The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.JOINHELP
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
Print this page Print 
WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN* STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB*
CIN at ATL SF at CAR* ARI at SEA* NYG at DAL*
CLE at NO* WAS at CHI* OAK at DEN* DET, HOU
*Updated PIT at MIA JAC at KC* NE at SD* IND, NYJ

Prediction: NE 24, SD 20

Update: Malcom Floyd and Legedu Naanee both have missed practice this week and are not likely to play - Floyd is actually "week-to-week" now so he may not play next week either. Gates hasn't practiced either and depending on Friday could be a game time decision because the Chargers are not going to call him out if they do not have to. I am not changing his projections yet but no practice on Friday will be a big concern because toe injuries take time to heal and his is obviously more than just "mild".

Update #2: Both Floyd and Naanee are doubtful to play this week but Gates may play. He has missed all three practices because of his toe but the team has not ruled him out and hopes that he can play since they are already down two starting wideouts. Gates will not be 100% by any means if he plays so it all draws a lot of risk into relying on him this week. I am going to adjust his projections down a bit because he is such a risk and an unknown.

Always a contentious game, the Pats come in on a three game winning streak and face the suddenly listing Chargers who are 0-4 away from San Diego but 2-0 at home. But last week was a killer for the Chargers who lost to the Rams and also lost at least one wideout if not Antonio Gates as well. The Chargers have defended home well but the Pats are hungry and healthy.

New England Patriots (4-1)
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN W 38-24 10 @PIT --
2 @NYJ L 14-28 11 IND --
3 BUF W 38-30 12 @DET --
4 @MIA W 41-14 13 NYJ --
5 Bye - 14 @CHI --
6 BAL W 23-20 15 GB --
7 @SD -- 16 @BUF --
8 MIN -- 17 MIA --
9 @CLE -- - - -
Patriots Report | Statistics | Roster
NEW ENGLAND at SD Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady - - 250, 2
RB Danny Woodhead 40 30 -
RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis 20,1 - -
TE Aaron Hernandez - 60,1 -
WR Deion Branch - 60,1 -
WR Wes Welker - 80 -
WR Julian Edelman - 10 -
PK Stephen Gostkowski 1 FG 3 XP -
Pregame Notes: First game out of the box without Randy Moss and it is an overtime win over a quality team in the Ravens. The Patriots have apparently discovered a new receiver in Deion Branch and little Danny Woodhead is yet another in a long line of Patriot running backs you have never heard of before. This is a tough game but with the Chargers ailing, this is a good chance for the Pats to notch another win.

QUARTERBACK: While Tom Brady has not been as prolific as seasons past, he still has scored in every game this year and remained above 248 yards in all but one game. He currently has ten scores against only four interceptions though only one in each of the last two games. Brady engineered the comeback victory over the Ravens when he passed for 292 yards and one score.

The Chargers have not allowed more than one passing score per opponent despite their 2-4 record but they have faced a very lackluster grouping of quarterbacks (Matt Cassel, David Garrard, Matt Hasselbeck, Derek Anderson, Jason Campbell and Sam Bradford). I like two touchdowns by Brady who is twice the quarterback than any who have yet faced the Chargers.

RUNNING BACKS: The never ending carousel-o-runningbacks continues to spin in New England where Danny Woodhead is the apparent primary back and he gained 63 yards on 11 carries against the Ravens and added 52 yards on five catches. While he had minimal yardage in his two previous games, he did score in each. He is now sharing duty with BenJarvus Green-Ellis who has scored in each of the last three games. The duo are the primary runners at least for now but split the workload. As always, it is risky to rely on a NE running back.

The Chargers have been good against the run but the last two weeks surrendered a score and over 100 yards to the opponent's primary runner. Translated to this team means that there is a decent chance that Green-Ellis will score and that Woodhead will likely have lower production this week against a desperate Chargers defense at home. Still have to like the chance that Green-Ellis bulls one in.

WIDE RECEIVERS: It didn't take long for Deion Branch to fit back in as a Patriot. Only days after joining the team, Branch was the primary receiver and recorded nine catches for 98 yards and a score against the Ravens. Julian Edelman had a potential concussion last week and left the game but no reports have been made as to his status, I will assume he can play and update as warranted. The Patriots are employing a short passing attack and that is showing up in how Wes Welker has sub-10 yard average on catches in all but one game. He has snared 15 passes in those two recent games but still has not scored since week two and is just short on his yards-after-catch.

The Chargers have been great against the wideouts but have barely faced any good ones. They have surrendered only two touchdowns to the position and only once permitted more than 72 yards to be gained. Still, the Pats come in much more talented than any previous team. It's hard to rely on, but Branch is once again in a spot for a touchdown.

