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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN* STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB*
CIN at ATL SF at CAR* ARI at SEA* NYG at DAL*
CLE at NO* WAS at CHI* OAK at DEN* DET, HOU
*Updated PIT at MIA JAC at KC* NE at SD* IND, NYJ

Prediction: PHI 20, TEN 22

Update: LeSean McCoy rested his ribs on Wednesday but was back for a full day on Thursday and won't be limited this week. Vince Young has not practiced yet but HC Jeff Fisher said he would start Young even if he never practices if he is healthy on Sunday. Check back later if you want to use Young and he will probably be a game time decision at any rate. Michael Vick has returned to practice and had a full day on Thursday but is still expected to miss this week.

Update #2: Vince Young still has not practiced and while they are considering him as a game time decision, it appears almost certain that Kerry Collins will get the start. Kenny Britt was not at practice today after "an early morning scuffle" at a bar but the Titans have not indicated that they are taking any disciplinary action. Bo Scaife has missed practice because of his pulled groin muscle and is questionable this week. I am removing him from the projections.

Vick will act as a backup this week and then return as the starter in week nine.

The battle of the 4-2. The Eagles are currently tied for the NFC East lead and cannot afford a loss. They are also 3-0 in road games. The Titans are in a three-way tie for the AFC South lead and they cannot really afford a loss either. The Titans are only 1-2 at home. This could go either way and it all depends on Chris Johnson controlling the game.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-2))
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 GB L 20-27 10 @WAS --
2 @DET W 35-32 11 NYG --
3 @JAC W 28-3 12 @CHI --
4 WAS L 12-17 13 HOU --
5 @SF W 27-24 14 @DAL --
6 ATL W 31-17 15 @NYG --
7 @TEN -- 16 MIN --
8 Bye - 17 DAL --
9 IND -- - - -
Eagles Report | Statistics | Roster
PHILADELPHIA at TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Kevin Kolb - - 290,2
RB LeSean McCoy 60 50 -
TE Brent Celek - 50,1 -
WR Jason Avant - 70 -
WR Jeremy Maclin - 100,1 -
PK David Akers 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Eagles have won four of their last five games but DET, JAC and SF should have been pushovers anyway and the lone loss went to the Redskins with the divisional implications. This will likely be the final start for Kevin Kolb until Michael Vick is injured the next time but this will be a bigger challenge given LT Jason Peters is out and the TItans have turned in six sacks in each of the last two games.

QUARTERBACK: It appears that Michael Vick will hold out for one more game and allow his ribs to rest until after the week 8 bye. That gives Kevin Kolb his third start and a chance to show that the 326 yards and three scores against Atlanta was for real. He'll have to do that without DeSean Jackson though and it in the face of a much tougher pass rush.

The Titans secondary can certainly be beaten as shown in recent games by Eli Manning (386 yds), Kyle Orton (341 yds, 2 TD) and Tony Romo (406 yds, 3 TDs). Have to like Kolb this week though the impact of missing Jackson may make a difference.

RUNNING BACKS: LeSean McCoy is actually one of the few backs who really never shares their workload. But he has only one big rushing effort against the Lions and been locked around 65 yards in most of the recent games. His role as a receiver varies greatly but in the last loss to the Redskins he had ten catches for 110 yards. With Jackson out this week and a big time pass rush preparing to tee off, McCoy should prove to be a very nice outlet this week.

The Titans have only allowed one rushing touchdown this year and most runners fall well short of the century mark. Expect only moderate rushing yards and no score from McCoy but he may end up with a very nice game if the Eagles again use him as a receiver. All signs point to that happening and the Titans have allowed two scores to running backs via a pass.

WIDE RECEIVERS: DeSean Jackson is out this week from the wicked helmet-to-helmet hit that gave him a severe concussion. He may miss more games as well. In his place Jeremy Maclin really stepped up with seven catches for 159 yards and two scores and Maclin has been the most consistent scorer for the Eagles anyway with six touchdowns. Jason Avant will be used to fill in for Jackson and he had a season best 62 yards on five catches replacing him last week. Riley Cooper should see some action as well though he has been out for two weeks with his own concussion and is not a lock to play yet.

