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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 4
2010
NYJ at BUF* CIN at CLE* IND at JAC* CHI at NYG
SEA at STL* BAL at PIT* HOU at OAK* NE at MIA*
CAR at NO* DEN at TEN* WAS at PHI DAL, KC
*updated DET at GB* SF at ATL ARI at SD* MIN, TB

Prediction: NYJ 27, BUF 17

Update: Darrelle Revis has not practiced this week and he is not expected to play this week. That makes Bills a decent option to cover bye weeks for receivers.

Inter divisional game with the Jets on a two game winning streak over the others in the AFC East and the Bills flop to 0-3 though they may have just found a quarterback in the nick of time. These teams traded road wins in 2009. The Bills won 16-13 in New York while the Jets won 19-13 in Buffalo. Look to favor the Jets who will bring more offense to the party than last year.

New York Jets (2-1)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BAL L 9-10 10 @CLE --
2 NE W 28-14 11 HOU --
3 @MIA W 31-23 12 CIN --
4 @BUF -- 13 @NE --
5 MIN -- 14 MIA --
6 @DEN -- 15 @PIT --
7 Bye - 16 @CHI --
8 GB -- 17 BUF --
9 @DET -- - - -
Jets Report | Statistics | Roster
NY JETS at BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Sanchez - - 230,2
RB Shonn Greene 50 - -
RB LaDainian Tomlinson 80,1 10 -
TE Dustin Keller - 100,1 -
WR Jerricho Cotchery - 20 -
WR Braylon Edwards - 60,1 -
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: Tough schedule but the Jets are making the best out of it - one point away from a 3-0 record. The offense has caught fire over the last two weeks against divisional rivals and a passing game that is already drawing raves will be getting Santonio Holmes on the playing field in the coming weeks. This is a different team than 2009 but a better one and on both sides of the ball. Even the loss of Darrelle Revis did not present a problem to winning last week.

QUARTERBACK: After a horrible outing in the season opener, Mark Sanchez has been on fire these last two weeks against quality opponents and still throwing for three touchdowns in each game and still not producing a single turnover on the season. Sanchez has not only come to rely on Dustin Keller heavily, but he is still seeding the wideouts with passes and scores. The running game still lags 2009 but the passing attack is exponentially better.

Sanchez passed for only 104 yards and a score in Buffalo last year.

Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady just threw five scores on this secondary in the last two weeks with solid yardage. Look for no more than two touchdowns here and decent yardage.

RUNNING BACKS: LaDainian Tomlinson has become the starting tailback with Shonn Greene limited to only ten carries for 36 yards while Tomlinson gained 70 yards and a score on 15 runs and added three receptions. He is gaining 5.6 yards per carry while Greene is only 3.5. And Tomlinson is now the preferred goal line back as well. Both players will be mixed in but Tomlinson takes the the biggest chunk from now on and leaves Greene as little more than a change of pace back for rushing only.

Thomas Jones and Greene combined for 168 on 34 carries in Buffalo last year.

The Bills have allowed four rushing touchdowns already but the yardage should be only moderate at best thanks to the sharing and the road venue.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Braylon Edwards had a timeout for the first quarter after being arrested for DUI but he quickly scored a touchdown and ended with two receptions for 87 yards. Jerricho Cotchery stumbles along with never more than 26 yards in any game while Brad Smith occasionally shows up to run a trick play. Dustin Keller has become the primary receiver for this team but once Santonio Holmes plays it could change that dynamic.

For now, figure on one touchdown to the wideouts since the Bills never fail to give up at least one if not two. Edwards remains the most likely though a touchdown would make it three weeks in a row. He is the only wideout here who merits a fantasy start and even that is risky.

TIGHT ENDS: Dustin Keller has become the sidekick for Mark Sanchez after recording 13 catches for 213 yards and three scores over the last two games. He has become the most targeted and preferred receiver for Sanchez and at least for the immediate future he is a must start. A tough schedule will keep him busy. This week he faces the #30 defense against tight ends so look for him to stretch the big stats to another week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 17 23 23 2 8 18
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 24 28 19 30 28 15
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NYJ 7 5 -4 28 20 -3


Buffalo Bills (0-3)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIA L 10-15 10 DET --
2 @GB L 7-34 11 @CIN --
3 @NE L 30-38 12 PIT --
4 NYJ -- 13 @MIN --
5 JAC -- 14 CLE --
6 Bye - 15 @MIA --
7 @BAL -- 16 NE --
8 @KC -- 17 @NYJ --
9 CHI -- - - -
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 240,2
RB C.J. Spiller 20 30,1 -
RB Marshawn Lynch 40 - -
WR Lee Evans - 60 -
WR Steve Johnson - 60 -
WR Roscoe Parrish - 70,1 -
PK Rian Lindell 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Bills are tied with the 49ers for the highest points against (87) after three weeks of play. And it hasn't been just against the pass or the run - it all needs work and has been undercut by an ineffective offense until last week. Switching to Ryan Fitzpatrick helped for at least one game. With the Jaguars visiting in week five, there is still a chance that the Bills get a win right before they enter their bye week. After two terrible weeks, the Bills showed signs of life in New England.

QUARTERBACK: Nice development last week when Ryan Fitzpatrick took the starting job and produced 247 yards and two scores which more than doubled what Trent Edwards had in two efforts. Edwards has since been released and Fitzpatrick now takes the helm for the foreseeable future. He's a journeyman quarterback so it is not likely he starting a career there but at least he'll have the gig for the season.

The Jets have allowed two passing scores in the last two games and decent yardage every week. Darrelle Revis may miss this week as well because of his hamstring though there is no star wideout who needs to be silenced. Look for a decent game from Fitzpatrick but anything over a moderate showing would be a surprise. The Jets know more what to expect than the Patriots did.

RUNNING BACKS: After suddenly making Marshawn Lynch be the primary runner for two weeks with a total of 30 carries for 143 yards, now the word is that he is being offered unto the world in a trade for just a draft pick or two. He is not a safe start from here on out unless he joins another team as their starter. That would have to be a team like the Packers who have an obvious and unfilled need for a primary back. But short of that - Lynch is just depth.

C.J. Spiller finally had a positive game when he ran for 29 yards on four carries and had three receptions for 10 yards including his first NFL touchdown. Assumedly the Bills will go back to using all the backs more now that they want to deal Lynch. I am projecting for him and Spiller again but there is less confidence (which was already low) with the potential trade scenario.

The Jets have a great rush defense. No reason to start any of these backs.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The switch to Fitzgerald paid immediate dividends to these wideouts with Steve Johnson (3-66, TD) and Roscoe Parrish (5-83) the most productive. Lee Evans only had five catches for 54 yards though he received the most targets (8). It was only one week but it was the first time these wide receivers were able to produce any notable stats. Assuming that Revis is still out and will not be covering Parrish, expect moderate numbers here and one score that should favor Parrish depending on Revis.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 30 26 20 31 21 28
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 22 2 26 24 13 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) BUF -8 -24 6 -7 -8 -27

WEEK 4
2010
NYJ at BUF CIN at CLE IND at JAC CHI at NYG
SEA at STL BAL at PIT HOU at OAK NE at MIA
CAR at NO DEN at TEN WAS at PHI DAL, KC
  DET at GB SF at ATL ARI at SD MIN, TB
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