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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Game Predictions Summary

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WEEK 9
2010
TB at ATL MIA at BAL *NYG at SEA PIT at CIN
*NO at CAR NE at CLE KC at OAK DEN, JAC
CHI at BUF *SD at HOU *IND at PHI SF, STL
*Updated *NYJ at DET *ARI at MIN *DAL at GB TEN, WAS

Prediction: DAL 14, GB 24

Update: Andrew Quarless is being limited in practice and has worn a shoulder harness. He is still likely to play but is not a viable fantasy option this week. Donald Driver is out as expected. Felix Jones was held out on Wednesday to rest his ankle but returned on Thursday.

The Cowboys stumble into this game almost numb from a 1-6 start and waiting to hear when Wade Phillips is gone. The Packers come off a shutout win in New York over the Jets and are now alone atop the NFC North likely for good. The Cowboys only win was on the road but it was their only win. The Packers are 3-1 at home. This is the late game so expect plenty of Jerry Jones on the screen.

The Packers won 17-10 when the Cowboys visited in week 10 of last season.

Dallas Cowboys (1-6)
Homefield: Texas Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @WAS L 7-13 10 @NYG --
2 CHI L 20-27 11 DET --
3 @HOU W 27-13 12 NO --
4 Bye - 13 @IND --
5 TEN L 27-34 14 PHI --
6 @MIN L 21-24 15 WAS --
7 NYG L 35-41 16 @ARI --
8 JAC L 17-35 17 @PHI --
9 @GB -- - - -
Cowboys Report | Statistics | Roster
DALLAS at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jon Kitna - - 260,2
RB Marion Barber 30 - -
RB Felix Jones 30 20 -
TE Jason Witten - 70,1 -
WR Roy Williams - 20 -
WR Dez Bryant - 70 -
WR Miles Austin - 60,1 -
PK David Buehler 2 XP - -
Pregame Notes: Sure, it could be worse but it would have to involve outlawed torture practices and family members. The Cowboys have sunk to 1989 levels with they went 1-15 because they were young and rebuilding. Jerry Jones has said "maybe we don't have the players we thought we did" while Wade Phillips has effectively said he has tried everything he can and has no idea what to do. The Cowboys will win again but not likely here.

QUARTERBACK: Jon Kitna faced the worst secondary in the league last week and came away with 379 yards but only scored once and had four interceptions which makes a big difference. After a two year layoff, Kitna is still getting his bearings and timing down.

Tony Romo passed for 251 yards and one score in Green Bay last year.

The Packers have only allowed eight passing scores and never more than two in any game. Expect Kitna to have a decent game here if only thanks to trash time. The rushing game should be no help again.

RUNNING BACKS: Felix Jones is only getting worse and had just 22 yards on eight carries at home. He has never gained more than 43 yards in any road game and even his role as a receiver has reverted to marginal use. Marion Barber had his second score of the year during the Jaguars game when he gained a whopping 16 yards on nine runs including a fourth down and goal when he just ran into Kitna.

Word to the wise - you have roster space to use? Grab Tashard Choice because eventually the Cowboys will start roster hunting and Barber has done nothing to justify his job. Choice won't make the blocking any better, but he could not be any worse and was sharp in the past when the Cowboys would use him.

The Cowboys only rushed for 45 yards on 11 carries in Green Bay last season. Playing in Green Bay against the #7 defense against running backs? Leave the Cowboys on the bench.

WIDE RECEIVERS: So far Kitna has been a blessing to Dez Bryant who had two scores in week seven and then a career best 84 yards on seven catches in the Jaguars game. Miles Austin was a no show against the Giants but had 117 yards on seven receptions last week. Roy Williams? Dead. Three passes per week for only one catch in total. Even Sam Hurd has been slightly better than Williams.

Roy Williams gained 105 yards on five receptions and scored once in Green Bay last year. Austin only managed to have 20 yards on four catches.

The Packers secondary has been good but have allowed four receiver scores in their four home games. Each time it went to a primary receiver and the Cowboys are not going to be running much this week. Look for the score here to favor Austin though Bryant continues to be a fantasy starter with Kitna at the helm.

