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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Sortable Player Projections
Game Predictions Summary

Projections by Team
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WEEK 9
2010
TB at ATL MIA at BAL *NYG at SEA PIT at CIN
*NO at CAR NE at CLE KC at OAK DEN, JAC
CHI at BUF *SD at HOU *IND at PHI SF, STL
*Updated *NYJ at DET *ARI at MIN *DAL at GB TEN, WAS

Prediction: KC 23, OAK 20

Always a close game and sadly a low scoring one in recent years. Over the last ten matchups, neither team has scored more than 23 points and only two were decided by more than a touchdown. The road team has won the last seven of these games.

These teams traded road wins with the Chiefs winning 16-10 in Oakland and the Raiders winning 13-10 in Kansas City in 2009.

Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD W 21-14 10 @DEN --
2 @CLE W 16-14 11 ARI --
3 SF W 31-10 12 @SEA --
4 Bye - 13 DEN --
5 @IND L 9-19 14 @SD --
6 @HOU L 31-35 15 @STL --
7 JAC W 42-20 16 TEN --
8 BUF W 13-10 17 OAK --
9 @OAK -- - - -
Chiefs Report | Statistics | Roster
KANSAS CITY at OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel - - 190,1
RB Jamaal Charles 90 30 -
RB Thomas Jones 70,1 - -
TE Tony Moeaki - 40 -
WR Chris Chambers - 20 -
WR Dwayne Bowe - 80,1 -
PK Ryan Succop 3 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Chiefs remain on top of the AFC West with a game and a half lead over these Raiders. And the Chiefs are only 1-2 away from Kansas City. There is also no debating how hot the Raiders have been for the last two weeks. But these matchups are always close and low scoring and this time around should feature even more rushing than usual. If the Chiefs can take this game, it almost locks down the division here at midseason.

QUARTERBACK: Matt Cassel never passed for more than 241 yards and one score during the two meetings with the Raiders last year. But this time around it could be different. The Raiders have allowed seven of their eight opponents to all pass for exactly two touchdowns each. The yardage is generally below average but the scores have been a constant until Matt Hasselbeck last week. Add in that Nnamdi Asomugha and may not play means even easier times throwing the ball. I like one score here at least for Cassel but the second score is more likely to be rushing from this team. There is definite upside for a second score here but a lack of receivers by the Raiders should push this game into a slowed down rushing endeavor.

RUNNING BACKS: Forget about the the split load, Jamaal Charles racked up 177 yards on 22 carries against the Bills and had 61 more yards on four receptions. That was his first game over the 100 rushing yard mark and he still has only scored twice on the season. Thomas Jones also had a nice game and the duo should have some fun in Oakland where the Raiders have already allowed lesser rushing attacks to shine. Only facing several poor rushing teams have prevented the Raiders from being #32 against running backs. Both Charles and Jones are must starts this week.

Charles rushed for 103 yards and one score on 18 carries in Oakland last season.

WIDE RECEIVERS: The Chiefs will likely still be without Dexter McCluster who is nursing a high ankle sprain. Without McCluster, Chris Chambers was inserted into the Bills game but came away with no catches. Dwayne Bowe has scored in each of his last three games and while normally facing the Raiders spells a down week for a top wideout, this time CB Nnamdi Asomugha is likely out with a high ankle sprain and that should free Bowe to reach his fourth straight scoring game. Not likely to have huge yardage here with a rushing game that should really work, but Bowe should manage to get that one score.

Bowe turned in 91 yards on six catches in Oakland in 2009.