I'll project for just Avant and Maclin but Cooper may also play as well as Chad Hall.

The Titans have regularly given up monster games to wideouts and already faced four players with over 100 yards against them. Maclin will miss Jackson and become the primary concern of the secondary but still should end with a nice game here. Avant is a riskier play but Maclin is a must-start.

TIGHT ENDS: Brent Celek has scored twice with Kolb back under center but he's been stuck at less than 50 yards each week. The Titans have fared well against tight ends but rarely faced a true receiver. Look for Celek to get a bump up this week with the passing game likely shorter without Jackson playing.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 12 4 21 21 7
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 16 4 17 13 27 13
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) PHI 15 -8 13 -8 6 6


Tennessee Titans (4-2)
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 OAK W 38-13 10 @MIA --
2 PIT L 11-19 11 WAS --
3 @NYG W 29-10 12 @HOU --
4 DEN L 20-26 13 JAC --
5 @DAL W 34-27 14 IND --
6 @JAC W 30-3 15 HOU --
7 PHI -- 16 @KC --
8 @SD -- 17 @IND --
9 Bye - - - -
Titans Report | Statistics | Roster
TENNESSEE vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Kerry Collins - - 190,1
RB Chris Johnson 100,1 20 -
TE Bo Scaife - 30 -
WR Nate Washington - 50,1 -
WR Kenny Britt - 50 -
PK Rob Bironas 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Titans come off their biggest win of the season when they took down the Jaguars on Monday Night Football but Vince Young initially looked like he had left his knee ligaments on the field. Fortunately he seems to have dodged that bullet and the crowd got to see a Chris Johnson touchdown as well. This week will be a challenge but at least the Titans are at home and are not scouring the waiver wire for a quarterback.

QUARTERBACK: Vince Young is considered "day-to-day" after apparently only spraining his knee when he was trapped in a pileup and bent over backwards. His status for this week is not yet known and he could come down to being a game time decision. I will assume that Kerry Collins will play instead and update as warranted.

The Eagles have allowed multiple touchdowns to most of their opposing quarterbacks along with up to 335 yards. The Titans are not about to force a shootout with Chris Johnson there so look for only a moderate showing by Collins that should feature one score and average yardage.

RUNNING BACKS: Chris Johnson turned in his fourth 100+ yard game when he gained 111 yards on 26 carries in Jacksonville and the oddity here is that his last three 100 yard games were in road venues. The two last two home games? Never more than 53 rushing yards and no score. But that is a function of hosting the Steelers and Broncos.

Johnson faces a defense that has not yet allowed more than 78 yards to any runner and that stuffed Michael Turner (15-45) and Frank Gore (18-52). But Johnson is the cream of the crop and a must-start every week regardless. All it takes is one broken tackle...

WIDE RECEIVERS: Kenny Britt has extended his scoring streak to four games now though only once has he exceeded a paltry 33 yards in those games. Last week was against one of the softest secondaries on the planet and he only ended with two catches for those 33 yards but the Titans already had a lead to protect and mostly ran the ball. They won't have quite that luxury this week so Britt will have to figure in more.

The Eagles have only allowed four scores to the wideouts but in recent weeks have allowed three players to top 80 receiving yards including Michael Crabtree who gained 105 yards and scored once. But Collins is not going to throw any more than he has to - same for Vince Young as well. Washington is in the spot more likely to get the score though since three of the four scores went to the split end.

TIGHT ENDS: Bo Scaife had been nearly invisible since week one and then had a season best 53 yards on four catches for one score against the Jaguars nonexistent secondary. The Eagles have been weak against the position lately but only from facing Chris Cooley, Vernon Davis and Tony Gonzalez. Scaife isn't in that company and isn't worth a fantasy start with all his other starts producing around 20 yards and no scores.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 25 5 21 20 5 4
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 20 22 3 28 10 8
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) TEN -5 17 -18 8 5 4

WEEK 7
2010
PHI at TEN STL at TB BUF at BAL MIN at GB
CIN at ATL SF at CAR ARI at SEA NYG at DAL
CLE at NO WAS at CHI OAK at DEN DET, HOU
  PIT at MIA JAC at KC NE at SD IND, NYJ
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