Daily Bargain Basement Plays: Week 4

Thomas Casale, @ThePigskinGuy

Week 3 Results:
Marcus Mariota: 23.68, Nick Foles: 7.9, James Starks: 6.1, David Johnson: 7.1, Marvin Jones: 20.4, Rishard Matthews: 32.30, Stevie Johnson: 7.6, Jared Cook: 1.7, Detroit Lions: 5.0

The bargain basement DFS plays are back for Week 4. Everyone knows to start Aaron Rodgers and Julio Jones most weeks. What can bring home the money in DFS is finding players who will produce at a lower salary but might not always be on many lineup cards. Here are the bargain basement plays for this week:

Quarterbacks

Tyrod Taylor, Bills (DraftKings: $5,800, FanDuel: $7,600, FantasyScore: $6,600)

Taylor has been a Top 5 fantasy quarterback through three games, yet his salary is still moderately low.

On DraftKings for instance, Taylor’s salary is $200 lower than Sam Bradford. Taylor is averaging 23.1 fantasy points per week and facing the 32nd ranked pass defense. Meanwhile, Bradford is averaging 12.6 fantasy points and facing the 7th ranked pass defense. There’s still a lot of value in taking Taylor, despite his early season success.

The Giants are allowing 345 yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks. New York also struggled against rushing quarterbacks last season. This is the first time in 2015 the Giants will face a mobile quarterback, so Taylor should have success on the ground as well.

Beyond the numbers though, Taylor has been throwing darts in the first three games. We knew about his running ability but Taylor has exceeded expectations as a passer.

Taylor is producing every week and he has a great matchup versus the Giants. Ride the hot hand while his salary remains this low.
I’m using Taylor as my starting quarterback in TheHuddle.com’s GPP tournament at FantasyScore.


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Derek Carr, Raiders (DraftKings: $5,300, FanDuel: $7,000, FantasyScore: $6,300)

Carr got hurt in the opener against Cincinnati but he’s been sensational in his two games since. In wins over the Ravens and Browns, Carr has thrown for 665 yards, five touchdowns and just one interception, while averaging over 26 fantasy points.

Carr is in a great situation for fantasy owners because he has an elite receiver in Amari Cooper and the Raiders have a poor defense, so they’re not going to play many low-scoring games. Carr has attempted 78 passes in his last two games, which is music to fantasy owners’ ears.

The Bears rank in the bottom 10 of the NFL when it comes to defending opposing quarterbacks. Chicago’s defense has allowed 203 yards and a whopping 2.7 touchdowns per game. Cooper and Michael Crabtree should have their way with the Bears’ secondary.

Carr’s salary is still very low, especially given his favorable matchup. He’s a great low-cost quarterback option for owners to build their lineups around this week.

Running Backs

Karlos Williams, Bills (DraftKings: $3,400, FanDuel: $6,300, FantasyScore: $5,400)

LeSean McCoy is out this week against the Giants with a hamstring injury, so Williams will get the start and the majority of touches at running back.

There’s some good news/bad news when it comes to Williams. The good news is he’s scored in each of the Bills first three games and is averaging 14.4 fantasy points, despite getting just 24 carries. Williams will also see a heavy workload this week with McCoy out.

The bad news is Williams will be highly owned because of his low salary, so if he has a big day, a lot of people will benefit from it.
The other negative is the Giants have been tough against the run. New York allows just 75.3 yards per game on the ground. However, there is a silver lining.

The Giants still rank as a bottom 10 fantasy defense because they give up 8.7 receptions and 83.3 receiving yards per game. Williams could be a bigger factor as a receiver this week with McCoy out.

Williams has been productive with only a handful of touches a game. Now he’ll get a full workload. The Giants have been tough to run on but Williams will get the goal line work and should also contribute as a receiver out of the backfield. He’s a strong play this week.

I’m using Williams as one of my starting running backs in TheHuddle.com’s GPP tournament at FantasyScore.

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Thomas Rawls, Seahawks (DraftKings: $3,000, FanDuel: $6,000, FantasyScore: $4,000)

Marshawn Lynch had an MRI on his injured hamstring and he’s “50-50” to play on Monday night. Lynch tried to play last week but had to leave the game in the first quarter. Rawls came in and rushed for 104 yards on 16 carries.

The Lions’ defense has struggled against the run with the loss of Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley. Detroit is giving up 96.3 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game to opposing running backs after three games.

The Seahawks play on Monday night but Lynch looks really iffy this week. Rawls ran well against the Bears and he has another favorable matchup this week versus Detroit.

