FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)

Prediction: TB 17, STL 24 (Line: STL by 5.5)

Update: Tavon Austin was held out of all practices because of his ankle and is listed as questionable. He is not expected to play this week. Zac Stacy is in full practices and says he feels better than he has for weeks.

The 4-10 Buccaneers dropped their game with the 49ers but are 4-2 over the last six weeks. They are also only 1-5 in road games. The 6-8 Rams are 4-3 in home games and just sent the Saints marching home with a humbling loss.

1 @NYJ 17-18 10 MIA 22-19
2 NO 14-16 11 ATL 41-28
3 @NE 3-23 12 @DET 24-21
4 ARI 10-13 13 @CAR 6-27
5 BYE WEEK 14 BUF 27-6
6 PHI 20-31 15 SF 14-33
7 @ATL 23-31 16 @STL -
8 CAR 13-31 17 @NO -
9 @SEA 24-27 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
TB @ STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Mike Glennon 190,1
RB Bobby Rainey 80,1 2-10
WR Vincent Jackson 5-70,1
TE Brandon Myers 3-40

Pregame Notes: The late season revival is now falling apart facing solid defenses and now two road games to end the season. The year winds down with a lesser cast than it started with but at least the four wins along the way helped ease what was becoming a humiliating season. There's still no certainty about what happens next year but we've already seen the best out of this team.

QUARTERBACKS: MIke Glennon is still throwing two scores in most games and has 17 touchdowns in his 11 starts. Glennon also only tossed eight interceptions but he's not locked up anything so far. Glennon played in four away venues so far and threw two scores in three of them. It may mostly come at the end of the game, but it all counts the same.

RUNNING BACKS: Bobby Rainey is a nice find later in the season when the backfield was empty. Hard to believe that he has five touchdowns and two 100 yard rushing games in just six weeks while Doug Martin only scored once in the exact same time frame and totaled up far less yardage. The problem for the rest of the season - both games - is that they are on the road. All five of Rainey's scores and two big yardage efforts were in home games against weak opponents. He totaled just 98 yards over the two venues away from home.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Vincent Jackson remains the lone wideout that matters and he's scored seven times including each of the last two games. He's also turned in several big games when facing really bad secondaries like Atlanta both times. He he remains good for around 60 yards each week as a base point and works up from there. Tiquan Underwood showed up with two scores and 108 yards in Detroit and really nothing else all year.

TIGHT ENDS: Tim Wright comes off his best game of the year when he caught seven passes for 82 yards and a score. Yes, it was during trash time but still counts. He's on a two game scoring streak and usually only matters in tougher matchups when the wideouts are covered.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Rams have allowed every opposing quarterback to score at least once but almost never more than twice and Glennon is never going to post a big game here anyway. There is a chance that Rainey finally matters in a road game since the Rams have one of the very worst rush defenses in the league and even at home have allowed nine rushing scores and several big games. The Buccaneers will give it a shot for as long as they can hold off on passing much. Rainey makes a lower tier starter this week because he has been bad in road games despite the tasty matchup here. Vincent Jackson also has a shot at a decent showing if only very late in the game. Wright had a surprisingly good game last week but the Rams only allowed two scores to visiting tight ends and even them very little yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 31 23 26 31 26 8
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 12 29 15 4 3 23

 

1 ARI 27-24 10 @IND 38-8
2 @ATL 24-31 11 BYE WEEK
3 @DAL 7-31 12 CHI 42-21
4 SF 11-35 13 @SF 13-23
5 JAC 34-20 14 @ARI 10-30
6 @HOU 38-13 15 NO 27-16
7 @CAR 15-30 16 TB -
8 SEA 9-14 17 @SEA -
9 TEN 21-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Zac Stacy 70,1 1-10
WR Tavon Austin
TE Jared Cook 3-30,1
PK Greg Zuerlein 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Rams are starting to figure out how to play well at home. After beating the Bears 42-21, they took down the Saints and made it look like the Rams should be the division leader. The defense can be quite good though often inconsistent and it can show up big one week and then look very average the next. The season winds down with only the running back spot in better shape. The search for a better passing offense will continue.

QUARTERBACKS: Kellen Clemens winds down the year still searching for more than 250 yards or two scores in any game. He's just a place holder for Bradford to return (assumedly) but he doesn't make many mistakes. Over seven starts he's only totaled seven touchdowns but has only five interceptions. He's not often the answer but he is also not the problem.

RUNNING BACKS: Zac Stacy injured his hip last week but came back the next series and ended with 133 rushing yards and one touchdown. Stacy has been so consistent and productive, it seems curious why they waited until week five to give him a try. Stacy has been at his best in home games where all three 100 yard efforts happened and four of his touchdown. He's scored in five of the last six games and should be a lock for this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The amazing part of this set of wideouts is not only did they only score five times this year, but that it included two pairs of scores by Tavon Austin. So only three games ever witnessed a Rams receiver catching a touchdown. There is no consistency in anything done here since Clemens took over. Up to five wideouts play and yet none of them ever matter.

Austin missed last week with an ankle injury but could return for this matchup.

TIGHT ENDS: Jared Cook pops up every so often but the problem is that his recent success had the Saints specifically game plan against him and it apparently did not take a lot to leave him with just one catch last week. On the plus side, Cook had three touchdowns this year and all came at home. And Clemens likes to throw to the position since both Cory Harkey (2-29, TD) and Lance Kendricks (2-13, TD) scored against the 49ers.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Buccaneers have one of the weakest secondaries in the league and yet Darrelle Revis will usually shut down the #1 receiver. There is no such animal on this team. The Bucs have allowed three touchdowns to each of the last four quarterbacks they faced on the road. And yet, they have given up just two rushing touchdowns to running backs this season and only two runners broke 100 yards on them (LeSean McCoy and Marshawn Lynch). so while Stacy may have a decent game he's not likely to have a big effort here. The Bucs are also weaker on the road against tight ends but there is always the chance that Revis ends up on Cook. Bottom line - Stacy is the only reasonable start here and even then as only a moderate play. Cook has upside to be sure but he's flopped more than once in previous games with even better circumstances.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 27 26 25 7 21 2
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 27 7 16 15 18 7

WEEK 16 ARI at SEA DEN at HOU NE at BAL PIT at GB
CHI at PHI IND at KC NO at CAR TB at STL
CLE at NYJ MIN at CIN NYG at DET TEN at JAC
*UPDATED DAL at WAS MIA at BUF OAK at SD ATL at SF (MON)


a d v e r t i s e m e n t