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David Dorey
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WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN* STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB*
CIN at ATL SF at CAR* ARI at SEA* NYG at DAL*
CLE at NO* WAS at CHI* OAK at DEN* DET, HOU
*Updated PIT at MIA JAC at KC* NE at SD* IND, NYJ

Prediction: JAC 13, KC 31

Update: David Garrard remains out of practice because of his concussion. Mike Sims-Walker took it easy on Wednesday to rest his shoulder but had a full day on Thursday and will play.

Update #2: It now appears that Todd Bouman is likely to start since Trent Edwards has been limited because of his thunb injury.

Just when the Jaguars looked like they were making a move to be a contender, the Titans come along and crushed them. The Jaguars are on the road where they are only 1-1 this season. The Chiefs still lead the AFC West despite their two game losing streak but they are 2-0 at home.

The Jaguars beat the visiting Chiefs 24-21 in week nine of 2009.

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3)
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DEN W 24-17 10 HOU --
2 @SD L 13-38 11 CLE --
3 PHI L 3-28 12 @NYG --
4 IND W 31-28 13 @TEN --
5 @BUF W 36-26 14 OAK --
6 TEN L 3-30 15 @IND --
7 @KC -- 16 WAS --
8 @DAL -- 17 @HOU --
9 Bye - - - -
Jaguars Report | Statistics | Roster
JACKSONVILLE at KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Trent Edwards - - 190,1
QB Todd Bouman - - 180,1
RB Maurice Jones-Drew 70 10 -
TE Marcedes Lewis - 40 -
WR Mike Sims-Walker - 40 -
WR Mike Thomas - 80,1 -
PK Josh Scobee 2 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Jaguars had finally made up for a slow 1-2 start but losing David Garrard on Monday night to a concussion sent the team's hope down the drain where it was clearly headed anyway. The Jaguars woeful defense has not stopped anyone and Maurice Jones-Drew has yet to have a truly big game. Every week comes down to whether David Garrard can possibly keep up with what his defense is giving away.

QUARTERBACK: David Garrard suffered a concussion on Monday and left the Titans game but he had only completed seven of 12 passes for 49 yards and one interception and it was not going well. There's been two Garrard's this season. One has been a standard 180 yards and one score quarterback that he has been his entire career. The other was the two week showing when he had six touchdowns against the Colts and Bills. His yardage remains low and he has not thrown for over 180 yards yet this year but the scores made the difference in those games.

The Chiefs have been about average against the pass with six scores allowed and never less than 229 yards given up. I am assuming that Trent Edwards gets the start this week and will update it if Garrard can pass all the concussion tests and play. He could make a difference here depending on which "him" shows up. WIth Edwards playing, more than one score would be a big surprise.

Garrard passed for 264 yards and one score on the visiting Chiefs last year.

RUNNING BACKS: Six weeks into the season and Maurice Jones-Drew only has one rushing touchdown and just one game with more than 100 rushing yards. His role as a receiver has been minimal at best with never more than 17 receiving yards in any game. Jones-Drew still gets almost all carries in the game but he usually settles for around 80 or 90 total yards and no score.

The Chiefs have allowed four rushing scores in just the last two games though that happened when the Texans rushed in three because the Chiefs were shutting down their passing. On the road, hard to rely on Jones-Drew for much more than moderate yardage and no score. He'll be a marked man again this week.

Jones-Drew gained 97 yards and a score on 29 carries versus the Chiefs last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Mike Thomas had a season best eight catches for 88 yards on Monday because Trent Edwards locked onto him. Mike Sims-Walker has been unsuccessful since week two and he only had one less target than Thomas but only managed to catch two passes for 16 yards. There have been trade rumors swirling about Mike Sims-Walker but nothing materialized. There have been only two touchdowns caught by this unit and Sims-Walker has both. Mike Thomas can only claim to be the more effective receiver that quickly became the go-to guy for Trent Edwards.

Sims-Walker turned in 147 yards and a score on six catches against the Chiefs last year but they are much improved this year and playing in Kansas City has been much better for them. Look for the one passing score to end up with this unit. Thomas is very overdue as the primary receiver to score and the flanker has been the best weapon against the Chiefs.