TIGHT ENDS: Tony Moeaki has not scored since week three but he's been solid with around 40 yards or more. The Raiders have been weaker against the position but Cassel won't likely need to check down to Moeaki with Asomugha out.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 28 3 24 18 16 14
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 19 29 5 27 7 13
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) KC -9 26 -19 9 -9 -1


Oakland Raiders (4-4)
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TEN L 13-38 10 Bye -
2 STL W 16-14 11 @PIT --
3 @ARI L 23-24 12 MIA --
4 HOU L 24-31 13 @SD --
5 SD W 35-27 14 @JAC --
6 @SF L 9-17 15 DEN --
7 @DEN W 59-14 16 IND --
8 SEA W 33-3 17 @KC --
9 KC -- - - -
Raiders Report | Statistics | Roster
OAKLAND vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell - - 180
RB Darren McFadden 80,1 60 -
RB Michael Bush 50,1 30 -
TE Zach Miller - 30 -
WR Johnnie Lee Higgins - 20 -
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey - 30 -
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Could it be that an Al Davis team would actually have any relevance? After being a bottom dweller for so long, even a 4-4 record seems a lofty accomplishment and winning the last two games by a combined 92 to 17 is mind boggling. A win this week would be huge but the receivers are all banged up if they can even play and the schedule gets rocky after the week 10 bye. Still, with any luck that week 17 matchup in Kansas City may finally see the season end in a meaningful game.

QUARTERBACK: Bruce Gradkowski remains the starter whenever he can return from his shoulder injury but expectations are that he'll wait until week 11 in Pittsburgh after the bye. Jason Campbell has really come on in the last two weeks with a total of four touchdowns and a 310 yard game against the Seahawks thanks to Darrius Heyward Bey. But as good as he has been - supported by a dominating rushing attack lately - the job remains Gradkowski when he returns.

Problematic this week is that almost all the receivers are hurt. Louis Murphy remains out with a bruised lung and Heyward -Bey hurt his shoulder. Perhaps worse yet, Zach Miller was on crutches last week's game and may be limited or even out.

The Chiefs have been good at keeping opponents to around 220 yards and maybe one score and that may be hard enough to get with the injuries to the receivers. Best bet this week is to leave Campbell on your bench.

RUNNING BACKS: The Raiders have been wildly successful rushing the ball lately and enough so that now there are three running backs at play. Darren McFadden has gained well over 100 total yards in every game he has played this year including four games with over 100 rushing yards. He also has scored six times with two coming via a reception.

Michael Bush remains second tier but that still has meant around 50 or more yards every week and he scored in four of the last five matchups. He has scored in every home game this year.

Marcel Reese is just a relief player but even he had a score and 90 yards as a receiver last week and he scored once in the Denver game on his seven carries for 39 yards.

This all works very well and enough to cover up problems in the passing game.

The Chiefs have been solid against rushing and no runner has topped 71 yards against them but they have allowed five rushing scores over the last three games and opposing running backs have had success as a receiver. Both McFadden and Bush should be fantasy starts this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: As mentioned, all the guys here are hurt. Darrius Heyward-Bey has a shoulder sprain but comes off his best game of the year with 105 yards on five carries with a 69-yard touchdown when he torched the replacement cornerbacks the Seahawks were using. He even had a 30 yard gain on an end-around for the first time this year. Barring later info that he is not playing, I will assume at least a limited Heyward-Bey can play though he's normally been ineffective when he has so much as a scratch. Louis Murphy remains out with his lung contusion and Jacoby Ford has been almost no help in covering for him. Ford only has two catches in each of the last two games.

Expect minimal production from this banged up group.

TIGHT ENDS: Zach Miller only had one catch last week before injuring his foot. He was later on crutches but HC Tom Cable would only say that he expects him to play this week. The Chiefs have only allowed one score to the position in the last five weeks and never more than 76 yards (Antonio Gates). With Miller banged up, lower your expectations this week in the best case scenario. Updates as warranted.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 23 2 32 7 3 15
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 12 22 7 25 8 1
Advantage(+) or Disadvantage(-) OAK -11 20 -25 18 5 -14

WEEK 9
2010
TB at ATL MIA at BAL NYG at SEA PIT at CIN
NO at CAR NE at CLE KC at OAK DEN, JAC
CHI at BUF SD at HOU IND at PHI SF, STL
  NYJ at DET ARI at MIN DAL at GB TEN, WAS
 
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