FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: OAK 17, SD 24 (Line: SD by 10)

The 4-10 Raiders are on a four game losing slide and are only 1-6 away from Oakland. The 7-7 Chargers won their last two and now are in at least theoretical contention for the playoffs. They are only 3-3 at home but this is a replay of week five when the Raiders somehow beat the Chargers 27-17.

1 @IND 17-21 10 @NYG 20-24
2 JAC 19-9 11 @HOU 28-23
3 @DEN 21-37 12 TEN 19-23
4 WAS 14-24 13 @DAL 24-31
5 SD 27-17 14 @NYJ 27-37
6 @KC 7-24 15 KC 31-56
7 BYE WEEK 16 @SD -
8 PIT 21-18 17 DEN -
9 PHI 20-49 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK @ SD Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew McGloin 240,1
QB Matt Schaub 270,1
RB Maurice Jones-Drew
WR Andre Holmes 4-50
WR James Jones 4-50,1
WR Greg Little 4-40
WR Denarius Moore 3-60
TE Mychal Rivera 4-30
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders continue to wind down against a murderous schedule and by now the offense probably cannot take advantage of the Broncos even if they end up resting players in the final week. The best thing about the Raiders now is that they have allowed 124 points over just the last three games. Right when fantasy playoffs are happening, the Raiders are there to help. Sort of.

QUARTERBACKS: Matthew McGloin is on a four game streak of passing for more than 245 yards and he scored twice on both the Jets and Chiefs in games where they were never really in contention and had trash time to get in more production. McGloin has none of the rushing ability of Terrelle Pryor but has proven to be a better quarterback even is he is still not good enough.

Pryor passed for 221 yards and two scores on the Chargers last time when the Raiders jumped out to an early lead and rode it all the way in.

RUNNING BACKS: Moving to Oakland certainly gave a spark to Rashad Jennings career now that he has effectively benched Darren McFadden who may end up in injured reserve. Jennings scored twice against both the Chiefs and Cowboys and has never been worse than about 11 fantasy points in any game he started. Back in week five, McFadden was out again and Jennings rushed ten times for 41 yards and Marcel Reece gained 32 yards on seven carries.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Denarius Moore returned but only gained 46 yards on two catches versus the Chiefs. Andre Holmes turned in his first NFL touchdown on his four catches for 58 yards. and that gives him three straight games with notable results. Rod Streater is still the primary receiver with 60 yards or more in almost every game. Streater scored once on his three catches for 56 yards on the Chargers in the first meeting. Moore enjoyed one of his best efforts with a score and 84 yards on five receptions.

TIGHT ENDS: Mychal Rivera rarely gains more than 30 yards in any game and often much less but he scored in each of the last two games. He has four touchdowns for his rookie season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chargers are playing far better defense in recent weeks and at home only Peyton Manning had a really big game there. McGloin is stuck at two score games and garbage time yards. Jennings faces a defense that has not allowed any runner to top 100 yards and only two rushers scored on them in the six previous home games. Jennings is still a sure starter since he scores and gains yardage but none of the others are more than risky plays for moderate stats.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 23 10 28 32 27 21
Preventing Fantasy Points SD 24 14 28 14 9 8

 

1 HOU 28-31 10 DEN 20-28
2 @PHI 33-30 11 @MIA 16-20
3 @TEN 17-20 12 @KC 41-38
4 DAL 30-21 13 CIN 10-17
5 @OAK 17-27 14 NYG 37-14
6 IND 19-9 15 @DEN 27-20
7 @JAC 24-6 16 OAK -
8 BYE WEEK 17 KC -
9 @WAS 24-30 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SD vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Kellen Clemens 190,2
QB Philip Rivers 270,2
RB Donald Brown
RB Ryan Mathews 80,1 2-20
RB Danny Woodhead 20 3-30
WR Keenan Allen 5-80,2
WR Vincent Brown 4-70
WR Eddie Royal 2-30
TE Antonio Gates 6-60
PK Nick Novak 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Chargers are on a nice run and mostly because the defense really took a step up and held the last three opponents to fewer than 21 points including the Colts in Denver. This week should be a win despite the surprise loss in Oakland but that final game against the Chiefs is either going to be a tough loss or the Chiefs have nothing to win and roll over while resting players. Best news of all - final two games happen in sunny Southern California.

QUARTERBACKS: Philip Rivers still throws at least one score in every game and at home is more likely to end up around 250 passing yards. He threw for 411 yards and two scores in Oakland but tossed a season worst three interceptions in "one of those games". Rivers has only thrown one interception in the last four games.

RUNNING BACKS: One of the pleasant surprises in the second half of the season is Ryan Mathews playing like he was expected to for the last four years. Matthews scored five times in the last eight games while topping 100 rushing yards five times. He was given 29 carries in each of the last two games - where was that the last few years? Danny Woodhead still figures in but mostly as a receiver who caught six touchdowns already and only twice ran in a score. Back in week five, Mathews ran for only eight yards on three carries in that ridiculous game. Woodhead scored once on his nine catches for 58 yards.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Keenan Allen certainly has Rookie of the Year votes from every fantasy owner. He's already scored seven times this year including four over just the last two weeks. He's topped 100 yards five times and has only turned in a down game twice in the last 11 games played. Eddie Royal and Vincent Brown are support but rarely ever score or produce significant yardage, In week five, Allen turned in his first ever big game with 115 yards and one touchdown in Oakland. Brown produced a season best 117 yards on seven carries in that game but Royal was held to only 26 yards on three grabs.

TIGHT ENDS: Antonio Gates scored just once in the last ten games and never broke 65 yards in any of those games. Ladarius Green scored in two straight games but then was blanked against the Giants in week 14 and was never thrown a pass in the win over the Broncos. He has plenty of potential but it is not going to be met this season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Raiders have been far better against the pass in recent weeks at least until Alex Smith slapped them with five touchdowns just last week. The last meeting was surreal with how quickly it all went south but that is not likely to occur here in San Diego in a very important game. The Raiders have been very bad against the run in all recent road games and Mathews should chew this up after being stuffed in the first matchup. Consider Rivers, Mathews and Allen as all strong starts and then Gates and Woodhead as moderate plays.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SD 8 4 19 3 5 31
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 25 15 26 12 13 22

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


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