The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 3
2010
BUF at NE DAL at HOU* CIN at CAR* SD at SEA*
ATL at NO SF at KC PHI at JAC* IND at DEN*
DET at MIN* TEN at NYG WAS at STL* NYJ at MIA
*updated CLE at BAL* PIT at TB* OAK at ARI* GB at CHI

Prediction: BUF 6, NE 27

The Bills are starting out another woeful season trying to rebuild without a complete set of plans or all the pieces. The Patriots come off a thumping by the Jets which hurts that much worse. No need to over think this game - Pats at home win it and may try rolling up the score but the Bills were tough against the Pats last year.

The Pats swept the Bills in 2009, winning 25-24 at home and later 17-10 in Buffalo.

Buffalo Bills (0-1)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIA L 10-15 10 DET --
2 @GB L 7-34 11 @CIN --
3 @NE -- 12 PIT --
4 NYJ -- 13 @MIN --
5 JAC -- 14 CLE --
6 Bye - 15 @MIA --
7 @BAL -- 16 NE --
8 @KC -- 17 @NYJ --
9 CHI -- - - -
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO at NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 150
RB Fred Jackson 30 10 -
WR Lee Evans - 30 -
WR Steve Johnson - 40 -
WR Roscoe Parrish - 30 -
PK Rian Lindell 2 FG - -
Pregame Notes: The Bills are starting out on their newest rebuilding year with an offense that has yet to show any real signs of life. The Trent Edwards era apparently is now closing but chances that has much effect with the Patriots and Jets up next is almost nil. Outside of perhaps Fred Jackson in a pinch, there is no reliable fantasy value on this entire team so far.

QUARTERBACK: it only took two weeks but the Bills already used the hook on Trent Edwards and will start Ryan Fitzpatrick as if that is going to make a difference switching to the sixth year journeyman quarterback who is on his third NFL team. It was expected at some point that the Bills would try this in the vein of "still trying to win" but it usually happens later in the year. The switch may not yield a spark but it is also not likely to hurt anything after Edwards had not passed for more than 139 yards in a game this year or had any touchdowns.

Edwards passed for 212 yards and two scores in New England last year. That's much too optimistic a figure to expect from Fitzgerald. Until he does something positive, no need to even carry him on your roster.

RUNNING BACKS: The Bills claim they are not shopping Marshawn Lynch around the league but he only had three carries in the season opener and last Sunday suddenly was given 17 rushes that gained 64 yards. New HC Chan Gailey is still trying to figure out what exactly he has in the tool chest so Lynch may have only been showing the coaches what they get from him.

After C.J. Spiller disastrous debut, he was limited to only one run for three yards against the Packers and caught four passes for 23 yards. Fred Jackson gained 39 yards on nine runs but this backfield is completely hands off in fantasy terms at least until there is some continuity in who is used and how much.

Jackson only gained 57 yards on 15 carries in the road meeting with the Pats but tacked on five catches for 83 yards and a score.

This time I will only project for Jackson but the trio of runners are a work in progress with no reliability and even less likely production.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Lee Evans never had a pass thrown his way last week and after two weeks, no receiver here has managed more than 40 yards in any game and none of scored. Evans is worth holding for now to see if Fitzpatrick can get anything going and perhaps later in the year with a decent matchup, Evans might qualify as a bye week filler but anything more is going to take a lot of time.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value from a team averaging one pass to a tight end per week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 30 30 26 31 31 32
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 29 16 30 31 20 6


New England Patriots (1-1)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN W 38-24 10 @PIT --
2 @NYJ L 14-28 11 IND --
3 BUF -- 12 @DET --
4 @MIA -- 13 NYJ --
5 Bye - 14 @CHI --
6 BAL -- 15 GB --
7 @SD -- 16 @BUF --
8 MIN -- 17 MIA --
9 @CLE -- - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 270,2
RB Fred Taylor 60,1 - -
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 30 10 -
TE Aaron Hernandez - 40 -
WR Randy Moss - 100,2 -
WR Wes Welker - 70 -
WR Julian Edelman - 30 -
PK Stephen Gostkowski 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Patriots are not going to be in a good mood this week after getting tromped by the Jets in a divisional matchup with a hated rival. The passing game remains effective even if it has been lower than past year but starting out against the Bengals and Jets was going to be challenging anyway. This week are the Bills followed by the Dolphins in Miami before the bye. The Pats cannot afford to lose an easy matchup up like this one and a bigger win would feel good after the loss in New York.

QUARTERBACK: Tom Brady has been solid so far with two games around 250 yards and five scores on the season. But that has come without a signature big game from a wideout so far. Wes Welker has contributed but is still not 100% healthy yet. This should be a nice game for Brady who passed for 378 yards and two scores against the visiting Bills last year. The next two games against the Dolphins and Ravens will be much bigger tests.

Expect a solid showing here from Brady but probably just around what he has been doing so far. Even Aaron Rodgers only had 255 yards and two passing scores on the BIlls who will yield rushing scores easier.

RUNNING BACKS: Just because Laurence Maroney is no longer on the team, it doesn't mean the backfield is any less convoluted or reliable. Fred Taylor was only used for five runs for 11 yards against the Jets while BenJarvus Green-Ellis had the lead with ten runs for 19 yards in New York. Sammy Morris helped take over for Kevin Faulk who injured his knee last week but none of this runners are an attractive fantasy start in any week.

Taylor only rushed nine times for 25 yards but scored once on the visiting Bills last year. I am going to project for Taylor and Green-Ellis as if the Pats would do the same thing two weeks in a row. Taylor is the only runner worth a risk if you literally have no one else to turn to this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS:Wes Welker has scored in both games so far but he's not been tacking on many yards after the catch and he still is not out there for more than about 70% of the offensive plays. But he already has the team lead with 14 catches and is on pace for 112 receptions on the season with a recovering bad knee playing not completely full-time. Randy Moss only had two catches last week but one went for a score and he was on Revis Island at the time. The Patriots are using a lot of two tight end sets and the slot receiver - let alone any other wideout - is getting almost no play.

Moss accounted for 12 catches for 141 yards and Welker rang up 12 receptions for 93 yards when the Bills showed up last year.

TIGHT ENDS: The Pats are using both of the rookie tight ends and Rob Gronkowski had a score last week but he is a blocking tight end that only gets one pass per week. Aaron Hernandez only had one catch in the season opener but then exploded for six receptions for 101 yards last week when the Jets were covering the wide receivers on most plays. It is still much too early to consider Hernandez as consistent enough to warrant even owning let alone starting but he came up big for one week and is one to watch in this offense.

Ben Watson had a career game last year when he turned in six catches for 77 yards and two scores on the visiting Bills.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 8 28 8 7 20 5
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 19 23 14 17 27 15

WEEK 3
2010
BUF at NE DAL at HOU CIN at CAR SD at SEA
ATL at NO SF at KC PHI at JAC IND at DEN
DET at MIN TEN at NYG WAS at STL NYJ at MIA
  CLE at BAL PIT at TB OAK at ARI GB at CHI
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Early Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t