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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: DAL 31, WAS 27 (Line: DAL by 2.5)

There is a chance of heavy thunderstorms and wind in this game so check the Sunday weather.

This is the NFC East pity party. The 7-7 Cowboys are on a two game losing streak because December is two weeks old. After losing to the Packers who they led by 23 points, the entire team is in disarray. Then we have the 3-11 Redskins who have lost their last six games and are even further down the disarray path with an all but certain coaching upheaval in store for the offseason. The Cowboys still have a chance to win the NFC East which alone says a lot about the division. But they have to get past the December jinx that arrives every year just in time to end the season on a very bad note. If the Boys drop this one, Jerry Jones head may explode. These are two very bad defenses so there should be plenty of points. It gives out the feeling that something spectacularly bad is going to happen like when two of your less mannered friends decide to play chicken with their cars.

This is a replay of week six when the Cowboys won 31-16.

1 NYG 36-31 10 @NO 17-49
2 @KC 16-17 11 BYE WEEK
3 STL 31-7 12 @NYG 24-21
4 @SD 21-30 13 OAK 31-24
5 DEN 48-51 14 @CHI 28-45
6 WAS 31-16 15 GB 36-37
7 @PHI 17-3 16 @WAS -
8 @DET 30-31 17 PHI -
9 MIN 27-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 230,2
RB DeMarco Murray 120,2 2-10
WR Cole Beasley 3-40
WR Dez Bryant 5-80,1
WR Terrance Williams 2-30
TE Jason Witten 4-30,1
PK Dan Bailey 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The worst part about the Cowboys collapse against the Packers is that they were running so well and yet used DeMarco Murray so little. That is a problem because it could very well end up forcing the play calling away from passing and more on rushing where there are far fewer fantasy points to be shared. On a good note, the only teams that the Cowboy beat on the road this year were the two other divisional rivals.

QUARTERBACKS: In fairness, those two interceptions thrown by Tony Romo last week were his first in three games. The Cowboys found other ways to lose to the Bears. Romo passed for only 170 yards and one touchdown in the previous win over the Redskins because that was all that was needed to secure a solid win. This will be one of the worst defenses that he has faced this year.

RUNNING BACKS: DeMarco Murray has been outstanding the last three weeks. He scored three times on the Raiders, then ran for 146 yards in Chicago and then scored once on his 18 runs for 134 yards versus the Packers. Murray only ran for 29 yards and a score in the last meeting with the Redskins because he had his annual injury in that game and missed the next two weeks. Joseph Randle replaced him and only gained 17 yards on 11 carries but also scored a rushing touchdown. Chances are excellent that Murray is going to finally be given more than 20 carries in this game for the first time since week three.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Dez Bryant may have stomped off to the locker room early last week (he did not want to weep in public apparently), but he finally had another monster game with 11 catches for 153 yards and one score. Bryant scored in each of the two previous games as well but never had more than 61 yards. He currently stands at 11 touchdowns on the season. Miles Austin is back for four games now but apparently only to catch two meaningless passes per game and them let the defender intercept the ball.

Back in week six, Bryant was held to only five catches for 36 yards that ended a four game scoring streak. No other wideout gained more than 44 yards or scored that day.

TIGHT ENDS: Jason Witten is much lighter on yardage this year but scored five times over the last six weeks. He's never gained more than 50 yards in any road game though he did score three times away from Dallas. Witten only managed three catches for 27 yards in the previous matchup with the Redskins.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Redskins average about two passing touchdowns per visiting quarterback and the yardage varies tremendously. Given the fiasco last week, it is more than notable that the Redskins are among the worst against the run and have already allowed 21 scores to opposing runners this year. Six different backs recorded multiple scores on them. This is a weak defense that can be beaten in many ways and the Cowboys will either be out for blood or completely flat here. Given the situation in Washington, the defense could be even worse than usual.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 13 20 8 8 17 3
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 30 20 24 17 30

 

1 PHI 27-33 10 @MIN 27-34
2 @GB 20-38 11 @PHI 16-24
3 DET 20-27 12 SF 6-27
4 @OAK 24-14 13 NYG 17-24
5 BYE WEEK 14 KC 10-45
6 @DAL 16-31 15 @ATL 26-27
7 CHI 45--41 16 DAL -
8 @DEN 21-45 17 @NYG -
9 SD 30-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Kirk Cousins 310,2
RB Alfred Morris 100,1
WR Pierre Garcon 8-110,1
WR DeSean Jackson 5-60,1
WR Santana Moss 6-70
TE Logan Paulsen 3-40,1
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: As the Redskins season slowly wafts to the bottom of the lake, each week takes a new turn for the worse. Last week it was losing by one point and having Mike Shanahan abruptly leave the post game press conference the second time a question came regarding his employment or potential lack of it. This will be the dysfunction bowl and worth the watch as much for the sidelines as the playing field.

QUARTERBACKS: Kirk Cousins has always been a capable backup that suggests he could be more. In his first start he was facing the horrible Falcons defense but he threw for 381 yards and three scores with two interceptions. And this time he is at home against the horrible Cowboys defense. His final game is against the Giants. How great is his sense of timing?

RUNNING BACKS: All the preseason boasting about running for 2000 yards and improving on last year certainly is hard to remember by now. Alfred Morris has only three efforts over 100 yards, has only seven receptions on the year and scored just once in the last six games. Morris runs well enough but rarely gets more than 15 carries per game anymore. He scored six times so far while other backs have hawked seven more from him. Back in Dallas, Morris ran for 81 yards on only 16 carries and scored once.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Pierre Garcon comes off a nice seven-catch, 129 yard game with one score in Atlanta in Cousins first start at quarterback. Garcon only has four scores to his credit this year and four instances of a 100 yard game but no other wideout here has any reliability or production of note. Santana Moss just scored for the first time since week two and gained 64 yards on eight catches with Cousin at the helm. Aldrick Robinson turned in a season best 99 yards on four catches in Atlanta.

Back in week six, no receivers scored and Garcon was the best with six catches for 69 yards.

TIGHT ENDS: Jordan Reed is still incurring post-concussion headaches here a month later and is likely to get shut down for the final two games. in his place little has happened other than each week a touchdown ends up with either Logan Paulsen or Fred Davis but neither ends up with more than 40 yards in a game. In week six, Reed caught four passes for 58 yards in Dallas.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: LB Sean Lee is likely out this week as well and that helps all facets of the Skins offense. The Cowboys rank dead last against running backs and quarterbacks. Their last two opponents both threw for 299+ yards and four scores each. The Cowboys have already allowed 34 touchdowns to quarterbacks. This is a good sign for Cousins so long as team dysfunction and general anxiety does not get into the way. Cousins, Garcon and Morris are all must starts this week. There will be others who turn in a decent game but no others are reliable.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 16 15 16 11 32 10
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 32 32 24 28 16 2

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


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