TIGHT ENDS: Jason Witten has never been so loved. He was thrown 25 passes over two games with Kitna and ended up with nearly identical games of around ten catches for 95 yards and a score in each. The Packers have been below average against the position so expect another nice showing by the tight end.

Jason WItten caught five passes for 47 yards in Green Bay.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 5 31 5 9 24 17
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 21 7 18 21 25 14
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) DAL 16 -24 13 12 1 -3


Green Bay Packers (5-3)
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @PHI W 27-20 10 Bye -
2 BUF W 34-7 11 @MIN --
3 @CHI L 17-20 12 @ATL --
4 DET W 28-26 13 SF --
5 @WAS L 13-16 14 @DET --
6 MIA L 20-23 15 @NE --
7 MIN W 28-24 16 NYG --
8 @NYJ W 9-0 17 CHI --
9 DAL -- - - -
Packers Report | Statistics | Roster
GREEN BAY vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers - - 270,3
RB Brandon Jackson 50 40 -
TE Andrew Quarless - 20 -
WR Greg Jennings - 100,2 -
WR Jordy Nelson - 50 -
WR James Jones - 50,1 -
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP -

Pregame Notes: Big win over the Jets and now only the Cowboys remain before the much needed bye week. The Packers are overcoming their injury problems with Andrew Quarless filling in and Brandon Jackson at least providing some adequacy as a running back. The problem this week could be the absence of Donald Driver but Rodgers has remained solid despite the continual player drain.

QUARTERBACK: Last week was the first time that Aaron Rodgers did not score though it was a shutout in New York over the Jets so all is forgiven. He had been turning in two or more scores in all but one previous game and included three rushing touchdowns to lead the team. Rodgers has been very productive in home games this year with an average of two scores each.

Rodgers only passed for 189 yards and one score against the Cowboys last season but added a rushing score as well.

The absurd oddity is that the Cowboys have allowed 13 passing scores at home and yet only two in their three road games. Expect a dispirited Dallas defense to give up no less than two and likely three touchdowns.

RUNNING BACKS: The numbers may never be big, but Brandon Jackson has been good enough as a replacement for Ryan Grant. He turns in 50+ rushing yards in almost every game, scores in half of the home games and provides a pass outlet several times each week. John Kuhn has all but returned to being just a blocker and for all the speculation and wishful thinking by fantasy fans, neither James Starks nor Dimitri Nance have rushed in to rescue your fantasy team.

Ryan Grant gained 79 yards on 19 runs versus Dallas.

The Cowboys are average against the run and while there is a chance that Jackson could score, expecting more than his standard is too risky. Rodgers can get it all done via the pass just as easily.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Donald Driver has already ruled himself out for this week so Jordy Nelson gets a bump up along with James Jones who should slip into Driver's space. Greg Jennings continues to enjoy a bigger role with Jermichael Finley gone and has caught six passes in each of the last three games while scoring twice and never falling below 74 yards. James Jones had 107 yards against the Vikings but sandwiched that fine effort with no catches against the Dolphins and Jets.

No wideout gained more than 50 yards against the Cowboys last year.

The Cowboys have been falling apart on defense lately and allowed nine scores to wide receivers in just the last four games. A road trip only makes this worse along with a banged up Terrence Newman on Jones and the weak right side about to be burned by Greg Jennings.

TIGHT ENDS: Andrew Quarless had no catches last week and has been a nonfactor other than one touchdown catch in week seven. The Cowboys are very good against the position anyway so leave Quarless on your bench.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 3 30 8 10 21 10
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 17 17 26 4 26 21
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) GB 14 -13 18 -6 5 11

WEEK 9
2010
TB at ATL MIA at BAL NYG at SEA PIT at CIN
NO at CAR NE at CLE KC at OAK DEN, JAC
CHI at BUF SD at HOU IND at PHI SF, STL
  NYJ at DET ARI at MIN DAL at GB TEN, WAS
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