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Ease of Schedule 2.0 - Running Backs
David Dorey
April 21, 2010
Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Wide Receivers & Tight Ends
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2009 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
SEA 30.8 MIA 18.8
DET 30.7 SF 18.7
@OAK 29.4 @NYG 18.6
BUF 29.4 @NE 18.3
@STL 29.4 NE 18.0
@TB 27.9 @CIN 17.4
CLE 27.7 @PHI 17.4
@KC 27.4 @WAS 16.0
KC 26.1 @SEA 15.9
OAK 25.4 BAL 15.8
STL 25.3 PIT 15.8
NYG 25.3 GB 15.3
@CLE 24.9 @JAC 15.2
@DEN 24.9 @DAL 15.1
@NO 24.7 MIN 15.0
@BUF 24.6 @MIN 14.6
IND 24.6 @BAL 14.2
CAR 23.9 @NYJ 14.0
@TEN 23.6 @GB 14.0
@CAR 22.5 @PIT 13.6

The Ease of Schedule is about taking the results from all defensive performances last season and then applying the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst match-ups for teams and awarding then either a good or a bad game - or just neutral.

In making this as accurate as can be using stats from the previous season, starting last season the difference is that no longer are the "good" and "bad" matchups related to a team. They are now related to both team and venue. The reality is that many teams play much differently on the road than they do at home. What the Ease of Schedule has done is to take each NFL defense and consider them as two separate entities. One on the road and the other at home. In some cases, it did not matter - both were great for a team (or really bad). In others, it certainly did. Taking the eight home games and eight road games, each had their highest and lowest games removed to eliminate uncharacteristic extremes. Then the per game average fantasy points allowed were determined from the six remaining home and six remaining road games. From a total set of 64 possibilities (32 defenses both home and away), the best and worst 20 matchups were used.

This is the most accurate picture of defenses from last year - hands down. While regular season EOS will not split them out because of a lack of adequate sample size, the preseason EOS considered venue in addition to the defense - it makes a difference. This is more accurate than any other you will find.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  EOS Good Bad
SEA 7 8 1
DEN 6 8 2
STL 6 7 1
JAC 4 6 2
SF 4 6 2
ARI 3 6 3
KC 3 5 2
OAK 3 6 3
PIT 3 7 4
TB 2 6 4
HOU 1 6 5
IND 1 5 4
NO 1 6 5
SD 1 5 4
ATL -1 5 6
CAR -1 4 5
CLE -1 5 6
NE -1 4 5
TEN -1 3 4
BAL -2 4 6
CHI -2 4 6
CIN -2 4 6
DAL -2 2 4
MIA -2 5 7
DET -3 3 6
MIN -3 4 7
NYG -3 2 5
PHI -3 3 6
WAS -3 3 6
NYJ -4 3 7
BUF -5 3 8
GB -5 3 8
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  EOS Good Bad
HOU 3 4 1
ARI 2 2 0
JAC 2 2 0
NYG 2 2 0
OAK 2 2 0
PIT 2 3 1
SD 2 3 1
STL 2 2 0
DEN 1 3 2
IND 1 3 2
NO 1 2 1
SEA 1 2 1
SF 1 2 1
CAR 0 1 1
CHI 0 3 3
CIN 0 2 2
CLE 0 2 2
KC 0 1 1
MIN 0 2 2
TB 0 2 2
WAS 0 2 2
ATL -1 2 3
GB -1 2 3
NE -1 1 2
NYJ -1 2 3
DAL -2 0 2
DET -2 1 3
MIA -2 1 3
PHI -2 0 2
BAL -3 1 4
BUF -3 0 3
TEN -3 1 4
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  EOS Good Bad
IND 2 2 0
SF 2 2 0
TEN 2 2 0
ARI 1 1 0
BAL 1 1 0
DEN 1 1 0
HOU 1 2 1
JAC 1 1 0
KC 1 1 0
MIA 1 2 1
PIT 1 1 0
SEA 1 1 0
STL 1 2 1
TB 1 2 1
ATL 0 1 1
BUF 0 1 1
CIN 0 1 1
DAL 0 0 0
DET 0 1 1
GB 0 1 1
MIN 0 1 1
NE 0 1 1
NO 0 1 1
OAK 0 1 1
CAR -1 0 1
CLE -1 1 2
SD -1 1 2
CHI -2 0 2
NYG -2 0 2
NYJ -2 0 2
WAS -2 0 2
PHI -3 0 3

