @NO -
9 @SEA 24-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
TB vs SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Mike Glennon 180,1
RB Bobby Rainey 70,1 1-10
WR Vincent Jackson 3-60,1
TE Timothy Wright 2-30
PK Rian Lindell 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: No denying that the Buccaneers are not playing better though mostly thanks to a kinder stretch of the schedule. That was evident in the beat down in Carolina but after stumbling to a 0-8 record, going 4-1 recently makes a lot of bad feel good. There's still a chance for a win here and in St. Louis, but it will take a major effort and need to catch the 49ers playing flat.

QUARTERBACKS: Mike Glennon struggled last week with only nine of 25 passes completed for 90 yqa5rds but he scored twice and the Buccaneers defense was in control of the game anyway. Glennon scored in all but one game but never more than twice and he remains well below 250 yards in all recent games.

RUNNING BACKS: Bobby Rainey opened up the win over the Bills with an 80-yard touchdown run and ended with 127 yards on 22 carries Rainey scored in all three home games that he started and managed decent yardage. He continues to have minimal work as a receiver.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Tiquan Underwood had the one big game against the Lions but otherwise has been a nonfactor replacing Mike Williams and even was held to no catches last week. Vincent Jackson is the only wideout of note and usually is good for 70 yards per game. He's scored four of his six touchdowns at home but tends to either have ten catches or just three per game.

TIGHT ENDS: Timothy Wright only plays on passing downs as the receiving tight end and that has meant he rarely has much yardage. He scored just last week but that was his first since week nine and four of the last five games were all under 25 yards.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The 49ers are great against the pass and only allowed ten scores over the last 12 games and rarely much yardage. Considering how marginal the passing is here, the only hope is for one touchdown connection between Jackson and Glennon. This will not be a shootout. At best the Bucs can come out hot and get some production before the 49ers get serious. No runner has produced 100 yards on them this year but nine different backs have scored. This could be a moderately good game for Rainey who does better at home anyway.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 30 23 25 31 28 13
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 3 13 9 2 1 3

WEEK 15 SD at DEN (THU) CIN at PIT NE at MIA SEA at NYG
ARI at TEN GB at DAL NO at STL SF at TB
BUF at JAC HOU at IND NYJ at CAR WAS at ATL
*UPDATED CHI at CLE KC at OAK PHI at MIN BAL at DET (MON)


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