FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: CLE 20, NYJ 23 (Line: NYJ by 2)

Update: Jordan Cameron is out with a concussion this week. This game could be impacted by a heavy thunderstorn with rain and wind.

The 4-10 Browns are on a five game losing streak and are only 1-5 on the road. The 6-8 Jets are 5-2 at home. This is likely a messy game to call but the home Jets should take it. How they do that is more challenging to call.

1 MIA 10-23 10 BYE WEEK
2 @BAL 6-14 11 @CIN 20-41
3 @MIN 31-27 12 PIT 11-27
4 CIN 17-6 13 JAC 28-32
5 BUF 37-24 14 @NE 26-27
6 DET 17-31 15 CHI 31-38
7 @GB 13-31 16 @NYJ -
8 @KC 17-23 17 @PIT -
9 BAL 24-18 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Miles Austin 2-30
WR Josh Gordon 8-120,2
TE Jordan Cameron

Pregame Notes: The Browns are winding down another bad season enroute to yet another rebuilding year. The only offensive holdover next year of any real note is Josh Gordon who has provided as much production as just about all others combined. The defense has been even worse in the last month and since coming off the week 10 bye, the Browns have not won or even slowed down any other offense. Two road games to end the year won't make this team look any better.

QUARTERBACKS: Jason Campbell is playing better than any other of the multitude of Browns quarterbacks this year but that is still mostly limited to looking for Josh Gordon on most plays. Campbell throws for 250 yards or more every start and scores at least once. But he's also not been on the road much this season.

RUNNING BACKS: Willis McGahee missed last week because of a concussion but instead of using Chris Ogbonnaya, they opted to feature newly signed Edwin Baker who ran for 38 yards and a score on eight carries and added four receptions for 46 yards. That was only the third rushing touchdown by the Browns this season. I will assume that McGahee returns but chances are the meager production will be even more divided up and this week is facing one of the very best rushing defenses in the league.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Josh Gordon already owns the single season record for yardage on the Browns and that was missing the first two games and still having two more to play. Gordon scored in each of the last five games and totals nine scores on the season. He's a lock for ten or more targets each week. No other Browns' receiver scored more than twice this year. Gordon dwarfs all other receivers on this team which is why he gets such a big workload every week.

TIGHT ENDS: Jordan Cameron racked up nine catches for 121 yards and a score on the Patriots but then only managed three receptions for 23 yards against the Bears. Back to the sub-45 yard level of the past six weeks. He remains a big risk to expect more than marginal yardage.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets are worse against the pass and allow 250+ yards and multiple scores to most opposing quarterbacks. But they have been outstanding against the rush and the Browns are among the worst at running the ball anyway. No different than any week - Josh Gordon is a must start against a secondary that has been often victimized in recent weeks. Campbell is a marginal start and no other Brown offers more reward than risk.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 15 31 13 4 29 20
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 20 2 27 25 31 29

 

1 TB 18-17 10 BYE WEEK
2 @NE 10-13 11 @BUF 14-37
3 BUF 27-20 12 @BAL 3-19
4 @TEN 13-38 13 MIA 3-23
5 @ATL 30-28 14 OAK 37-27
6 PIT 6-19 15 @CAR 20-30
7 NE 30-27 16 CLE -
8 @CIN 9-49 17 @MIA -
9 NO 26-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ vs CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Geno Smith 40,1 160,1
RB Chris Ivory 60
RB Chris Johnson 40 6-50,1
RB Bilal Powell 20 3-20
WR Eric Decker 7-100
WR Jeremy Kerley 3-40
TE Jeff Cumberland 2-30,1
PK Nick Folk 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jets have one of the worst offenses across the board and survive only thanks to their defense which has been in decline as well. The season winds down with this final "winnable" game but it would require winning the final two weeks to avoid a losing season. There's been almost no progress made on the offense other than proving who is not a contributor.

QUARTERBACKS: Geno Smith remains the starter despite only throwing ten touchdowns this year and just two in the last seven games. Smith still offers the threat to run and did score four times on scrambles out of the backfield. But he's never thrown for more than 233 yards in the last ten games and if anything regresses as the season continues.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Ivory has been somewhat consistent in rushing for 60 or more yards per game and topped 200 yards twice but he only scored three times this year and the Jets took to using defensive end Sheldon Richardson to punch in the short touchdown last week. Bilal Powell also takes about eight carries per week so the minimal production of this unit contains no real fantasy value. I'll project for Ivory but two or three other backs are going to figure in.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There's never really been any reliability here all season and while Jeremy Kerley is back, he only managed one catch against the Panthers last Sunday. All combined, this unit only scored five touchdowns on the year . Santonio Holmes is the only other receiver of any note and even he has just one score and usually ends up with fewer than 30 yards on his one or two catches per week.

TIGHT ENDS: Kellen Winslow gained 61 yards on three catches in week 14 to suggest his usage was increasing but that was a blip. He only managed once catch last week in Carolina. Jeff Cumberland scored once on his three catches for 50 yards in that game but most weeks he only catches one meaningless pass.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Cleveland defense hands out two or three passing scores for the last nine weeks in a row. Now Joe Haden may miss this game though in fairness there is no receiver that can be shut down and make any appreciable difference. This is also one of the worst passing teams in the league. The Browns are actually decent against the run but allow yards and scores to receiving backs which the Jets do not much use. There is no Jets player worthy of a start. There just simply isn't even in a home game because they rank bottom five in nearly every category.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 30 28 30 21 11 32
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 15 22 10 18 19 21

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


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