TIGHT ENDS: Marcedes Lewis scored three times in the previous two games but he not only settled for four catches for 39 yards last week, he fumbled away a catch at the endzone and killed the chance for certain points. Lewis scored five touchdowns this season which easily leads the team. The Chiefs have only allowed one tight end score in the last four games and minimal yardage but Lewis had both his best yardage games come in the two road venues this year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 16 25 26 8 13 29
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 15 24 15 24 6 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) JAC -1 -1 -11 16 -7 -28


Kansas City Chiefs (3-2)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD W 21-14 10 @DEN --
2 @CLE W 16-14 11 ARI --
3 SF W 31-10 12 @SEA --
4 Bye - 13 DEN --
5 @IND L 9-19 14 @SD --
6 @HOU L 31-35 15 @STL --
7 JAC -- 16 TEN --
8 BUF -- 17 OAK --
9 @OAK -- - - -
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY vs JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 240,3
RB Jamaal Charles 80 20,1 -
RB Thomas Jones 70,1 - -
TE Tony Moeaki - 50,1 -
WR Dexter McCluster 10 40 -
WR Terrance Copper - 20 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 110,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs lost a heartbreaker last week after leading in the game for the first 59 minutes. That gives them a two game losing streak though both were road games and the schedule is lightening up nicely for the near future. The defense had been stellar up until the second half in Houston and back at home this week should return to form. Notable too was the decision to start Jamal Charles in Houston though by the end of the game both runners had split the workload.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel has been a feast or famine sort of quarterback so far with two games featuring three touchdowns and his other three games only producing one touchdown combined. The great news is that he faced a weaker secondary in Houston and walked away with 201 passing yards and three touchdowns. This week he faces arguably the worst secondary in the league and he'll be at home this time.

The Jaguars have allowed 14 passing scores already this season and half of their opponents have passed for three touchdowns. This includes Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Jaguars specialize in giving opposing quarterbacks their best game of the year so look for Cassel to again be an attractive fantasy start this week.

Cassel passed for 262 yards and two scores on the Jaguars last year.

RUNNING BACKS: The Chiefs let Jamaal Charles start in Houston but he ended with 16 runs for 93 yards compared to Thomas Jones who had 19 carries for 100 yards and one score. There could be a monster running back here if they were to rely on one player but that is clearly not in the cards. Charles at least adds some receptions to his totals but combined the two runners only have three rushing scores for the season.

The Jaguars are soft against the run but not as bad as they are defending the pass. There will be solid yardage here to divide but not as high as it might first seem because of the split in workload. The Jags have given up six rushing scores so expect at least one this week. I'll give it to Charles as "his turn" but it could go either way. The Jaguars have only allowed one runner to top 100 yards and that was Chris Johnson. Why run when you can throw?

WIDE RECEIVERS: Chris Chambers has fallen so far from grace that he was a healthy inactive last week and was replaced by Terrrance Copper who had no catches just like Chambers would have done. But facing that soft Houston secondary meant that Dwayne Bowe suddenly looked very good when he caught six passes for 108 yards and two scores. Facing the #32 defense against wide receivers this week means Bowe is a must start and should have big numbers once again. This would be a nice time for him to turn it on since the passing of the Chiefs has been the weakest link this year while the new offense is being installed by Charlie Weis. Unfortunately, there are no wideouts besides Bowe with much promise. Dexter McCluster has minimal impact on the offense and runs almost as much as he catches but this will be his best matchup of the year.

Chris Chambers, Bowe and Lance Long all had around 70 yards in Jacksonville in 2009 and Chambers scored twice.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki only had two catches for 21 yards last week but should bounce back on Sunday facing one of the weaker secondaries in the league and he remains the lead receiver for the team. Notable too is that he has only two touchdowns on the year and they came during the only two home games so far. Consider Moeaki a nice plug-in this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 29 4 28 17 16 16
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 31 20 32 25 18 17
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) KC 2 16 4 8 2 1

WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB
CIN at ATL SF at CAR ARI at SEA NYG at DAL
CLE at NO WAS at CHI OAK at DEN DET, HOU
  PIT at MIA JAC at KC NE at SD IND, NYJ
Other Features
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Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
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