TIGHT ENDS: Aaron Hernandez may be a rookie but he's morphed into a safety net for Tom Brady who has gained 60 yards or more in three of the last four games. He still has yet to score but could end up with his first in this game since tight end is a weaker spot in this defense.That could end up with Rob Gronkowski just as easily but he rarely has more than one catch per game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NE 9 7 11 4 7 5
Preventing Fantasy Points SD 2 5 2 21 15 32
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) NE -7 -2 -9 17 8 27


San Diego Chargers (2-4)
Homefield: Qualcomm Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @KC L 14-21 10 Bye -
2 JAC W 38-13 11 DEN --
3 @SEA L 20-27 12 @IND --
4 ARI W 41-10 13 OAK --
5 @OAK L 27-35 14 KC --
6 @STL L 17-20 15 SF --
7 NE -- 16 @CIN --
8 TEN -- 17 @DEN --
9 @HOU -- - - -
Chargers Report | Statistics | Roster
SAN DIEGO vs NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Philip Rivers - - 250,2
RB Mike Tolbert 10 20  
RB Ryan Mathews 80 10 -
TE Antonio Gates - 40 -
WR Buster Davis - 60,1 -
WR Patrick Crayton - 90,1 -
PK TBD 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Very tough loss in St. Louis that not only drops the Chargers to 2-4, but resulted in injuries to Antonio Gates and Malcom Floyd. With Legedu Naanee already out with a hamstring, this offense is having to dig into the depth chart to keep people on the field. At 2-4 the season is not lost because 3-2 leads the division but 2-5 starts to change that dynamic. With the Pats and then the Titans showing up, the Chargers could not have chosen a worse time to get injury problems. The Chargers are 2-4 and they just wrapped up the easy part of their schedule.

Nate Kaeding pulled his groin and is also expected to miss this week. I will re-insert a kicker later when it is certain who that will be.

QUARTERBACK: Philip Rivers has been a solid if not spectacular fantasy starter this season but his string of multiple scores games ended last week when he passed for a season low 249 yards and one touchdown thanks in no small part to the many injuries to the offense. Prior to that game he had always thrown at least two touchdowns.

This week Rivers goes against the Patriots who have been very weak against the pass. If Rivers had a full staff on the field, he could turn in a very nice effort but given the injuries, consider him only good and not great on Sunday.

RUNNING BACKS: Ryan Mathews continues his baby steps towards becoming a fulltime running back and had 12 runs for 64 yards in St. Louis. Mike Tolbert was down to only three carries but scored again for the fifth time over the last five games. Tolbert's role as the goal line back is a definite killer for Mathew's potential value. The Chargers have rushed much better when at home this year.

The Pats defense has allowed just one rushing touchdown and that was in week one. No runner has gained more than 88 yards on them so expect more of the same from Mathews who is picking up steam right when the schedule is getting tougher.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Now what? Malcom Floyd is not expected to be over his hamstring injury this week and Legedu Naanee already missed last week because of his hamstring. That means Patrick Crayton and Buster Davis may become the starters this week. Crayton took over in St. Louis and produced six catches for 117 yards while Davis had a touchdown on his three catches for 39 yards. There is still a chance that Naanee can play but until that is clear, I will assume that Crayton and Davis take up the starter spots and should Gates not play - these two guys are going to have to come up big.

The Patriots are weak against wideouts fortunately and have allowed six scores to the position and numerous decent games. But relying on the Chargers "B" team doesn't spawn too much confidence. The Patriots are not especially weaker or stronger on either side so either wideout could have a nice game here.

TIGHT ENDS: Antonio Gates saw an end to his nine game streak with a touchdown thanks to a toe injury that is said to be unrelated to the troublesome toe he had surgery on in 2008. I am going to assume that Gates can play at least a limited role or better this week since the Chargers really need him this week. He has been wearing a protective boot and updates will be coming. The last thing this team needs is to miss Gates for any amount of time.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SD 2 2 10 1 20 9
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 30 17 28 27 21 10
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SD 28 15 18 26 1 1

WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB
CIN at ATL SF at CAR ARI at SEA NYG at DAL
CLE at NO WAS at CHI OAK at DEN DET, HOU
  PIT at MIA JAC at KC NE at SD IND, NYJ
Other Features
Fantasy Statistics
Tuesday Injury Report
Free Agent Forecast
Commentary From the Edge
Under the Numbers
Game Recaps
Tunnel Vision
a d v e r t i s e m e n t