FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks
David Dorey
April 24, 2014
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2013 Passing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
@MIN 32.3 PIT 21.1
@OAK 31.8 OAK 21.1
PHI 31.2 @PIT 21.1
DAL 30.9 CAR 21.0
MIN 30.5 IND 20.9
TB 30.3 @BUF 20.8
@ATL 29.3 @MIA 20.6
@DAL 29.2 SF 20.5
DEN 29.0 NO 19.8
@JAC 28.1 MIA 19.7
ARI 27.2 @SF 19.6
GB 27.1 @NO 19.4
JAC 26.9 @NYG 19.1
CLE 26.7 @BAL 18.7
NE 26.7 HOU 18.5
@WAS 26.3 @CAR 17.8
@IND 26.2 SEA 17.2
SD 26.1 @CIN 16.7
NYG 25.7 @TEN 16.7
@TB 25.2 @SEA 14.9

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR

The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen - facing each defense either home or away.

To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule - "draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks".

This analysis awards 0.1 points per rush yard and 0.05 points per pass yard. Touchdowns are worth six points.


Best Schedules:

Ryan Tannehill - He's the only quarterback with just one game against a Top 20 defensive venue from last year but he was a disappointment in 2013 when he never really connected with Mike Wallace. At least he gets a better slate of games to improve in 2014.

E.J. Manuel - The rookie last year had the occasional good game but missed six with injury and still searches for his first 300 yard effort. but he only faces two defensive venues from the Top 20 worst matchups of last year. Picking up Mike Williams should help as well while Manuel progresses.

Robert Griffin III - This is one of the more promising situations since Griffin missed three games in 2013 while obviously still limited from his knee injury of 2013. He gets almost half his games against Top 20 easiest defensive venues and the addition of DeSean Jackson and Andre Roberts should only help even more.

Worst Schedules:

Cleveland quarterback - Just no breaks for the Brownies. The worst schedule by far - ten matchups in the Top 20 worst venues of 2013 and they won't be sure who the quarterback will be until after the NFL draft if not the end of training camp. Not a recipe for success here.

Ben Roethlisberger - Big Ben usually plays better than his schedule but only one of the final nine games is a good matchup. Emmanuel Sanders is gone but Marcus Wheaton holds some promise and Lance Moore was added.

Tony Romo - The Cowboys have a brutal schedule and normally have one of the softest. Five of the final seven games come on the road and they already have the lengthy history of the December Choke. Romo should look much better early than later.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  SOS Good Bad
MIA 5 6 1
BUF 4 6 2
WAS 4 7 3
DET 3 6 3
PHI 3 6 3
STL 3 7 4
TEN 3 7 4
IND 2 5 3
SEA 2 6 4
ARI 1 5 4
CHI 1 5 4
CIN 1 5 4
HOU 1 5 4
NO 1 5 4
SF 0 4 4
TB 0 4 4
GB 0 5 5
NYG 0 5 5
MIN -1 3 4
NE -1 3 4
OAK -1 3 4
DEN -2 3 5
NYJ -2 3 5
BAL -2 4 6
CAR -2 4 6
SD -2 4 6
ATL -2 5 7
JAC -2 5 7
KC -3 3 6
DAL -3 4 7
PIT -3 4 7
CLE -7 3 10
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  SOS Good Bad
NO 4 4 0
SEA 4 4 0
TEN 3 4 1
IND 2 2 0
SF 2 2 0
DET 2 3 1
MIA 2 3 1
PHI 2 3 1
STL 2 3 1
BUF 1 2 1
NYG 1 2 1
WAS 1 2 1
PIT 1 3 2
MIN 0 1 1
NYJ 0 1 1
BAL 0 2 2
CHI 0 2 2
HOU 0 2 2
SD 0 2 2
ARI -1 1 2
DEN -1 1 2
GB -1 1 2
KC -1 1 2
OAK -1 1 2
ATL -1 2 3
CIN -2 0 2
CAR -2 1 3
JAC -2 1 3
NE -2 1 3
TB -2 1 3
CLE -4 0 4
DAL -5 0 5
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  SOS Good Bad
STL 3 3 0
BUF 2 2 0
DET 2 2 0
HOU 2 2 0
TEN 2 2 0
MIA 1 1 0
CAR 1 2 1
NYJ 1 2 1
PHI 1 2 1
SD 1 2 1
SF 1 2 1
BAL 0 1 1
CHI 0 1 1
CIN 0 1 1
GB 0 1 1
IND 0 1 1
PIT 0 1 1
TB 0 1 1
WAS 0 1 1
ARI -1 0 1
DAL -1 0 1
DEN -1 0 1
MIN -1 0 1
NE -1 0 1
NO -1 0 1
NYG -1 0 1
OAK -1 0 1
SEA -1 0 1
ATL -2 0 2
CLE -2 0 2
JAC -2 0 2
KC -2 0 2

