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Staff Sleepers, Under and Over Valued Players: Quarterbacks
August 4, 2010 Comments Comments       Print this page Print 

Other Positions:  Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Eight staff writers have all been polled who their sleepers, undervalued and overvalued players are. To make this within context of your draft, we have shown the selections against the average draft rankings and are highlighting when at least three writers have a consensus on a player.

Sleepers (Players drafted as a backup that have the potential to perform like a starter)

(3 stars)

Donovan McNabb, Washington Redskins - The change to the Redskins may have apparently lesser talent but new head coach Mike Shanahan will look to maximize what he has. And apparently, that is a lot of veteran players and a set of receivers who have never played with a quarterback the quality of McNabb.

Chad Henne, Miami Dolphins - Henne was already on the radar after ending 2009 with 300+ yard efforts in three of his final five games. Add in Brandon Marshall and there's plenty of reasons why this third year ex-Michigan quarterback holds more potential.

Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions - Stafford has his ups and downs as a rookie in 2009 but he did score in every game and even topped out with a 422 yard, five TD effort against the Browns. He was the stud quarterback of the 2009 class and has Calvin Johnson and Nate Burleson now.

(2 stars)

Alex Smith, Matt Hasselbeck

Undervalued (Players drafted as a starter but a great value where available)

(3 stars)

Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears - No doubt each league will hold at least one team owner more than willing to take a chance on the latest Mike Martz offense and that means Cutler being about the only player that will very reliably see more action and more success. Chicago seems like a round hole for a square peg offense but Cutler can throw about as well as any quarterback out there.

Eli Manning, New York Giants - Interesting thing happened last year when the rushing game took a nosedive thanks to injuries and the receiver corps were made over with youngsters - it worked. Really well. Manning makes a great backup who could be a starter with any progress from last year.

(2 stars)

Kevin Kolb, Joe Flacco, Matt Schaub

Overvalued (Players that are poor values where being drafted, if not outright busts)

(4 stars)

Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers - What to like about a quarterback suspended four to six weeks who returns just in time to see the schedule turn very badly. Oh yes, and Santonio Holmes is gone.

(3 stars)

Tom Brady, New England Patriots - Tom Brady doesn't like not having a monster contract to sign, Wes Welker returns from a blown knee and the Pats added Torry Holt which only delights opponents now. More risk than ever before.

Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams - With a motley group of receivers and an even worse offensive line, Bradford draws the short straw in fantasy this year.

(2 stars)

Philip Rivers

Under Valued
or Sleeper
Over Valued ADP Rankings
as of 8/3
DMD  2V   DT   KR   PS  TVP JUM
    1 Rodgers, Aaron              
    2 Brees, Drew              
  3 Manning, Peyton       U      
  4 Romo, Tony           O  
  5 Brady, Tom O       O   O
  6 Schaub, Matt     U   U    
7 Rivers, Philip     O   O U  
  8 Cutler, Jay U       U   U
9 Kolb, Kevin U U       O  
  10 Ryan, Matt         O    
  11 Flacco, Joe     U       U
12 Manning, Eli   U O U   U  
  13 Favre, Brett       O      
  14 McNabb, Donovan S S     S    
    15 Palmer, Carson              
  16 Roethlisberger, Ben O O O       O
17 Stafford, Matthew     S O   S S
18 Henne, Chad S S     S   O
  19 Smith, Alex S       S    
  20 Sanchez, Mark   O          
    21 Young, Vince              
  22 Cassel, Matt       S      
  23 Bradford, Sam O O       O  
24 Leinart, Matt       O     S
  25 Freeman, Josh           S  
    26 Garrard, David              
    27 Campbell, Jason              
    28 Moore, Matt              
  29 Hasselbeck, Matt     S S      
    30 Orton, Kyle              
DMD: David Dorey
2V: John Tuvey
DT: Darin Tietgen
KR: Kevin Ratterree
PS: Paul Sandy
TVP: Tim Van Prooyen
JUM: John Miller O: Over Valued
U: Under Valued
S: Sleeper

