FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: MIA 24, BUF 20 (Line: MIA by 2.5)

Update: E.J. Manuel is out this week because of his knee and Thad Lewis will take the start. Steve Johnson was also given the week off to deal with the death of his mother. Daniel Thomas reaggravated his ankle sprain and will be a game time decision after only getting in a little work on Friday.

Be aware that this could be a game with heavy rain at times and wind. Check the weather on Sunday.

The 8-6 Dolphins are on a three game winning streak but remained tied with the Ravens for the final wild card spot. The Fins are 4-3 on the road and the 5-9 Bills are only 3-4 at home. This is a replay of week seven when the Bills won 23-21 in Miami.

1 @CLE 23-10 10 @TB 19-22
2 @IND 24-20 11 SD 20-16
3 ATL 27-23 12 CAR 16-20
4 @NO 17-38 13 @NYJ 23-3
5 BAL 23-26 14 @PIT 34-28
6 BYE WEEK 15 NE 24-20
7 BUF 21-23 16 @BUF -
8 @NE 17-27 17 NYJ -
9 CIN 22-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA @ BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 20 270,2
RB Lamar Miller 60 3-20
RB Knowshon Moreno 90,1 3-20
RB Daniel Thomas
WR Brian Hartline 5-70,1
WR Rishard Matthews 2-30
WR Mike Wallace 6-110,1
TE Charles Clay 3-30
PK Caleb Sturgis 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Dolphins are on a nice streak of wins lately that include beating the Patriots and Steelers. The difference has been mostly the improved passing results and that's kept the Fins playoff hopes alive so far. With only a home game against the Jets left after this, the Fins not only could end up with a 10-6 record but they may still miss the playoffs.

QUARTERBACKS: Ryan Tannehill has been on fire the last three weeks when he twice passed for more than 300 yards and threw eight touchdowns in that time. Tannehill plodded along as mostly a game manager for much of the season and only threw for three touchdowns in one other game. That was week seven when he passed for 194 yards and three touchdowns versus the Bills.

RUNNING BACKS: This remains a weak unit with the lowest fantasy points in the entire league. The Fins have scored eight times with their running backs abut the yardage is rarely more than moderate and always divided up in an always changing ratio between Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas. In week seven, Thomas rushed for 60 yards on 12 runs while Miller turned in nine runs for 43 yards. There is marginal production here and no reliability in who will do what from week to week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Tannehill has been more successful throwing to his wide receivers lately. Mike Wallace caught a score in three of the last four games including twice topping 100 yards. Brian Hartline is also more productive with two scores in the last three weeks and usually 60+ yards per matchup. Hartline caught six passes for 69 yards versus the Bills last time while Wallace ended with five receptions for 76 yards.

TIGHT ENDS: Charles Clay was red hot for a few weeks there turning in 90+ yards and scoring twice but he turned in his worst effort of the year just last week with one catch for six yards. His only other game with one catch came when he caught a touchdown against the Bills.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bills pass defense is nothing special though it has played better in home games recently. They have also been much better against the run there and the Fins are going to divide up the workload as it is. Where this game matters is against wide receivers where the Bills have struggled in most games. Even at home they have allowed seven scores to the position and four different wideouts to record 100+ yards. Tannehill has been on a hot streak lately and that makes him worth considering here. Wallace is a must start against the team that recent let Roddy White gain 143 yards. No other Fins stands out as a strong play.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 17 32 9 10 10 16
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 13 11 30 6 30 27

 

1 NE 21-23 10 @PIT 10-23
2 CAR 24-23 11 NYJ 37-14
3 @NYJ 20-27 12 BYE WEEK
4 BAL 23-20 13 ATL 31-34
5 @CLE 24-37 14 @TB 6-27
6 CIN 24-27 15 @JAC 27-20
7 @MIA 23-21 16 MIA -
8 @NO 17-35 17 @NE -
9 KC 13-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
BUF vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB EJ Manuel 30
RB Fred Jackson 50,1 4-50
RB C.J. Spiller 20 3-20
WR Marquise Goodwin 2-40
WR Robert Woods
TE Scott Chandler 4-40
PK Dan Carpenter 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bills season is already over but at least they are still playing hard and trying to make progress with all the first year players. The final game in New England is likely to either be a big loss or a cakewalk depending on whether the Pats have any reason to play a full game or just hold out key players for the playoffs. This is the final home game and a chance to sweep the Fins.

QUARTERBACKS: E.J. Manuel was out the week they played the Dolphins and he is ending up with a standard rookie season with many peaks and valleys though he still has yet to toss three touchdowns in any game and is still looking to break 300 yards for the first time. But Manuel threw 11 scores over ten games played and ran in a couple of scores. Thad Lewis passed for 202 yards back in the first win over the Fins.

Manuel twisted his knee last week but played through it and is expected to be fine this week.

RUNNING BACKS: The only change here is that Frank Summers is getting a little more playing time and ran in a touchdown in week 11 and then caught a score just last week. Fred Jackson remains the primary runner and scored once in the last meeting with the Fins though he only ran for 39 yards on 11 carries. C.J. Spiller only managed seven total yards in that game and his production is so frenetic that forecasting it is just a lesson in futility. Mostly he ends with marginal yardage and only scored twice all year.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Stevie Johnson played last week - had a really bad one catch game - but it was disclosed he had just learned about the death of his mother. HC Doug Marrone already said that holding Johnson out this week could happen. Johnson accounted for six catches for 61 yards versus the Fins earlier this year. Robert Woods only managed 24 yards on three catches and Marquise Goodwin did not play. T.J. Graham could step up this week to cover for Johnson if needed but that is a big step down.

TIGHT ENDS: Scott Chandler is only good for some yardage and no scores every week. He is consistent around 30 yards and can do more but he remains below fantasy consideration.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bills posted better points in recent weeks because they were facing poor defenses but the Fins are one of the best against the pass and already held the Bills to a marginal game last time. Johnson is clearly affected by the death of his mother and may not play which would really put a big hole in the offense. But the Dolphins are weaker against the run and will give up a score in road games. There are no strong plays here though Jackson is a definite consideration. Much depends on the status of Johnson but even with him it would only produce moderate results at best.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 28 7 29 27 16 11
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 4 24 4 26 23 19

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


a d v e r t i s e m e n t