Week - By - Week

TM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI SD @NYG SF BYE @DEN WAS @OAK PHI @DAL STL DET @SEA @ATL KC @STL SEA
ATL NO @CIN TB @MIN @NYG CHI @BAL DET BYE @TB @CAR CLE ARI @GB PIT @NO
BAL CIN PIT @CLE CAR @IND @TB ATL @CIN @PIT TEN BYE @NO SD @MIA JAC @HOU
BUF @CHI MIA SD @HOU @DET NE MIN @NYJ BYE KC @MIA NYJ CLE @DEN GB @OAK
CAR @TB DET PIT @BAL CHI @CIN @GB SEA NO @PHI ATL BYE @MIN @NO TB CLE
CHI BUF @SF @NYJ GB @CAR @ATL MIA @NE BYE @GB MIN TB @DET DAL NO DET
CIN @BAL ATL TEN BYE @NE CAR @IND BAL JAC CLE @NO @HOU @TB PIT @CLE DEN
CLE @PIT NO BAL BYE @TEN PIT @JAC OAK TB @CIN HOU @ATL @BUF IND CIN @CAR
DAL SF @TEN @STL NO HOU @SEA NYG WAS ARI @JAC BYE @NYG PHI @CHI @PHI IND
DEN IND KC @SEA BYE ARI @NYJ SF SD @NE @OAK @STL MIA @KC BUF @SD @CIN
DET NYG @CAR GB @NYJ BUF @MIN NO @ATL BYE MIA @ARI @NE CHI TB MIN @CHI
GB @SEA NYJ @DET @CHI MIN @MIA CAR @NO BYE CHI PHI @MIN NE ATL @BUF @TB
HOU WAS @OAK @NYG BUF @DAL IND @PIT @TEN PHI BYE @CLE CIN TEN @JAC @IND BAL
IND @DEN PHI @JAC TEN BAL @HOU CIN @PIT @NYG BYE NE  JAC WAS @CLE HOU @DAL
JAC @PHI @WAS IND @SD PIT @TEN CLE MIA @CIN DAL BYE @IND NYG HOU @BAL TEN
KC TEN @DEN @MIA NE @SF BYE @SD STL NYJ @BUF SEA @OAK DEN @ARI OAK @PIT
MIA NE @BUF KC @OAK BYE GB @CHI @JAC SD @DET BUF @DEN @NYJ BAL @NE MIN
MIN @STL NE @NO ATL @GB DET @BUF @TB WAS BYE @CHI GB CAR NYJ @DET @MIA
NE @MIA @MIN OAK @KC CIN @BUF NYJ CHI DEN BYE @IND DET @GB @SD MIA @NYJ
NO @ATL @CLE MIN @DAL TB BYE @DET GB @CAR SF CIN BAL @PIT CAR @CHI ATL
NYG @DET ARI HOU @WAS ATL @PHI @DAL BYE IND @SEA SF DAL @JAC @TEN WAS @STL
NYJ OAK @GB CHI DET @SD DEN @NE BUF @KC PIT BYE @BUF MIA @MIN @TEN NE
OAK @NYJ HOU @NE MIA BYE SD ARI @CLE @SEA DEN @SD KC @STL SF @KC BUF
PHI JAC @IND WAS @SF STL NYG BYE @ARI @HOU CAR @GB TEN @DAL SEA DAL @WAS
PIT CLE @BAL @CAR TB @JAC @CLE HOU IND BAL @NYJ @TEN BYE NO @CIN @ATL KC
SD @ARI SEA @BUF JAC NYJ @OAK KC @DEN @MIA BYE OAK STL @BAL NE DEN @SF
SEA GB @SD DEN BYE @WAS DAL @STL @CAR OAK NYG @KC ARI @SF @PHI SF @ARI
SF @DAL CHI @ARI PHI KC @STL @DEN BYE STL @NO @NYG WAS SEA @OAK @SEA SD
STL MIN @TB DAL BYE @PHI SF SEA @KC @SF @ARI DEN @SD OAK @WAS ARI NYG
TB CAR STL @ATL @PIT @NO BAL BYE MIN @CLE ATL @WAS @CHI CIN @DET @CAR GB
TEN @KC DAL @CIN @IND CLE JAC @WAS HOU BYE @BAL PIT @PHI @HOU NYG NYJ @JAC
WAS @HOU JAC @PHI NYG SEA @ARI TEN @DAL @MIN BYE TB @SF @IND STL @NYG PHI

More Strength of Schedule:
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR


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