Week - By - Week

TM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @STL @ATL OAK @SD NO Bye @SEA TB @MIN SEA @KC SF STL DEN @CAR DAL
ATL @PIT ARI @NO SF @CLE @PHI CIN Bye TB BAL @STL GB @TB @CAR @SEA NO
BAL @NYJ @CIN CLE @PIT DEN @NE BUF Bye MIA @ATL @CAR TB PIT @HOU NO @CLE
BUF MIA @GB @NE NYJ JAC Bye @BAL @KC CHI DET @CIN PIT @MIN CLE @MIA NE
CAR @NYG TB CIN @NO CHI Bye SF @STL NO @TB BAL @CLE @SEA ATL ARI @PIT
CHI DET @DAL GB @NYG @CAR SEA WAS Bye @BUF MIN @MIA PHI @DET NE @MIN NYJ
CIN @NE BAL @CAR @CLE TB Bye @ATL MIA PIT @IND BUF @NYJ NO @PIT CLE SD
CLE @TB KC @BAL CIN ATL @PIT @NO Bye NE NYJ @JAC CAR @MIA @BUF @CIN BAL
DAL @WAS CHI @HOU Bye TEN @MIN NYG JAC @GB @NYG DET NO @IND PHI WAS @ARI
DEN @JAC SEA IND @TEN @BAL NYJ OAK @SF Bye KC @SD STL @KC @ARI @OAK HOU
DET @CHI PHI @MIN @GB STL @NYG Bye WAS NYJ @BUF @DAL NE CHI GB @TB @MIA
GB @PHI BUF @CHI DET @WAS MIA MIN @NYJ DAL Bye @MIN @ATL SF @DET @NE NYG
HOU IND @WAS DAL @OAK NYG KC Bye @IND SD @JAC @NYJ TEN @PHI BAL @TEN @DEN
IND @HOU NYG @DEN @JAC KC @WAS Bye HOU @PHI CIN @NE SD DAL @TEN JAC @OAK
JAC DEN @SD PHI IND @BUF TEN @KC @DAL Bye HOU CLE @NYG @TEN OAK @IND WAS
KC SD @CLE SF Bye @IND @HOU JAC BUF @OAK @DEN ARI @SEA DEN @SD @STL TEN
MIA @BUF @MIN NYJ NE Bye @GB PIT @CIN @BAL TEN CHI @OAK CLE @NYJ BUF DET
MIN @NO MIA DET Bye @NYJ DAL @GB @NE ARI @CHI GB @WAS BUF NYG CHI @PHI
NE CIN @NYJ BUF @MIA Bye BAL @SD MIN @CLE @PIT IND @DET NYJ @CHI GB @BUF
NO MIN @SF ATL CAR @ARI @TB CLE PIT @CAR Bye SEA @DAL @CIN STL @BAL @ATL
NYG CAR @IND TEN CHI @HOU DET @DAL Bye @SEA DAL @PHI JAC WAS @MIN PHI @GB
NYJ BAL NE @MIA @BUF MIN @DEN Bye GB @DET @CLE HOU CIN @NE MIA @PIT @CHI
OAK @TEN STL @ARI HOU SD @SF @DEN SEA KC Bye @PIT MIA @SD @JAC DEN IND
PHI GB @DET @JAC WAS @SF ATL @TEN Bye IND @WAS NYG @CHI HOU @DAL @NYG MIN
PIT ATL @TEN @TB BAL Bye CLE @MIA @NO @CIN NE OAK @BUF @BAL CIN NYJ CAR
SD @KC JAC @SEA ARI @OAK @STL NE TEN @HOU Bye DEN @IND OAK KC SF @CIN
SEA SF @DEN SD @STL Bye @CHI ARI @OAK NYG @ARI @NO KC CAR @SF ATL @TB
SF @SEA NO @KC @ATL PHI OAK @CAR DEN Bye STL TB @ARI @GB SEA @SD @STL
STL ARI @OAK WAS SEA @DET SD @TB CAR Bye @SF ATL @DEN @ARI @NO KC SF
TB CLE @CAR PIT Bye @CIN NO STL @ARI @ATL CAR @SF @BAL ATL @WAS DET SEA
TEN OAK PIT @NYG DEN @DAL @JAC PHI @SD Bye @MIA WAS @HOU JAC IND HOU @KC
WAS DAL HOU @STL @PHI GB IND @CHI @DET Bye PHI @TEN MIN @NYG TB @DAL @JAC

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