Lynch doesn’t have to practice to play but if it doesn’t sound like he can’t go on Sunday morning, Rawls is worth rostering. Rawls could boost some lineups to victory if Lynch is inactive.

Wide Receivers

Allen Hurns, Jaguars (DraftKings: $3,900, FanDuel: $5,300, FantasyScore: $2,400)

Hurns has scored at least 10 fantasy points in every game this year. He had his top performance last week against the Patriots with 15 points.

Hurns has been solid but he has a chance to put up his best game of the year on Sunday. The Colts have a banged up secondary. Indianapolis ranks 21st against the pass allowing 261.0 yards per game. The Colts have given up 14 pass plays of 20 or more yards. That’s tied for worst in the AFC.

The Colts’ defense is allowing over 27 fantasy points per game to opposing receivers. If you’re searching for a receiver with a lower salary that has an enticing matchup, give Hurns a look. He could have a breakout performance against the Colts.

Rueben Randle, Giants (DraftKings: $4,500, FanDuel: $5,700, FantasyScore: $3,600)

Randle is coming off by far his best game of the season against the Redskins where he caught 7-of-7 targets for 141 yards and a touchdown.

Giants head coach Tom Coughlin had been saying the team wanted to get Randle more involved in the offense. He should continue to be the second option behind Odell Beckham, Jr. in the passing game. Victor Cruz was expected to return this week but suffered a setback with his calf injury and won’t play.

Randle has a good matchup versus the Bills’ defense. Buffalo has been surprisingly generous to opposing receivers through three games. The Bills have allowed 18.7 receptions, 217.3 yards and 1.7 touchdowns per game.

Randle is a hit-of-miss fantasy receiver but looking at this game, it’s doubtful the Giants will have much success running the football against Buffalo’s defense. Eli Manning is going to have to throw it and that means Randle should be the second most targeted Giant behind Beckham, Jr. on Sunday.

Marvin Jones, Bengals (DraftKings: $3,800, FanDuel: $5,500, FantasyScore: $3,800)

We recommended Jones last week and he delivered with 20.4 fantasy points. Over his last two games, Jones has scored twice and totaled 142 yards.

Jones should continue rewarding fantasy owners this week. The Chiefs have been awful at defending receivers this year. They rank last in the NFL at defending the position by quite a bit. Through three games, the Chiefs’ defense is allowing 19 receptions, 250 yards, three touchdowns and over 44 fantasy points to opposing receivers.

Andy Dalton has been one of the biggest surprises in the NFL early in the year. He ranks second among fantasy quarterbacks in most scoring systems right now to only Tom Brady. The Chiefs’ secondary has been lit up all year and that includes in its first game by the Houston Texans.

Jones has been coming on and he has a great matchup. A.J. Green is a top play versus the Chiefs’ secondary but if you’re looking for a cheaper option, Jones should put up a nice fantasy day as well.

I’m using Jones one of as my starting receivers in TheHuddle.com’s GPP tournament at FantasyScore.

Tight End

Charles Clay, Bills (DraftKings: $3,300, FanDuel: $5,200, FantasyScore: $2,900)

Clay has been a solid fantasy producer through three games. Clay is averaging 12.8 fantasy points and he’s scored in two straight games.

Clay is coming off a 19-point fantasy day. He has a chance for another strong game against the Giants. New York’s ranks 29th in the NFL at defending tight ends. The Giants’ defense has allowed 6.7 receptions, 80.3 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends.

The Giants’ linebackers and safeties have really struggled to keep up with tight ends down the field. Even the Falcons Jacob Tamme went for 77 yards against them. Tamme has totaled 27 yards in his other two games.

Sammy Watkins is out Sunday so expect Clay to get a few more targets in a game where the matchup is a favorable. He’s a strong play this week with Taylor playing so well, especially at his affordable salary.

Defense

Minnesota Vikings (DraftKings: $2,600, FanDuel: $4,400, FantasyScore: $2,200)

We went against the Broncos last week with Detroit and other than a couple of big plays, the Lions’ defense played well. The Vikings’ defense is better than the Lions and its pressure should disrupt a Denver offense still not clicking on all cylinders.

Minnesota’s defense has six sacks, four fumble recoveries, two interceptions and a touchdown through three games. The Vikings average just under 10 fantasy points a week.

Mike Zimmer’s defenses have always been tough against offenses that don’t have a running game because he can focus on sending pressure to disrupt the quarterback. Right now, the Broncos rank 31st in rushing offense at just 57 yards per game.

The Vikings won’t be heavily owned this week because a majority still fears the Broncos’ offense but Minnesota’s defensive front has a chance to dominate the game. They’re an interesting contrarian play this week.

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