COMMENTS (page 1 of 1)
Ed
Posted Aug 26, 2010 1:31pm EDT
Well put high_low_jack. ALL 3 of the pats rings are tarnished and should have an * next to them just like the roid boys in baseball. Funny how they barely won those Super Bowls even with the cheating.
High_low_jack
Posted Aug 14, 2010 11:33am EDT
The 2007 Patriots: THE BIGGEST HUMILIATION IN PRO SPORTS HISTORY...PERIOD!

Time to move on from Brady and escape the shame of 2007.
ROONDOG
Posted Aug 10, 2010 12:44am EDT
Brady,Moss & Welker will "ALL" make you eat your words, you know nothing about Tom to make that statement, there arn't too many QB's or "Star QB's" that would handle his contract the way he has, he's ALWAYS worked his contract out to help out the team, he knows that the team will take care of him,"that's Krafty Bob's Boy" believe me!! They will light it up this year!! NO RISK AT ALL!!
Bartman
Posted Aug 8, 2010 1:09pm EDT
I would take Schaub over Rivers in a heartbeat.
Main Man
Posted Aug 7, 2010 7:25pm EDT
You look at Rivers first six games and there is no QB in the league who should have a better start. I'd take Rivers right now as my starter. Ryan Matthews will be used to catch the ball too which gives Rivers an additional reciever on first and second downs. Yeah they'll run the ball but Rivers looks like the next safest pick after the big 3 are off the board.
Rovers
Posted Aug 7, 2010 6:10pm EDT
I'm not following with the Big Ben evaluation. At 16, he is a QB2 in most leagues. Looking at the QB's ranked behind him, I'd be hard pressed to choose any one of them over Roths as my QB2. If he is over valued, what other QB would you take?

I like Roths even over McNabb, who I see as quite risky. New team, installing a new offense yet again, an O line that is likely worse than the Steelers and the Skins don't even have an NFL WR1, unless you like S Moss as one. Other than this exception, I'd agree with the general consensus here .
1i
Posted Aug 6, 2010 9:38am EDT
Sorry!
I meant RIvers ADP is around 38, and not 48.
1i
Posted Aug 6, 2010 9:30am EDT
Dan,
I agree that RIvers is is a great QB, but I believe the key to the Huddles assumption is Value. Rivers current ADP is around 48, and with his LT(McNeil) holding out along with VJ makes me downgrade him a bit from that 48 spot. Sprinkle in the Ryan Matthews hype and how SD said they will run more this year again has me question his ADP of 48.
This does NOT mean that I think Rivers will bust, but it does impose more risk at that spot.
Darin
Posted Aug 6, 2010 9:07am EDT
Re: Rivers...

What DMD said.

Thanks.
DMD
Posted Aug 6, 2010 2:19am EDT
While I did not list Rivers as over valued, I almost did and I would guess for the same reason that two others actually did. Rivers just has much more risk around him this year than before with the whole Jackson situation and now relying on wideouts that combined have done very little in the past. Tomlinson is also gone and the backfield is shared between the diminuitive Sproles and an untested rookie. It is not that Rivers has no value by any means, just that taking him seventh is much too early for a couple of the staffers. Outside of Jackson, the WRs only had four touchdowns in 2009 and one of those were from Chris Chambers. No other WR had more than 45 catches or 776 yards.
Dan
Posted Aug 6, 2010 1:32am EDT
Why is Rivers overvalued? Vincent Jackson isn't the only receiver on that team. You stick his name on the list with no explanation? Nuts!!
Sonny
Posted Aug 5, 2010 1:18pm EDT
Roethlisberger can put up #s against any defense, I think 16 makes sense, that makes him the best potential backup. Rivers overrated? How many years in a row does he have to light it up for you guys?
 
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