FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Free Agent Forecast: Week 16
Thomas Casale
December 17, 2013
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SYMBOL LEGEND
Rockstar Rock Star Free Agent
Injury Injury Replacement
Grab & Stash Grab & Stash
1 Week Plug & Play 1 Week Plug & Play
Dumpster Dive Dumpster Dive
Free Agent Auction
Bid (FAAB) Scale
$ $0 - $5
$$ $6 - $15
$$$ $16 - $25
$$$$ $26 - $40
$$$$$ $41+
Based on $100 cap,
12-team league.

Quarterbacks

Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins
1 Week Plug & PlayTannehill threw for 312 yards and three scores against the Patriots. It’s now the third time in four games that Tannehill has gone over 300 yards. He has nine touchdowns and just three interceptions over that span. Tannehill has also rushed for 114 yards in those games, giving owners an added bonus. This week Tannehill faces a Bills’ pass defense that has allowed 27 passing touchdowns, so if you need a quarterback Tannehill is hot and he has a favorable matchup.
Availability: Owned in ~ 58% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Tannehill will put up low-end QB1 numbers.

Kirk Cousins, Redskins
1 Week Plug & PlayIn his first start replacing Robert Griffin, Cousins threw for 381 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Granted, it came against the Falcons’ defense but Cousins looked good overall. Now he gets maybe the only defense easier to play against than Atlanta. There are Pee Wee League quarterbacks who can throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns against the Cowboys. Last week Matt Flynn became the latest backup to look like John Elway against Dallas. Expect Cousin to have another huge fantasy day and help lead some owners to a championship this week.
Availability: Owned in ~ 18% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Cousins will throw for over 300 yards and at least two touchdowns.

On the Radar: No one

Running Backs

Matt Asiata, Vikings
Injury ReplacementAdrian Peterson and/or Toby Gerhart are expected back for Week 16 but owners will want to grab Asiata just in case. In one of the more perplexing stat lines you’ll ever see, Asiata ran for just 51 yards on 30 carries (1.7 YPC) but scored three short touchdowns. Asiata is obviously limited when it comes to talent and will likely be headed back to the bench this week but owners will want to be prepared just in case both Peterson and Gerhart can’t go against the Bengals.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: If you own either Peterson or Gerhart, grab Asiata just for insurance.

Jordan Todman, Jaguars
1 Week Plug & PlayTodman got the start last week for an injured Maurice Jones Drew and responded with 153 yards and four receptions. The only thing missing for Todman was a touchdown that he may have gotten had the Jaguars not wasted a carry on Denard Robinson. Even if MJD comes back this week Todman will see touches against a Titans’ defense that is really struggling to stop running backs right now. Last week Tennessee gave up 69 yards and two touchdowns to Arizona’s Rashad Mendenhall, while Andre Ellington racked up 158 total yards. Todman will see his share of touches this week regardless of Jones-Drew’s health.
Availability: Owned in ~ 25% of leagues.
FAAB: $$-$$$
Forecast: Todman is a strong RB2 if Jones-Drew is out and a flex play option if MJD plays.

Montee Ball, Broncos
1 Week Plug & PlayBall burned some owners who started him last week but it wouldn’t be a bad idea to go back to him again for your Fantasy Super Bowl. Ball has still scored double-digit fantasy points in PPR leagues in three of his last five games. There may not be a bigger mismatch right now than Denver vs. Houston, especially with the Broncos coming off a loss. Denver’s coaching staff is obviously trying to limit Knowshon Moreno’s touches heading into the playoffs and they aren’t going to run him if the Broncos are up by four touchdowns. Ball is in a great position to see a lot of touches in a game where Denver should roll from start to finish.
Availability: Owned in ~ 80% of leagues.
FAAB: $$$
Forecast: Ball will see around 15 carries this week and put up RB2 production.

On the Radar: Edwin Baker (1%), Dennis Johnson (24%)

Wide Receivers

Andre Caldwell, Broncos
Injury ReplacementAs of Monday Wes Welker still hasn’t been cleared to practice because of his concussion. Last week Caldwell caught six passes for 59 yards and two touchdowns on a team-high 10 targets while replacing Welker in the slot. The gameplan changes in Denver every week and it’s doubtful that Demaryius Thomas will only see five targets against Houston. However, Caldwell is worth picking up in case Welker misses his second straight game Sunday.
Availability: Owned in ~ 1% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Caldwell is worth flex play consideration if Welker is out again.

