Better Than Average (BTA) Rankings: Quarterbacks

David Dorey, @DMDorey

Other Positions: Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End

Better Than Average (BTA) was developed to show which players were truly better than their peers when the advantage of the schedule was removed. . This is a true 1:1 measurement because it only considers how well players did against all others who faced a particular defense. It counts up three occurrences:

"Top 8" - When a QB produced one of the top 8 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.

"Top 4" - When a QB scored in the top 4 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.

"#1" - Who had the best fantasy game against a defense over the past year. There could only by 32 such events since each defense can only allow one "best game".

BTA - Simply adding up the 1, 4 and 8 values for a numerical expression of how effective a quarterback truly was last year against all other players in his position. The strength of schedule doesn't matter. Only what a player produced against all other players in that position against that defense. It is a measurement of player ability against the others in his position.

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Multiple "#1 Games"
Cam Newton 3
Blake Bortles 3
Tom Brady 3
Aaron Rodgers 3
Andy Dalton 3
Carson Palmer 2
Russell Wilson 2
Drew Brees 2
Ben Roethlisberger 2
Eli Manning 2
Matthew Stafford 2

How the mighty have fallen. Andrew Luck turned in seven different games in 2014 where he had the most fantasy points allowed by that defense. And the bottom fell out in 2015. Notice too that Drew Brees continues his gentle decline while Blake Bortles looks like he is just getting started.

The grouping of the top quarterback shows how solid the choices are for your starter. There is much less differentiation between those top players and even Cam Newton's monster year wasn't that dominating considering the defenses he faced.

 

 

 

Player BTA   #1   Top 4 Top 8
Cam Newton 23 3 8 12
Blake Bortles 22 3 8 11
Tom Brady 22 3 8 11
Carson Palmer 20 2 5 13
Russell Wilson 19 2 7 10
Drew Brees 18 2 6 10
Philip Rivers 18 1 7 10
Aaron Rodgers 17 3 4 10
Ben Roethlisberger 17 2 7 8
Eli Manning 16 2 5 9
Matthew Stafford 16 2 4 10
Andy Dalton 15 3 3 9
Derek Carr 15 0 7 8
Ryan Fitzpatrick 13 0 5 8
Jameis Winston 12 0 4 8
Kirk Cousins 12 1 3 8
Tyrod Taylor 12 1 4 7
Joe Flacco 11 0 5 6
Alex Smith 10 0 3 7
Andrew Luck 9 0 2 7
Jay Cutler 9 1 1 7
Josh McCown 9 0 4 5
Marcus Mariota 8 1 2 5
Matt Ryan 8 0 3 5
Ryan Tannehill 8 0 3 5
Blaine Gabbert 7 0 1 6
Sam Bradford 6 0 1 5
Teddy Bridgewater 6 0 1 5
Brian Hoyer 5 0 1 4
Peyton Manning 4 0 1 3

Other Positions: Quarterback | Running Back | Wide Receiver | Tight End

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