I just wrapped up a 12 team PPR draft. In this league the starting lineups are: QB/2RB/3WR/TE/Flex-no qb/D/K
I drafted 12th continuing my lifelong tendency to draft from the bottom of the order. As such I took a pretty aggressive draft plan going in. Here is what I did and why I did it.
1:12/2:1 – Fitzgerald – Andre Johnson: Moss and Owens were already off the board. I wanted 2 stud receivers here because in this format they don’t last long, and to me are better bets than the questionable RBs left at this point. These are not the #3 and #4 guys on most people’s WR cheat sheets. I could have (and maybe should have) went Edwards and Wayne. That would have been the “safe route, if there is a safe route drafting WR/WR. Fitz is at the point in his career where he has his game and his life together and is just now entering his prime years. I suspected that Leinart wouldn’t keep his job long, and within 24 hours after the draft, we hear rumors that Warner will indeed be the starter. Bingo. With Andre Johnson it is really just a question of health. The guy is a monster, and could put up T.O. type numbers if he can stay healthy for 14 games. He is the one stud receiver that is THE focal point of his offense. I just liked him better than anybody else available. If he plays, I win.
3:12/4:1 – Witten – Graham: Drafted the best TE for a distinct advantage at that position, and Graham was the only RB left that made any sense at that point. RBs were picked pretty clean by now as I expected – Edge James and Willie Parker were drafted much later in the round and I have no interest in either of those guys. As you know if you read this blog I have been pimping Graham like nobody’s business, so I put my money wher my mouth is with this pick. All four of my top picks were expensive according to the average draft position, but all I care about is drafting the team I really want to draft, and so far ,outside of Owens I have got everybody I had targeted.
5:12/6:1 – Roddy White – Chris Johnson: Roddy White gives me a strong 3rd receiver, and according to the Huddle PPR rankings I now own 3 of the top 15 at the position. I felt it was crucial to grab Chris Johnson, albeit at an inflated price. I think this guy is going to tear it up in PPR leagues. Chris Johnson is the pick in the draft that could make or break my team. Big reach, but I knew damn well that he wouldn’t make it back around to 7:12.
I’m depending on a rookie running back in an RBBC to come through as my RB2. But in reality Johnson is my shot at a #1. This is the guy that can make up the ground in the points I lost by not getting an RB with my first 2 picks. If Johnson finds his way into the top 12 in RB PPR scoring, I am gold. You have to hit a sleeper or two to win a league. I like my chances here better than anywhere on the board.
7:12/8:1 – Stallworth – Chester Taylor: A bit of a reach for Stallworth. Berrian was the guy I was targeting but he was snagged at 7:11. Stallworth was the 35th receiver off the board – so from that perspective he was fair value here. Chester Taylor should still put up some numbers in that run-happy offense. And in the not so unlikely event that Peterson misses some time Taylor would be a gold mine. At worst Taylor would be fine for a flex option. The real beauty of this pick was that the guy who drafted Adrian Peterson did not get his handcuff, instead opting for Lendale White in the 7th round, 10 picks after I drafted Chris Johnson. With the way I envision things shaking out this season, I won that exchange big time. We will see.
9:12/10:1 – Schaub – Eddie Royall: I’m on the Schaub bandwagon so I have no problem taking him here. QBs are still plentiful at this point but I wanted to make sure I got the guy I wanted. I can collect a few more later. Eddie Royal is definitely a reach. I probably won’t need him, but considering the Broncos woes at WR, he has a real shot at outperforming his draft position which was 45th WR off the board. That being said, I still have not gotten any players in this draft at a bargain to their ADP. The other drafters are pretty sharp and I am not getting the value I normally expect from this draft position. I am paying “top dollar” for every player, so I better be right most of the time.