Greg Jennings, Vikings
1 Week Plug & PlayJennings had a huge game on Sunday catching 11 passes for 163 yards and a touchdown on 13 targets. Jennings has actually played well now in his last three games, catching 23 passes for 294 yards and two scores over that span. Jennings should continue putting up strong fantasy numbers when he takes on a Bengals’ secondary ravaged by injuries. Jennings has a great chance to find the end zone for the third time in four games.
Availability: Owned in ~ 46% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Jennings is a WR3/flex play against the Bengals’ beat-up secondary.

Doug Baldwin, Seahawks
1 Week Plug & PlayBaldwin is coming off a strong fantasy performance against the Giants where he caught six passes for 71 yards and a touchdown. Things will get tougher this week when Seattle faces Arizona’s secondary but Baldwin should be heavily targeted once again with Golden Tate likely drawing Patrick Peterson for much of the game. Baldwin has scored in three of his last four games and four of his last six, so he’s worth considering if you need a receiver.
Availability: Owned in ~ 46% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Baldwin is a WR4/flex play despite the tough match-up this week.

Rod Streater, Raiders
1 Week Plug & PlayStreater only caught four passes for 59 yards against Kansas City but he continues to see a ton of targets with Matt McGloin under center. Streater has now seen at least eight targets in four of his last five games. He also has over 50 yards receiving in all of those games and two scores. Streater has a favorable matchup this week against a San Diego pass defense allowing 267 yards a game. The targets will be there, so there’s a good chance the production will be too.
Availability: Owned in ~ 55% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Streater will put up double-digit fantasy points in PPR leagues.

On the Radar: Aldrick Robinson (4%),Jerrel Jernigan (1%)

Tight Ends

Zach Ertz, Eagles
1 Week Plug & PlayErtz has been more involved in the Eagles’ offense recently. In his last four games Ertz has 18 receptions and four touchdowns. He’s scored in three of his last four games. The Eagles play the Bears on Sunday night. This is a matchup of the top rushing team in the league against by far the worst rushing defense. The Bears are going to have no choice but to cheat their safeties up to stop the run, opening things up for Ertz in the middle of the field. Chip Kelly knows how to exploit weaknesses and Chicago has struggled covering the tight end all season.
Availability: Owned in ~ 10% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Ertz will find the end zone once again this week.

Delanie Walker, Titans
1 Week Plug & PlayWalker was red hot before suffering a concussion and he came back to feast on the NFL’s worst defense when it comes to giving up fantasy points to tight ends: Arizona. Walker caught eight passes for 53 yards and a touchdown. If you missed starting Walker against the Cardinals, don’t worry. On Sunday he faces the second worst defense when it comes to allowing fantasy points to tight ends: Jacksonville. Last time Walker played the Jaguars he caught four passes for 62 yards and a score. If you lost Rob Gronkowski, Walker should produce for the second week in a row.
Availability: Owned in ~ 73% of leagues.
FAAB: $-$$
Forecast: Walker is a strong TE1 again this week.

On the Radar: Marcedes Lewis (3%), Andrew Quarless (4%)

Kickers

Caleb Sturgis, Dolphins
1 Week Plug & PlayLast week The Forecast suggested playing Josh Scobee against the Bills because Buffalo is one of the top teams in allowing points from opposing fantasy kickers. Scobee had a strong game and Sturgis should do the same. Sturgis has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of his last four games. He had also kicked at least two field goals in a game six straight times up until last week. Look for him to get back on track against Buffalo.
Availability: Owned in ~ 22% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Sturgis will kick at least two field goals and two extra points against Buffalo.

Nick Novak, Chargers
1 Week Plug & PlayNovak has been one of the better fantasy kickers over the last month. He’s kicked at least two field goals in five of his last six games. The Chargers should have no trouble moving the football on the struggling Oakland defense, giving Novak plenty of opportunities on Sunday. Novak has rewarded fantasy owners with a strong performance five times in his last seven starts. Make it six out of eight.
Availability: Owned in ~ 57% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Novak will score double-digit fantasy points this week.

On the Radar: No one

Defense/Specials Teams

Detroit Lions
1 Week Plug & PlayThe Giants just got shut out at home by Seattle and the only thing most of their players are thinking about right now is getting on the golf course. Thought to be one of the better offenses in the NFL before the season, the Giants have been dreadful. Eli Manning has thrown an NFL leading 25 interceptions and New York’s line can’t block anyone. Detroit’s defensive line will harass Eli all game long and get him closer to that infamous 30 interception mark.
Availability: Owned in ~ 40% of leagues.
FAAB: $
Forecast: Detroit’s defense will rack up the sacks and turnovers against the lifeless Giants.

On the Radar: St. Louis Rams (70%)


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