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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: ATL 17, SF 27 (Line: SF by 12)

Update: Tony Gonzalez is winding down his career with partial practices but is still expected to play and it is the same toe issue he had for a while. Mario Manningham was held out of practices from illness but is expected ot play and is a nonfactor anyway.

The 4-10 Falcons come off their one point win over the Redskins but are only 1-6 on the road. The 10-4 49ers are still working for at least the #1 wildcard with a theoretical chance of winning the division. The 49ers are on a four game winning streak and starting to look as dominating as they were last season. This is the Monday night game that looked much better six months ago than it does now.

1 @NO 17-23 10 SEA 10-33
2 STL 31-24 11 @TB 28-41
3 @MIA 23-27 12 NO 13-17
4 NE 23-30 13 @BUF 34-31
5 NYJ 28-30 14 @GB 21-22
6 BYE WEEK 15 WAS 27-26
7 TB 31-23 16 @SF -
8 @ARI 13-27 17 CAR -
9 @CAR 10-34 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL @ SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 210,1
RB Steven Jackson 50,1 1-10
WR Harry Douglas 5-50
WR Roddy White 5-60
TE Tony Gonzalez 4-40,1
PK Matt Bryant 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Falcons won two of their last three games and that's probably going to have to suffice. The final two games go against the 49ers and Panthers who are not likely to take anything easy on them, particularly the Panthers who will fight to the end for the division. The Falcons season was over long ago and yet they are playing it out in good faith. This team is probably going to look rather different in 2014.

QUARTERBACKS: Matt Ryan has done well enough just to score in all but one game but his yardage is much lighter in the second half of the season and he's only scored twice or more in games against soft secondaries. An improved rushing game has helped the offense but not the passing numbers that earlier this year were all in desperation during trash time.

RUNNING BACKS: Since Steven Jackson returned, Jacquizz Rodgers has been a nonfactor and rarely gets more than 5 or so touches per game with minimal yardage attached. Jackson is receiving at least 15 carries per week and while he still has low yardage in most games, he's scored five times in the last four weeks. Sort of the reverse from St. Louis when he would run all game and yet never score. He has no real role as a receiver and even when he does it doesn't really matter. Last week against the Skins he caught four passes but only gained five yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Roddy White is still not 100% over his knee injury and while he had big games in Buffalo and Green Bay, he was back to only 53 yards on five catches versus the Redskins last week. He scored only once so far and excelled in just the two games against bad secondaries. Harry Douglas spent mid-season as the hot hand but has really cooled. His last two games only totaled 57 yards on seven catches. No other receivers matter or contribute much.

TIGHT ENDS: He may be ending with more of a whimper than a bang, but at least Tony Gonzalez is on a three game scoring streak and totals seven touchdowns on the season. His yardage really declined this year and he hasn't produced more than 65 yards for the last six weeks.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The 49ers pass defense is top notch and only allowed four passing scores over their last six home games. The rush defense has been less formidable but still has not allowed a 100 yard rusher in San Francisco and Jackson isn't capable of it anyway. This is the final home game for the 49ers and a national spotlight on Monday. The only decent fantasy play here would be Tony Gonzalez and that is mostly for moderate yardage and a shot at one touchdown. This will be the toughest defense that the Falcons have faced since back in week ten when the Panthers held them to only 10 points.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 18 9 17 9 24 25
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 3 13 7 2 1 3

 

1 GB 34-28 10 CAR 9-10
2 @SEA 3-29 11 @NO 20-23
3 IND 7-27 12 @WAS 27-6
4 @STL 35-11 13 STL 23-13
5 HOU 34-3 14 SEA 19-17
6 ARI 32-20 15 @TB 33-14
7 @TEN 31-17 16 ATL -
8 @JAC 42-10 17 @ARI -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF vs ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 30 250,2
RB Frank Gore 100,1
WR Anquan Boldin 4-60
WR Michael Crabtree 5-90,1
WR Steve Johnson
TE Vernon Davis 5-80,1
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The 49ers are in a good spot with their final two games well within their reach. But that only means that they end up with the higher ranked wild card and will play every game on the road in January. But the offense has really gelled in recent weeks while the defense has been dominating and no longer placed in bad situations as they were in earlier games. This home game will be played in earnest and since the Panthers and Saints play each other with the same 10-4 record as the 49ers, it could end up that the final week carries less importance depending on tie breakers.

QUARTERBACKS: Colin Kaepernick in ten of the last 11 games but he's been moderate in yardage at best and normally ends with only one or two touchdown passe4s. His rushing yardage remains low and he has not ran in a score for going on seven weeks now. Kaepernick isn't turning in big games, but he is making few if any mistakes lately.

RUNNING BACKS: The rushing game has been less successful this year and is average at best. Frank Gore has broken 100 yards in just three games so far and scored only once in the most recent six weeks. He broke 1000 yards on the season for the seventh time in his career. Gore could have a little more challenge rushing since FB Bruce Miller is out with a scapula injury and he was a top lead blocker in the league. Now the 49ers will bring in a practice quad replacement or look in free agency.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The return of Michael Crabtree has only produced one score in the three games played but he's making a difference just by being on the field. Crabtree gained 68 yards on two catches back in week 13 but the last two weeks was held below 50 yards by Patrick Peterson and Richard Sherman. This should be the week he finally meets a bad secondary. Anquan Boldin has been good for around 90 yards in most recent weeks thanks in part to Crabtree being on the field.

TIGHT ENDS: Vernon Davis is having a banner year with 12 touchdowns including one in each of the last five games. His yardage varies from almost nothing to 80 yards per game but he's just been a scoring machine. He's failed to score in only one home game all year - against the Seahawks.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: There is nothing special about the Falcons defense that has been hard hit by injuries most of the year. Not only has every opposing quarterback scored on them, Matt Flynn was the only time an opponent did not score at least twice via the pass. No reason to expect a big passing effort by the 49ers but Kaepernick is safe for at least a moderate game this week which means one of his better efforts. The Falcons are equally weak against the run which should mean at least one score and decent yardage for Gore.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SF 22 16 32 5 12 12
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 26 26 19 21 32 10

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


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