11:12/12:1 – Pierre Thomas – Kitna: I really like what happened at this turn. My whole draft plan hinged on hitting on a sleeper running back or two, and Thomas looks to me like potential sleeper gold. The Reggie Bush owner in this league drafted McAllister as a handcuff in round 9, but I think he may have got the wrong guy. Are McAllister’s knees really going to let him carry the load? I think not. Kitna is decent insurance against Schaub bombing out, and the quarterbacks turn out to be the only value picks in this draft. I am glad I did not opt for a big-time QB in this draft
13:12/14:1 – Gaffney – W. Dunn: With Gaffney I was once again desperately trying to find any receiver depth. Really getting down to scrubs at this point and I figure a scrub for the best passing team in the league is a better bet than most. Warrick Dunn is Earnest Graham insurance and a pretty cheap price. Insurance in case Chucky Gruden decides that a 33 year old running back should carry the load for his team. Dunn might actually be a decent flex option in deep PPR leagues like this as well.
15:12/16:1 – Tarvaris Jackson – Gostkowski: I don’t usually feel the need to carry 3 QBs, but this is a non trading league so thought I better cover my ass. Call me crazy but I think Jackson might actually put up some numbers this year. And Gostkowski? A kicker before the last round? That is against my FF religion, but I broke my rules. My thought here was I felt pretty solid about my team so far with no desperate needs and no real bargains screaming out at me on the draft board. What the hell. I got the best kicker. It can’t hurt I guess.
17:12/18:1 – Lamont Jordan – Laurent Robinson: We have seen other down and out players that find their way on the Patriots roster brought back from the dead. Could Jordan be next? Dunno. Worth a shot at this point in the draft. Robinson will probably end up a starter on a team that figures to play from behind most Sundays. And he showed some flashes last year. I picked him up late in a few of my drafts.
19:12/20:01 – Eagles D / Keller - I love pulling one of the last defenses or kickers drafted and still ending up with a top 10. I’ll take my shot with a defense most have given up on. Keller is a tight end on a Brett Favre team, ’nuff said.
My draft plan was to be strongest in the league at WR & TE and hope I could piece together a running back crew that resembled respectability. That was also the plan of the guy drafting 11th, so we ended up building similar teams.
I really wanted a few more stronger sleeper picks at RB but missed out on 2 guys I was targeting (Norwood, Hightower) that would have made me feel better about this draft. But overall I think I accomplished what I set out to do. Success for this team will hinge on the health of Andre Johnson, Earnest Graham continuing to do close to what he did last year, and Chris Johnson living up to the hype. If those three things happen I should be in the hunt for a championship. If not, it could be a struggle.
But that wasn’t even my wildest draft. I drafted one team from the 6 hole and didn’t take a running back until the 6th round. In this league you are only required to start one RB. That enticed me to take my strategy into overdrive, ignoring running backs until the 6th and then loading up on sleepers. I found the going much easier in this one and the other drafters played right into my strategy. Here is how that one went:
Moss
Colston
Romo
Winslow
R. White
J Stewart RB
Chris Johnson RB
Berrian
C. Perry RB
Pierre Thomas RB
Norwood RB
Utecht
Gage
Tarvaris Jackson
Leon Washington RB
Phil D
Mason Crosby
JT O’Sullivan
I love this team. Getting a strong core at all the other positions early gave me great freedom to go on a sleeper RB binge the likes of which I have never seen. I grabbed all of them I wanted – when I wanted. The only guy I did not get that I wanted was Hightower. All I need is for one or two of these running back sleepers to hit and I am gold. Gold Jerry!
Here is a list of players that ended up on more than one of my teams:
Roddy White
Berrian
Schaub
Chester Taylor
Tarvaris Jackson
Meachem
Chris Johnson (I snagged this guy in ALL of my drafts)
Pierre Thomas (every team except one)
Phil D
Mason Crosby
Laurent Robinson
Stallworth
Hightower
Gage
I hope you had as much fun with your drafts as I did. We will see if my wild weekend fling away from conventional drafting will result in the birth of any champions, or Rosemary’s baby.