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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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WEEK 8
2010
*GB at NYJ *CAR at STL *MIN at NE *HOU at IND
*DEN at SF WAS at DET *SEA at OAK ATL, BAL
JAC at DAL *BUF at KC TB at ARI CHI, CLE
*UPDATED MIA at CIN *TEN at SD *PIT at NO NYG, PHI

Prediction: SEA 14, OAK 20

Update: Louis Murphy is now expected to miss a few weeks with a chest contusion near his lung. I am removing him from the projections.

The Seahawks have won two straight and at 4-2 are all alone on top of the NFC West but only own a 1-2 road record. The Raiders are just 3-4 but that still is in contention for the AFC West and they own a 2-1 home mark. Seattle has been a very bad road team in recent seasons

Seattle Seahawks (4-2)
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF W 31-6 10 @ARI --
2 @DEN L 14-31 11 @NO --
3 SD W 27-20 12 KC --
4 @STL L 3-20 13 CAR --
5 Bye - 14 @SF --
6 @CHI W 23-20 15 ATL --
7 ARI W 22-10 16 @TB --
8 @OAK -- 17 STL --
9 NYG -- - - -
Seahawks Report | Statistics | Roster
SEATTLE at OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Hasselbeck - - 190,1
RB Justin Forsett 30 20 -
RB Marshawn Lynch 80,1 10 -
TE John Carlson - 20 -
WR Mike Williams - 50 -
WR Deon Butler - 50,1 -
PK Olindo Mare 2 XP - -
Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are hitting a tougher patch of their season now with three road games and a home stand against the Giants coming over the next month. The defense has been the savior so far with only one opponent able to score more than 20 points. The rushing game looks at least marginally improved with Marshawn Lynch but the passing attack is stuck on mediocre.

QUARTERBACK: Nothing notable about Matt Hasselbeck this year. He's only passed for six touchdowns against six interceptions and never had more than 242 passing yards in any game. He has improved in the sense that he has not thrown an interception since week four but that is more a function of facing two softer secondaries. Notable here is that Hasselbeck was sacked five times by the Cardinals and LT Russell Okung may be ruled out with an ankle injury this week.

The Raiders have allowed exactly two scores to all seven opponents this year. Every one - two touchdowns. No matter that the yardage varies from 154 to 431, they all get two scores. But aside from the 431 yards by Philip Rivers, all over teams end up with less than 200 pass yards. As much as I love trends, Hasselbeck throwing for two scores would be a first since week one and the only time he has done that in a road game.

RUNNING BACKS: Marshawn Lynch ran for 89 yards on 24 carries against the Cardinals for the season high by a Seattle running back. Justin Forsett remains involved as change of pace and third down though the passing to the backs has always been on the sparse side with this squad. The Seahawks running backs have only rushed in a score twice and this unit is one of the lowest ranked in the NFL.

The Raiders are weak against running backs and have allowed nine scores to the position though three came via the pass. The splitting of work will ensure that no back has a big game but Lynch will be marginally productive and could have a decent game if Pete Carroll will let him have another 24 carries again this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This unit still remains a weakness though Mike Williams has stepped up for the last two weeks with games of 10-123 and 11-87 with one score. Golden Tate has been a flop so far with no catches in the last two weeks and Deon Butler is slowly coming along with around 40 yards per game since he has become a starter.

No doubt the Raiders will want to put Nnamdi Asomugha on Williams since only he has been successful this season and has caught 21 passes in just the last two games. That should leave Butler open though and Tate will get a chance to actually make a catch because Brandon Stokley is injured. All these wideouts are marginal plays at best.

TIGHT ENDS: The Seahawks use John Carlson occasionally but less as the season progresses. He has only had four receptions for 39 yards combined from the last three games and just one score back in week three. The Raiders have been weaker on tight ends but the Seahawks are phasing them out of the game plan.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 20 28 17 23 28 3
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 18 30 12 29 12 19
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) SEA -2 2 -5 6 -16 16


Oakland Raiders (3-4)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TEN L 13-38 10 Bye -
2 STL W 16-14 11 @PIT --
3 @ARI L 23-24 12 MIA --
4 HOU L 24-31 13 @SD --
5 SD W 35-27 14 @JAC --
6 @SF L 9-17 15 DEN --
7 @DEN W 59-14 16 IND --
8 SEA -- 17 @KC --
9 KC -- - - -
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 20 - 180
RB Darren McFadden 100,1 30 -
RB Michael Bush 30,1 10 -
TE Zach Miller - 60 -
WR Louis Murphy - 30 -
WR Johnnie Lee Higgins - 20 -
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey - 20 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Raiders come off a historic thrashing of the Broncos that set records for both franchises. The Raiders could not stop scoring while the Broncos could not stop making mistakes. The worrisome part of that game is that in the last two years when the Raiders also won in Denver, they followed it up with three straight losses both times. That doesn't bode well for this week but the Seahawks are weak on the road and the Raiders are enjoying a better season already than the last two seasons.

QUARTERBACK: Jason Campbell comes off his season best game when he passed for two scores and ended with 204 passing yards in a game where everything worked. Bruce Gradkowski is still out with his shoulder injury but should be returning very soon. Campbell has been little more than mediocre in games besides the Denver win.

The Seahawks have been soft against the pass to teams that pursued it and already had allowed four games of around 290+ passing yards. They gave up two passing scores three different times but none in the other three matchups. Campbell is not going to get into any shootout here. He'll post average yardage at best and anything above one score would be a first for the year.

RUNNING BACKS: Just when you think that being listed as questionable, only practicing on a limited basis for the week and having the running back himself proclaim he was just 70% healthy was reason enough to leave Darren McFadden on the bench, he tears off what should end up as his career best game - forever. McFadden plowed the Broncos for 165 yards and three scores on just 16 runs and added a score on his two catches for 31 yards. That makes the fifth straight time he has produced at least 110 total yards in a game this year. Michael Bush returns to only support work but even that led to one touchdown in Denver.

The Seahawks have been great against the run with no player gaining more than 73 rushing yards on them but then again the opponents have mostly featured lack luster rushing ability. And even then they game up five scores to running backs. Expect a good game from McFadden at home in a season where he is always worth 110+ yards each week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: There's really no fantasy value here with Jason Campbell under center. Louis Murphy had two good games with Bruce Gradkowski but nothing with Campbell and Murphy injured his chest last week and could not finish the game. I will assume that he can play this week but in the end - it doesn't really matter. Keep expectations low here.

TIGHT ENDS: Zach Miller has been the primary receiver and especially when Jason Campbell as the starter. Miller has caught a touchdown in four of the last five games and posted around 50 yards or more each week. The Seahawks are ranked as average against them because of not facing many decent receivers. Start Miller with confidence.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 24 8 32 7 3 21
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 27 12 26 15 14 16
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) OAK 3 4 -6 8 11 -5

WEEK 8
2010
GB at NYJ CAR at STL MIN at NE HOU at IND
DEN at SF WAS at DET SEA at OAK ATL, BAL
JAC at DAL BUF at KC TB at ARI CHI, CLE
  MIA at CIN TEN at SD PIT at NO NYG, PHI
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