The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN* STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB*
CIN at ATL SF at CAR* ARI at SEA* NYG at DAL*
CLE at NO* WAS at CHI* OAK at DEN* DET, HOU
*Updated PIT at MIA JAC at KC* NE at SD* IND, NYJ

Prediction: BUF 10, BAL 27

This would be an upset of the first order. The Bills are 0-5 and coming off a bye week while the Ravens are 4-2 and 2-0 at home having last lost to the Patriots. Not a lot of reasons to watch this game outside of hometown fan allegiance.

Buffalo Bills (0-5)
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIA L 10-15 10 DET --
2 @GB L 7-34 11 @CIN --
3 @NE L 30-38 12 PIT --
4 NYJ L 14-38 13 @MIN --
5 JAC L 26-36 14 CLE --
6 Bye - 15 @MIA --
7 @BAL -- 16 NE --
8 @KC -- 17 @NYJ --
9 CHI -- - - -
Bills Report | Statistics | Roster
BUFFALO at BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick - - 170,1
RB C.J. Spiller 20 10 -
RB Fred Jackson 40 - -
WR Lee Evans - 50 -
WR Steve Johnson - 40 -
WR David Nelson - 20,1 -
WR Roscoe Parrish - 50 -
PK Rian Lindell 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Bills continue to wait for their trap game when they can catch a team under prepared and get that first win. The switch to Ryan Fitzgerald has been very positive but the drafting of C.J. Spiller has done nothing to ignite the rushing game and sending Marshawn Lynch to the Seahawks only makes this team that much weaker. The Bills allowed at least 34 points per opponent for the last four weeks so any offensive gain has been more than countered by what the defense gives away.

QUARTERBACK: The Bills may lose every game and sure, some of it comes in trash time but Ryan Fitzpatrick has been a big upgrade at quarterback over Trent Edwards. While the yardage has never exceeded 247 with Fitzpatrick under center, he has yet to throw for less than two scores in any game including facing the Patriots and the Jets. This will be the biggest test yet for Fitzpatrick since he faces a secondary that has only allowed a total of four touchdowns on the season.

Barring a lucky late pass in a game already decided, expect this to be the first time that Fitzpatrick falls short of the two scores. The Ravens just lost and are at home.

RUNNING BACKS: The trading away of Marshawn Lynch clears up the backfield but it doesn't make them any better. C.J. Spiller has been a little used flop as a runner with only 20 carries for 82 yards over his first five games. He scored once as a receiver but with minimal catches or yards. So far he's just a really expensive special teams returner. Fred Jackson takes over and in his first non-Lynch game only had 12 carries but gained 73 yards on the Jaguars. There has only been one rushing score by the Bills this year.

The Ravens have been solid against the run other than the odd game against Peyton Hillis who gained 144 yards and a score in Baltimore. Jackson has not been effective this year and on the road in Baltimore may be his worst matchup yet.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Switching to Fitzpatrick has paid big dividends to this unit with Steve Johnson scoring four times in the three games with the new quarterback. Lee Evans had one touchdown against the Jaguars last week as well but the yardage is severely lacking here. Johnson has a season best of 64 yards and Evans has only once had more than 54 yards.

The Ravens have only allowed two wide receivers to score against them so keep very low expectations. Neither starting wideout is attractive for a fantasy team but since I do like one passing score, it is more likely here than anywhere else. Low confidence on it though.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 21 32 12 30 25 30
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 1 7 4 4 23 6
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) BUF -20 -25 -8 -26 -2 -24


Baltimore Ravens (4-2)
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ W 10-9 10 @ATL --
2 @CIN L 10-15 11 @CAR --
3 CLE W 24-17 12 TB --
4 @PIT W 17-14 13 PIT --
5 DEN W 31-17 14 @HOU --
6 @NE L 20-23 15 NO --
7 BUF -- 16 @CLE --
8 Bye - 17 CIN --
9 MIA --   - -
Ravens Report | Statistics | Roster
BALTIMORE vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco - - 210,2
RB Ray Rice 110,1 20 -
TE Todd Heap - 30,1 -
WR Anquan Boldin - 70,1 -
WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh - 30 -
WR Derrick Mason - 50 -
PK Billy Cundiff 2 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Ravens lost in New England in overtime and now trail the Steelers by a half game (but with a win over them). With only this game before the bye, there's no reason why the Ravens would overlook the Bills and even if they did - they could still win. The Ravens are 4-2 and are past the toughest part of their schedule.

QUARTERBACK: Joe Flacco hasn't been good enough to warrant being a fantasy starter but he's flirting with it. He has scored in each of the last five games though he only had one rushing score against the Broncos and one touchdown pass in Pittsburgh. His production comes after the rushing game which has been good enough in most games. For purposes of this week, Flacco could be interesting.

The Bills have allowed either two or three scores to each of the last four opposing quarterbacks though none of them had that much for yardage. That should fit into what Flacco likes to do.

RUNNING BACKS: The big surprise last week was that Willis McGahee never had so much as one carry. Le'Ron McClain had three runs but McGahee never saw any action. HC John Harbaugh insisted it had nothing to do with the rumors that McGahee was on the trading block and that it was a function of game situation and offensive formations.

Ray Rice had a season high 28 carries in New England but only gained 88 yards. He did add eight catches for 38 yards to preserve at least his fantasy value. Based on what happened last week, I am not going to include McGahee in the projections though he could show up at the goal line as he did when he scored in weeks 4 and 5. Rice has only had two home games so far and had two of his best efforts of the year there along with his two touchdowns.

The Bills have allowed six rushing scores and plenty of rushing yards to teams that commit to the run as the Ravens will. Look for a very solid effort here from Rice.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Anquan Boldin remains a strong play every week except for the Denver game when Champ Bailey took care of him. Otherwise, Boldin had been good for 60 or more yards and his other home game is when he had three scores and 142 yards on the Browns. Derrick Mason had a season high 100 yards on eight catches against the Patriots but he still has not scored since week two and has yet to turn in more than 50 yards in a home game.

The Bills are soft against wideouts with six touchdowns allowed and four of those were in their two previous road games. This should be another week that Boldin has a very nice showing with at least one touchdown. Mason is a marginal play because he never scores and the Ravens won't need him as much.

TIGHT ENDS: Todd Heap scored once last week and had three catches for 49 yards including a brutal helmet-to-helmet hit that only made him miss one series (It is better to jack up light weight wideouts than a 6'5", 250 lb. tight end). Heap gets a nice matchup this week against a defense that has allowed five touchdowns to opposing tight ends in just the last three games. If you are looking for a bye week tight end, Heap is not a bad option this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 18 15 15 18 23 32
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 25 31 18 32 32 11
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) BAL 7 16 3 14 9 -21

WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB
CIN at ATL SF at CAR ARI at SEA NYG at DAL
CLE at NO WAS at CHI OAK at DEN DET, HOU
  PIT at MIA JAC at KC NE at SD IND, NYJ
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t