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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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WEEK 6
2010
*CLE at PIT *BAL at NE *SEA at CHI *IND at WAS
*NO at TB KC at HOU *OAK at SF *TEN at JAC
*MIA at GB *DET at NYG NYJ at DEN ARI, BUF
*Updated *SD at STL ATL at PHI *DAL at MIN CAR, CIN

Prediction: DET 10, NYG 27

Update: Calvin Johnson has been limited in practice and is considered a game time decision. I am not adding him back into the projections unless he can have a full day on Friday and with a bye week waiting on the other side, it makes more sense to rest up Johnson so he can be completely healthy in week 8. Jahvid Best was held out on Wednesday to rest his toe and returned for some work on Thursday. He is expected to be good to go this week.

Update #2: Jahvid Best and Nate Burleson are both practicing at least some and will play this week. Matt Stafford has not been formally called out and HC Jim Schwartz has not named the starting quarterback this week but he was out of practice all week until Friday when he had some minor work. It would be a big surprise to see him play this week.

Calvin Johnson is a game time decision after having limited and non-contact practice on Friday. He's no lock to play or to be healthy in the unlikely case he does play.

Lawrence Tynes was unable to kick on Saturday because of his ankle and the Giants have quickly signed Shayne Graham in case Tynes cannot get past pregame warmups. Tynes is a gametime decision.

The Lions only needed five weeks to secure their first win and now hit the road for the fourth time in six games. The Giants dismantled the Texans in Houston and look to keep their front seat in the NFC East. Be a nice story if the Lions could win here but it would have to be a work of fiction.

Detroit Lions (1-4)
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CHI L 14-19 10 @BUF --
2 PHI L 32-35 11 @DAL --
3 @MIN L 10-24 12 NE --
4 @GB L 26-28 13 CHI --
5 STL W 44-6 14 GB --
6 @NYG -- 15 @TB --
7 Bye - 16 @MIA --
8 WAS -- 17 MIN --
9 NYJ -- - - -
Lions Report | Statistics | Roster
DETROIT at NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Shaun Hill - - 230,1
RB Jahvid Best 30 30 -
TE Tony Scheffler - 50 -
TE Brandon Pettigrew - 50,1 -
WR Bryant Johnson - 20 -
WR Nate Burleson - 50 -
PK Jason Hanson 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Lions came down on the Rams like a bullied kid who just discovered he was Superman. It was a solid win in all areas but Calvin Johnson was injured and that's a loss this team cannot afford. There's a bye week waiting on the other side of this game and chances are both Johnson and Matt Stafford get two weeks of rest before you'll see them play next.

QUARTERBACK: Matthew Stafford is still bothered by his shoulder and isn't likely to play this week. That'll give him plenty of rest before the week eight game hosting the Redskins. Shaun Hill has been a very productive quarterback and three of his four starts produced multiple touchdowns and never less than around 230 yards. He has two 300+ yard games and that comes with Calvin Johnson never accounting for more than 86 yards. Hill is quietly a productive, solid quarterback.

The problem here is that there have been three visitors to New York so far and none of them had more than 200 passing yards or one score. And Calvin Johnson may miss this game. If Hill can produce more than average numbers here it would be a major success.

RUNNING BACKS: Jahvid Best has not scored since week two and his best numbers always come at home. In three road games this year, he has totaled only 33 carries for 96 yards and a 2.9 yard average. But he does come up with four or five catches per week and always has the potential to take it all the way on every play. Kevin Smith and Maurice Morris do figure in but only as relief and with very minimal yardage..

The Giants are solid against the run and only Chris Johnson has dinged them this year. No reason to expect rushing yards here but Best will add receptions to his total and there is a chance of a rushing score if the game gets far out of hand and the Giants let the Lions score late.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Calvin Johnson went down awkwardly last week and injured his shoulder. He may not play in this game and he wasn't able to practice early this week. The Lions are holding out hope that he may suit up eventually or be a game time decision but there is an equal chance that is just to force the Giants to prepare for him when he is not going to play. It makes much sense to let Johnson rest this week and then with the bye show back up with Matt Stafford in week eight.

The problem is without Johnson, this unit is pretty weak. Nate Burleson came back from a two week absence to score once and had four catches for 56 yards against the Rams but he never had more than one catch in any previous game. Bryant Johnson doesn't even have a catch half the time. No reason to consider either for a fantasy start this week. The Giants secondary can be beaten but this crew is not good enough.

TIGHT ENDS: Outside of Calvin Johnson, the tight ends have been the much more productive players during the Shaun Hill weeks. Brandon Pettigrew caught a score last week and has two efforts that exceeded 90 yards so far. Tony Scheffler has averaged about 50 yards per game. Look for both to have at least a decent game and could be big with Hill looking to replace Calvin Johnson catches.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 8 13 26 2 9 5
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 4 11 7 8 18 27
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) DET -4 -2 -19 6 9 22


New York Giants (3-2)
Homefield: Giants Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR W 31-18 10 DAL --
2 @IND L 14-38 11 @PHI --
3 TEN L 10-29 12 JAC --
4 CHI W 17-3 13 WAS --
5 @HOU W 34-10 14 @MIN --
6 DET -- 15 PHI --
7 @DAL -- 16 @GB --
8 Bye - 17 @WAS --
9 @SEA -- - - -
Giants Report | Statistics | Roster
NY GIANTS vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning - - 240,1
RB Brandon Jacobs 50,1 - -
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 90,1 20 -
TE Kevin Boss - 20 -
WR Steve Smith - 50 -
WR Hakeem Nicks - 110,1 -
WR Mario Manningham - 20 -
PK Lawrence Tynes 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Giants are still trying to figure out who they are. They creamed the Panthers in the opener but that was no big deal. Then they lost to both the Colts and Titans in blowouts that sparked rumors about hot seats and coaches. Then they beat the visiting Bears soundly and last went nuclear on the Texans in Houston where they took away all vestiges of their explosive offense. This Giant team so far is only NFC good. This week could be a mail-in effort though with a trip to Dallas coming in week seven.

QUARTERBACK: Eli Manning has been inconsistent at best this year. He comes off a season high game of three touchdowns and 297 yards in Houston and he opened with a similar effort over the Panthers. But his last two home games did not feature any passing touchdowns. The problem this week is that Manning goes against a defense that has allowed healthy yardage and multiple passing scores to nearly all opponents but will Eli take advantage of that?

This could be another 300 yards, three score game. Or it could be no scores. In either case, the Giants could win the game. Split the difference between average and a big game but know Manning may go either way.

RUNNING BACKS: For two weeks in a row, Brandon Jacobs has kept his helmet to himself and scored a touchdown with about 50 yards worth of running. Ahmad Bradshaw had been very productive in the last two home games with a score in each and over 100 total yards for both. But last week in Houston he only had 67 yards on 16 runs and his ankle is still a lingering issue. It is not expected to keep him or limit him that much.

The Lions have already allowed three runners to exceed 100 yards and given up seven scores to running backs. Expect both Jacobs and Bradshaw to have no worse than moderate games here with Bradshaw looking at a chance for big numbers.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Hakeem Nicks comes off a season best 12 catches for 130 yards and two scores against the Texans and he came very close to making it three. That gives him back-to-back 110+ yard games and he is clearly the preferred receiver for Manning with 37 targets over the last three weeks. Mario Manningham has only one catch in the last four games but is still drawing a paycheck for now. Steve Smith also had his first score of the year when he caught six passes for 89 yards. He is lagging last season to be sure but turning in the occasional decent game.

The Lions are weak against wide receivers but it depends on how much the Giants care to throw this week. Nicks is always a good play and no less this week. Smith is a marginal one on Sunday because the team could either ignore him or use him heavily. Nicks is the safest start.

TIGHT ENDS: Kevin Boss has yet to score and usually ends up with less than 20 yards. He has two games where he had 40 or 88 yards but that is too unreliable. Let him sit this week and every week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 10 7 4 27 24 14
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 24 31 24 6 6 17
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NYG 14 24 20 -21 -18 3

WEEK 6
2010
CLE at PIT BAL at NE SEA at CHI IND at WAS
NO at TB KC at HOU OAK at SF TEN at JAC
MIA at GB DET at NYG NYJ at DEN ARI, BUF
  SD at STL ATL at PHI DAL at MIN CAR, CIN
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